west movement

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StormWarning1
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#61 Postby StormWarning1 » Fri Aug 12, 2005 11:31 am

It is also weakening by the moment. Recon may find a 40 knot storm, and highly unorganized.
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#62 Postby RU4REAL » Fri Aug 12, 2005 11:33 am

No way, I don't think so, but I'm just a lab tech..not a weather specialist.
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#63 Postby Frank2 » Fri Aug 12, 2005 11:44 am

Apparently Irene is passing over the pool of cooler water that is mentioned in the TCD - the convective activity has lessened considerably in the past 2 or 3 hours, and, the system now appears to be moving on a more northwesterly course than was seen earlier this morning.

Still not too much to get excited about, in my opinion - per the forecast, there's a possibility that Irene will recurve quickly (strong westerlies north of the ridge), but as they mentioned, it's too early to tell.

Frank
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#64 Postby Frank2 » Fri Aug 12, 2005 11:51 am

Re: boca_chris's post

Not true - take a loop at the visible loop (and forecast plots), and you'll see that the circulation center is still on track:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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#65 Postby RU4REAL » Fri Aug 12, 2005 11:58 am

help...
frank2 are you saying Irene is not moving west? ....I'm lost :shocked!:
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#66 Postby storms in NC » Fri Aug 12, 2005 12:03 pm

Frank2 wrote:Re: boca_chris's post

Not true - take a loop at the visible loop (and forecast plots), and you'll see that the circulation center is still on track:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html


I can see a WNW movement
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#67 Postby sponger » Fri Aug 12, 2005 12:05 pm

Solid wnw!
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#68 Postby storms in NC » Fri Aug 12, 2005 12:07 pm

take a look at this and tell what any one sees

http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/wximages/jet/1_05/anis.html
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#69 Postby weatherwoman » Fri Aug 12, 2005 12:09 pm

i still see west
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#70 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Aug 12, 2005 12:09 pm

storms in NC wrote:take a look at this and tell what any one sees

http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/wximages/jet/1_05/anis.html


ill tell you what i dont see and that is a northwest motion, this thing is not moving northwest, no way no how
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#71 Postby RU4REAL » Fri Aug 12, 2005 12:10 pm

I thought it was moving west, I was/am just unclear about the responce from Frank2 to boca chris,,,There are so many threads now its easy to get alittle confussed.....sorry...
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#72 Postby Frank P » Fri Aug 12, 2005 12:12 pm

Irene is right on the NHC track... take another look at the visible floater, add the forcast track plots and the lat and long lines... its not going west for sure.. at best somewhere between wnw and nw... my opinion leans more to the nw solution...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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#73 Postby storms in NC » Fri Aug 12, 2005 12:14 pm

Frank P wrote:Irene is right on the NHC track... take another look at the visible floater, add the forcast track plots and the lat and long lines... its not going west for sure.. at best somewhere between wnw and nw... my opinion leans more to the nw solution...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html


Not NW at all I still say W-NW
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#74 Postby RU4REAL » Fri Aug 12, 2005 12:24 pm

Frank2....are you drinking?.....lol I don't see it, but we all can look at the same thing and see it differantley....you have the experiance...I don't.
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#75 Postby ThunderMate » Fri Aug 12, 2005 12:30 pm

Irene seems to be getting closer to the coast than it seems. Either that its because she is growing in size. Also to note it seems very evident that the ridge is building back in and Irene is now on a W to WNW track. I think after the recon we will have much needed info.
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#76 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Aug 12, 2005 12:32 pm

RU4REAL wrote:Frank2....are you drinking?.....lol I don't see it, but we all can look at the same thing and see it differantley....you have the experiance...I don't.



haaaaaaaa, im picturing him right now throwing one back...great image!
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#77 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Fri Aug 12, 2005 12:33 pm

RU4REAL wrote:Frank2....are you drinking?.....lol I don't see it, but we all can look at the same thing and see it differantley....you have the experiance...I don't.


Frank is in Denial alot and I do think he may throw a few back some days but hes right today...Its moving right on course...
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#78 Postby Thunder44 » Fri Aug 12, 2005 12:34 pm

It's looks generally WNW to me. But the eye looks like it wobbling a bit over the last few hours.
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#79 Postby dwg71 » Fri Aug 12, 2005 12:35 pm

Thunder44 wrote:It's looks WNW to me. But the eye looks like it wobbling a bit over the last few hours.


eye???
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#80 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Fri Aug 12, 2005 12:37 pm

according to joe smith's forecast models he shown it might move westward and then move northward before coming close to the U.S.A.!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Maybe that's what we are seaing here now??????????????????????
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