Please help me understand

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
tallbunch
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 297
Joined: Sat Sep 13, 2003 12:35 pm
Location: hilton head Island, SC

Please help me understand

#1 Postby tallbunch » Thu Aug 11, 2005 8:37 am

all models are pointing North that I have seen but some people here still thinks there is a chance Irlene could go to Florida or Georgia. Why do some believe she will hit there?
0 likes   
Top
du1st

#2 Postby du1st » Thu Aug 11, 2005 8:40 am

Because they don't believe she will make an abrupt NW turn. (neither do I even though it has happened.)
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
hurricanefloyd5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1659
Age: 45
Joined: Sun May 02, 2004 10:53 am
Location: Spartanburg
Contact:
Contact hurricanefloyd5

#3 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Thu Aug 11, 2005 8:42 am

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
dose it look like Irene is being pulled/pushed to the west abit??????????????
0 likes   
Top
KeyLargoDave
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 423
Joined: Wed Sep 10, 2003 4:03 pm
Location: 25 05' 80 26'
Contact:
Contact KeyLargoDave

#4 Postby KeyLargoDave » Thu Aug 11, 2005 8:44 am

Tallbunch, it that some models build a strong blocking ridge, which would steer it west and not allow much if any northward motion, but that's in the future. It would have to become blocked soon to threaten Florida at all, and even if it moves westward for a time, a later weakness in a ridge could let it go back northward. HTH.
0 likes   
Top
du1st

#5 Postby du1st » Thu Aug 11, 2005 8:47 am

it loks to be going almost NW then W at the last loop.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
hurricanefloyd5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1659
Age: 45
Joined: Sun May 02, 2004 10:53 am
Location: Spartanburg
Contact:
Contact hurricanefloyd5

#6 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Thu Aug 11, 2005 8:49 am

look at the western edge of Irene closely and look at the upper level low just to the west of Irene???????????????
0 likes   
Top
du1st

#7 Postby du1st » Thu Aug 11, 2005 8:52 am

What about it Floyd5?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
tallbunch
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 297
Joined: Sat Sep 13, 2003 12:35 pm
Location: hilton head Island, SC

#8 Postby tallbunch » Thu Aug 11, 2005 8:56 am

Thank you for the answers :D
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
hurricanefloyd5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1659
Age: 45
Joined: Sun May 02, 2004 10:53 am
Location: Spartanburg
Contact:
Contact hurricanefloyd5

#9 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Thu Aug 11, 2005 9:04 am

du1st wrote:What about it Floyd5?
iam i just blind or do i need glasses!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
vbhoutex
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 29133
Age: 74
Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 11:31 pm
Location: Cypress, TX
Contact:
Contact vbhoutex

#10 Postby vbhoutex » Thu Aug 11, 2005 9:05 am

I think the question is what do you think that ULL is going to do to Irene.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cinlfla
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 687
Joined: Mon Aug 16, 2004 7:16 pm
Location: Titusville, Florida on the Spacecoast

#11 Postby cinlfla » Thu Aug 11, 2005 9:08 am

I think the question is what do you think that ULL is going to do to Irene.



Good question, what will the ULL do to Irene?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
hurricanefloyd5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1659
Age: 45
Joined: Sun May 02, 2004 10:53 am
Location: Spartanburg
Contact:
Contact hurricanefloyd5

#12 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Thu Aug 11, 2005 9:09 am

vbhoutex wrote:I think the question is what do you think that ULL is going to do to Irene.
I think the ull can pull this system towards it if it's strong enoughand i maybe be seeing things most of yall dont see or im blind.........................
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
hurricanefloyd5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1659
Age: 45
Joined: Sun May 02, 2004 10:53 am
Location: Spartanburg
Contact:
Contact hurricanefloyd5

#13 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Thu Aug 11, 2005 9:12 am

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
zoom into the system and look but zoom in close enough to see the ull and the system and then you yall can tell me if im wrong............................
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
storms in NC
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2338
Joined: Thu Jul 28, 2005 2:58 pm
Location: Wallace,NC 40 miles NE of Wilm
Contact:
Contact storms in NC

#14 Postby storms in NC » Thu Aug 11, 2005 9:13 am

hurricanefloyd5 wrote:
vbhoutex wrote:I think the question is what do you think that ULL is going to do to Irene.
I think the ull can pull this system towards it if it's strong enoughand i maybe be seeing things most of yall dont see or im blind.........................


So would that pull her more WNW
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
hurricanefloyd5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1659
Age: 45
Joined: Sun May 02, 2004 10:53 am
Location: Spartanburg
Contact:
Contact hurricanefloyd5

#15 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Thu Aug 11, 2005 9:14 am

storms in NC wrote:
hurricanefloyd5 wrote:
vbhoutex wrote:I think the question is what do you think that ULL is going to do to Irene.
I think the ull can pull this system towards it if it's strong enoughand i maybe be seeing things most of yall dont see or im blind.........................


So would that pull her more WNW
she's already moving wnw you mean westward right???????????????
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
storms in NC
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2338
Joined: Thu Jul 28, 2005 2:58 pm
Location: Wallace,NC 40 miles NE of Wilm
Contact:
Contact storms in NC

#16 Postby storms in NC » Thu Aug 11, 2005 9:16 am

hurricanefloyd5 wrote:
storms in NC wrote:
hurricanefloyd5 wrote:
vbhoutex wrote:I think the question is what do you think that ULL is going to do to Irene.
I think the ull can pull this system towards it if it's strong enoughand i maybe be seeing things most of yall dont see or im blind.........................


So would that pull her more WNW
she's already moving wnw you mean westward right???????????????


yes. I see her moveing at around 290 in the last few frames
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
hurricanefloyd5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1659
Age: 45
Joined: Sun May 02, 2004 10:53 am
Location: Spartanburg
Contact:
Contact hurricanefloyd5

#17 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Thu Aug 11, 2005 9:18 am

think Irene is disobeying the models again???????????????????????
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
storms in NC
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2338
Joined: Thu Jul 28, 2005 2:58 pm
Location: Wallace,NC 40 miles NE of Wilm
Contact:
Contact storms in NC

#18 Postby storms in NC » Thu Aug 11, 2005 9:18 am

hurricanefloyd5 wrote:think Irene is disobeying the models again???????????????????????


so what is new? She has done is all week lolo
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
hurricanefloyd5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1659
Age: 45
Joined: Sun May 02, 2004 10:53 am
Location: Spartanburg
Contact:
Contact hurricanefloyd5

#19 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Thu Aug 11, 2005 9:20 am

im poin t is it still may head to florida disspite what the models say.............................
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
beachbum_al
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2163
Age: 55
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 9:23 pm
Location: South Alabama Coast
Contact:
Contact beachbum_al

#20 Postby beachbum_al » Thu Aug 11, 2005 9:21 am

Of course I am no expert but it did appear to me that in the last few frames that she was taking a jog to the west.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: wwizard and 35 guests