Please help me understand

[tallbunch]

all models are pointing North that I have seen but some people here still thinks there is a chance Irlene could go to Florida or Georgia. Why do some believe she will hit there?

[du1st]

Because they don't believe she will make an abrupt NW turn. (neither do I even though it has happened.)

[hurricanefloyd5]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
dose it look like Irene is being pulled/pushed to the west abit??????????????

[KeyLargoDave]

Tallbunch, it that some models build a strong blocking ridge, which would steer it west and not allow much if any northward motion, but that's in the future. It would have to become blocked soon to threaten Florida at all, and even if it moves westward for a time, a later weakness in a ridge could let it go back northward. HTH.

[du1st]

it loks to be going almost NW then W at the last loop.

[hurricanefloyd5]

look at the western edge of Irene closely and look at the upper level low just to the west of Irene???????????????

[du1st]

What about it Floyd5?

[tallbunch]

Thank you for the answers

[hurricanefloyd5]

What about it Floyd5?

iam i just blind or do i need glasses!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[vbhoutex]

I think the question is what do you think that ULL is going to do to Irene.

[cinlfla]

I think the question is what do you think that ULL is going to do to Irene.

Good question, what will the ULL do to Irene?

[hurricanefloyd5]

I think the question is what do you think that ULL is going to do to Irene.

I think the ull can pull this system towards it if it's strong enoughand i maybe be seeing things most of yall dont see or im blind.........................

[hurricanefloyd5]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
zoom into the system and look but zoom in close enough to see the ull and the system and then you yall can tell me if im wrong............................

[storms in NC]

I think the question is what do you think that ULL is going to do to Irene.

I think the ull can pull this system towards it if it's strong enoughand i maybe be seeing things most of yall dont see or im blind.........................

So would that pull her more WNW

[hurricanefloyd5]

I think the question is what do you think that ULL is going to do to Irene.

I think the ull can pull this system towards it if it's strong enoughand i maybe be seeing things most of yall dont see or im blind.........................

So would that pull her more WNW

she's already moving wnw you mean westward right???????????????

[storms in NC]

I think the question is what do you think that ULL is going to do to Irene.

I think the ull can pull this system towards it if it's strong enoughand i maybe be seeing things most of yall dont see or im blind.........................

So would that pull her more WNW

she's already moving wnw you mean westward right???????????????

yes. I see her moveing at around 290 in the last few frames

[hurricanefloyd5]

think Irene is disobeying the models again???????????????????????

[storms in NC]

think Irene is disobeying the models again???????????????????????

so what is new? She has done is all week lolo

[hurricanefloyd5]

im poin t is it still may head to florida disspite what the models say.............................

[beachbum_al]

Of course I am no expert but it did appear to me that in the last few frames that she was taking a jog to the west.