#34 Postby wxman57 » Sat Aug 13, 2005 5:23 pm
Just watched Joe's video. He didn't "call" for anything with respect to TD 10. All he did was demonstrate that the GFS took it to Florida. He didn't say he believed the GFS. Of course, the GFS took Irene to Florida, too (at least the southern piece of Irene). Joe doesn't really make forecasts much of the time, he just talks about worst-case scenarios, generally involving east coast hits. But he did forecast Irene to hit NC, even while the rest of AccuWeather was forecasting Irene to head out to sea. I wonder how they can get away with that? I could never say one thing about a storm and my company say something else. We have one voice, one forecast. I guess if you forecast multiple tracks then you have a good shot at being right, though.
Joe does recognize patterns well, as was stated above. But he has a very, very strong east coast bias. He's one of the worst people I disagree with on the planet in that respect. He even called for Larry, which was down in the BoC a few years back, to turn north, cross the FL Panhandle, and head up along the east coast. So if you ignore his east coast landfall bias and listen to his discussions on the general patterns, you'll learn something.
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