will Irene reach hurricane strength?
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wxwatcher91
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will Irene reach hurricane strength?
with 3 other storms peaking at 70mph and Harvey peaking at 65mph Irene had BETTER reach hurricane status lol
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WindRunner
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I'll 5pm if ever to give her time to get her act together today, because no upgrade is going to happen with visibles like this:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/FLOAT2/RGB/20.jpg
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/FLOAT2/RGB/20.jpg
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Hyperstorm
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The SHIPS is no longer forecasting it to become a hurricane, and in fact, weakens it from this point on.
A few days ago, the likelihood of it becoming a hurricane either yesterday or today, was high. However, I, too, have backed off from thinking it will be a hurricane. Unexpectedly, the system developed easterly shear yesterday and it has displaced most of the thunderstorm activity to the west of the center. The system is trying to strengthen, but that shear combined with dry air on the eastern side, has kept it from doing so.
As it moves northward and NE, it is possible it strengthens before reaching cooler waters, but the probabilities of that happening are greatly diminished...
A few days ago, the likelihood of it becoming a hurricane either yesterday or today, was high. However, I, too, have backed off from thinking it will be a hurricane. Unexpectedly, the system developed easterly shear yesterday and it has displaced most of the thunderstorm activity to the west of the center. The system is trying to strengthen, but that shear combined with dry air on the eastern side, has kept it from doing so.
As it moves northward and NE, it is possible it strengthens before reaching cooler waters, but the probabilities of that happening are greatly diminished...
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Wacahootaman
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Check this out . She seems to be in the middle of a giant high pressure dome.
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... dlm3-1.GIF
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... dlm3-1.GIF
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The SHIPS and GDFL both do not support an increase to hurricane status. If anything this tropical cyclone maybe undergoing a slight weakening trend with most of the convection to the souheast of the center. The odds don't favor this becoming a hurricane anymore and even if it becomes one, a minimal hurricane at best. A difference between 70 and 75 mph is rather insignificant and this tropical cyclone is an offshore marine hazard only.
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wxmann_91
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I'll be generous and say late next week. But with all the shear it may never.
I'm sorry edited so late, but I just realized this was Irene and not 96L!!!!
So forget what I said earlier, I'll say tomorrow.
I'm sorry edited so late, but I just realized this was Irene and not 96L!!!!
So forget what I said earlier, I'll say tomorrow.
Last edited by wxmann_91 on Sat Aug 13, 2005 2:40 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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superfly
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