where do you think TD#10 will go

[Anonymous]

The Official Track is what I expect. Badabing back west after 3-5 days. I was surprised so many people said fish.

[gkrangers]

[cinlfla]

I was surprised so many people said fish.

I'm sticking with fish, what could move it westward in the long term? Is the ridge going to be that strong? I was thinking Irene would leave a weakness behind.

[Patrick99]

If it takes that track, it's a fish. that freaking mid-oceanic low is sucking up everything.

[JTD]

Could be a long tracker. That track looks very interesting.

[JTD]

Florida east coast

Floydbuster, you're one of the top posters on the board and to hear you say Florida surprised me. Why do you think so?

Well, last night the track I mentioned on DT's show was basically what JB showed. I don't see it as all that bad actually. The system should move northwest into or north of the Leeward Islands, and Irene should move out fast enough for the ridge to build back in. Too early, but I think the track I said last night, and JB's track were pretty similar.

OK. Thanks

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

I will keep watching it no doubt

But boca and I will go fishin if the fishy scen. pans out

[deltadog03]

I was surprised so many people said fish.

I'm sticking with fish, what could move it westward in the long term? Is the ridge going to be that strong? I was thinking Irene would leave a weakness behind.

THE RIDGE

[Hybridstorm_November2001]

Way to early to tell.


Hybridstorm_November2001

[WindRunner]

Maybe too early, but the ridge will definately have filled up behind Irene. How strong of a fill, it's too early to tell.

[Scorpion]

AT this rate this wont get to 60W..

Dwg I am beginning to get a little tired of your constant fish calls. Unless you can back it up....

[hicksta]

Carolinas, this looks like it's going to scrape the northern islands and track like Irene except further south, and may/may not recurve as early as she did.

youv got to be kidding.. the model runs are so horrible when a storm is just starting up. Give it a few days before you say it will hit the carolinas.. you should probably have a disclamer to.

[WeatherEmperor]

How come during polls like these when asked about a potential USA landfall, Florida almost always receives the highest votes?

<RICKY>

[hicksta]

How come during polls like these when asked about a potential USA landfall, Florida almost always receives the highest votes?

<RICKY>

Most of the pros are calling for a ridge to not allow the nw movement to continue which would end up pushing her move W towards... Florida. But it is still to early to tell

[WeatherEmperor]

alright. ill be keeping an eye out for it.

<RICKY>

[ConvergenceZone]

I said fish yesterday, but now that I know how slow this storm is moving, I'd say an East Coast landfall. I don't think people are taking into consideration what will be the state of the ridge by that time. It should be bulit in enough to direct it more westward. I think people are just looking at the current state of the ridge and saying "fish" because of it, but as slow as this bad boy is moving, there is PLENTY of time for the ridge to build back in to prevent it from going out to sea IMO.

[elysium]

I agree with Convergence Zone; I also had T.D. 10 as a fish initially, but with the slower forward speed, the deep layer trough may not pick it up, although it's debatable whether or not the subtropical ridge will rebuild far enough west to prevent recurvature. The odds are that T.D. 10 will recurve, but there is also a reasonable chance that seems to be improving that it will follow the NHC forecast track.

[ConvergenceZone]

of course they also mentioned that it may not even survive.

[dwg71]

AT this rate this wont get to 60W..

Dwg I am beginning to get a little tired of your constant fish calls. Unless you can back it up....

With what? actual results like Irene. Looking at climo, for storms in this area, I see fish. Looking at current motion and taking models into consideration, all I see here is fish. You can get tired of calls, if you wish. I would be more frustrated with the incorrect ones. There are a lot more of them. But bash if you must.

[Scorpion]

Climo does not support fish with the current position of TD10. The reason Irene was a fish is because of the numerous center reformations to the norht.