west movement

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cinlfla
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#181 Postby cinlfla » Fri Aug 12, 2005 3:36 pm

I got to add something to this. A lot of 'die hard' Floridians want more hurricane this year. The reason is property prices keep rising and they fear only the very wealthy will be able to afford property in the near future if the trend continues, also the population keeps getting bigger and more people keep moving here so their logic is another year or two with hurricanes all over the state and Florida will not be a hot piece of real estate and some will even move away.



This is very true, in Titusville which is north of Cocoa you can't touch a house for less then 150,000 and I am talking about old concrete block houses that were built in the 50's and 60's to rent is even worse just your average 3bd will cost you anywhere from 900 to 1200 a month its friggin crazy. Sorry I know this is off topic but I just had to coment on this.
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#182 Postby Eyes2theSkies » Fri Aug 12, 2005 3:39 pm

I have been through many Hurricanes myself and I hope we in Florida get hit three more times. Reason being my House went from being worth $170k to $230k in one year. Keep them Hurricanes comming the more the merrier
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#183 Postby USCG_Hurricane_Watcher » Fri Aug 12, 2005 3:46 pm

ThunderMate wrote:First of all the reason i want this storm to hit me is because i love huricanes and this probably won't be any stronger than cat 1 or cat 2 if it did hit us. I am 15 and i have been through many hurricanes and most recently Isabel in 2003. I realize life and property are at risk in these type of storms but it is my love for the strongest storm on earth that makes me want to experience more and more of them to learn about them and record them. And come on its not that strong so don't yell at me just for wanting to learn more so i can continue my dream of becoming a Hurricane expert and once im old enough i will chase them so i don't have to wait for one to hit my home. There so i hope i made a very good point at that i don't wish harm on anyone and that i just want to experience them to learn more about them.


"It's all fun and games until..."


It's a different story when the roof over your head is the one you have invested time, money and memories.
Last edited by USCG_Hurricane_Watcher on Fri Aug 12, 2005 3:47 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#184 Postby shaggy » Fri Aug 12, 2005 3:46 pm

need some help here because i remember hearing that you can sometimes fortell a storms movement by the direction the outflow or high clouds begin to move>Is this true and if so aren't the clouds to Irenes due west moving out away from the storm much faster towards the WNW???Any serious replies to this would be helpful
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#185 Postby dwg71 » Fri Aug 12, 2005 3:48 pm

Back on subjuct, 5PM forcast is even further east. Discussions says chance of us landfall lessens..paraphrasing.

Something drastic would have to occur for this not to be a fish.
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#186 Postby Sanibel » Fri Aug 12, 2005 3:49 pm

The whole north top is flattening in reaction to meeting the ridge/trough border above.


The thing to watch is if Irene curves slightly left in reaction to butting against the ridge...
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#187 Postby deltadog03 » Fri Aug 12, 2005 3:51 pm

oh yeah...and the NOAA jet is out taking obs of the entire area....should go into the 00z models....I will wait to see what those say before doing a map...that will tell everything
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#188 Postby storms in NC » Fri Aug 12, 2005 3:51 pm

Sanibel wrote:The whole north top is flattening in reaction to meeting the ridge/trough border above.


The thing to watch is if Irene curves slightly left in reaction to butting against the ridge...


Wouldn't you say NC is in the clear now?
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#189 Postby dwg71 » Fri Aug 12, 2005 3:53 pm

storms in NC wrote:
Sanibel wrote:The whole north top is flattening in reaction to meeting the ridge/trough border above.


The thing to watch is if Irene curves slightly left in reaction to butting against the ridge...


Wouldn't you say NC is in the clear now?


It is outside the 72hour cone of error (terror), they are pretty good with the cone that far out. I would say all is clear. But keep checking for another 24 hours.
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#190 Postby Sanibel » Fri Aug 12, 2005 3:53 pm

TWC is saying out to sea, no Hatteras hit.
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#191 Postby ThunderMate » Fri Aug 12, 2005 3:57 pm

Well thats it for this storm...i say we all just forget about posting and sit and wait for the next one to develope and threaten the US
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#192 Postby Sanibel » Fri Aug 12, 2005 3:59 pm

Looks like the satellite views were bad obs. NHC says 310*

Storm slowed and convection pulled west making it look like wobble west...
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#193 Postby Air Force Met » Fri Aug 12, 2005 4:03 pm

Sanibel wrote:Looks like the satellite views were bad obs. NHC says 310*

Storm slowed and convection pulled west making it look like wobble west...


...and that's what some of us have been trying to say all day...it was an optical illusion...not a real movement.
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#194 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 12, 2005 4:04 pm

Yep... after all this, it's gonna be a fish.
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#195 Postby storms in NC » Fri Aug 12, 2005 4:07 pm

Air Force Met wrote:
Sanibel wrote:Looks like the satellite views were bad obs. NHC says 310*

Storm slowed and convection pulled west making it look like wobble west...


...and that's what some of us have been trying to say all day...it was an optical illusion...not a real movement.


Point well taken.

Now do you see why any reason we should keep a eye on this for NC. If coast is clear going Fishing Sat and Sun
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#196 Postby Air Force Met » Fri Aug 12, 2005 4:10 pm

storms in NC wrote:
Air Force Met wrote:
Sanibel wrote:Looks like the satellite views were bad obs. NHC says 310*

Storm slowed and convection pulled west making it look like wobble west...


...and that's what some of us have been trying to say all day...it was an optical illusion...not a real movement.


Point well taken.

Now do you see why any reason we should keep a eye on this for NC. If coast is clear going Fishing Sat and Sun


I would love to go Saturday...but we have a benefit garage sale at church and by the time I can get to the coast...it's an outgoing tide until after dark. So...I'll wait.

Forgot to answer the question: Yes...until it passes you in latitude..always watch. Anything can happen and does...but I would pick out where you want to go and figure that the tide might be a foot higher than normal and it could be a little breezy.
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#197 Postby fci » Fri Aug 12, 2005 4:16 pm

ThunderMate wrote:First of all the reason i want this storm to hit me is because i love huricanes and this probably won't be any stronger than cat 1 or cat 2 if it did hit us. I am 15 and i have been through many hurricanes and most recently Isabel in 2003. I realize life and property are at risk in these type of storms but it is my love for the strongest storm on earth that makes me want to experience more and more of them to learn about them and record them. And come on its not that strong so don't yell at me just for wanting to learn more so i can continue my dream of becoming a Hurricane expert and once im old enough i will chase them so i don't have to wait for one to hit my home. There so i hope i made a very good point at that i don't wish harm on anyone and that i just want to experience them to learn more about them.


My turn to chime in:
I used to love the thought of getting hit by a Hurricane and experienced some here as a Kid.
Now, that I am more mature, a homeowner, parent and business -owner; I DO NOT WANT ANOTHER.
We got the weaker part of Frances and Jeanne last year, were luckier than the folks 50 miles up the interstate and we lost revenue at business for two months not to mention the heartaches it caused a lot of people around here.
And this was for 2 storms that were only Cat 2 (maybe Cat 3, I'm not totally sure).

So, your youthful exuberance is a bit understandable but quite immature.
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#198 Postby Rainband » Fri Aug 12, 2005 4:18 pm

Eyes2theSkies wrote:I have been through many Hurricanes myself and I hope we in Florida get hit three more times. Reason being my House went from being worth $170k to $230k in one year. Keep them Hurricanes comming the more the merrier
Nice to see you gained 60,000 from everyones pain and heartache. I live in an area that was very lucky. I would never wish for hurricanes..no matter what the monetary gain was. Guess we are different people.
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#199 Postby storms in NC » Fri Aug 12, 2005 4:21 pm

Air Force Met wrote:
storms in NC wrote:
Air Force Met wrote:
Sanibel wrote:Looks like the satellite views were bad obs. NHC says 310*

Storm slowed and convection pulled west making it look like wobble west...


...and that's what some of us have been trying to say all day...it was an optical illusion...not a real movement.


Point well taken.

Now do you see why any reason we should keep a eye on this for NC. If coast is clear going Fishing Sat and Sun


I would love to go Saturday...but we have a benefit garage sale at church and by the time I can get to the coast...it's an outgoing tide until after dark. So...I'll wait.

Forgot to answer the question: Yes...until it passes you in latitude..always watch. Anything can happen and does...but I would pick out where you want to go and figure that the tide might be a foot higher than normal and it could be a little breezy.


okay great alway go on in coming tide and we will be going to beaufort next to Morehead CityNC
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jax

#200 Postby jax » Fri Aug 12, 2005 4:21 pm

storms in NC wrote:
Air Force Met wrote:
Sanibel wrote:Looks like the satellite views were bad obs. NHC says 310*

Storm slowed and convection pulled west making it look like wobble west...


...and that's what some of us have been trying to say all day...it was an optical illusion...not a real movement.


Point well taken.

Now do you see why any reason we should keep a eye on this for NC. If coast is clear going Fishing Sat and Sun


i think it's ok to go buy bait and ice now....
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