As of now 5 models are off the carolinas

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Jim Cantore

As of now 5 models are off the carolinas

#1 Postby Jim Cantore » Thu Aug 11, 2005 1:45 am

New england, fish, or florida now I still think NC but maybe a shift

Image

The NOGAPS has been consistantly toward new england for the past day
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gkrangers

#2 Postby gkrangers » Thu Aug 11, 2005 1:49 am

NOGAPs goes out to sea, grazes the outer banks and passes south of Cape Cod on the recurve.
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Jim Cantore

#3 Postby Jim Cantore » Thu Aug 11, 2005 1:50 am

I'll go this way though the next 24-48 hours will be critical to determine where Irene strikes
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MBismyPlayground
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#4 Postby MBismyPlayground » Thu Aug 11, 2005 1:56 am

YEAH!!!!!!!! Keep the sucker away from me!!!! I am doing a happy dance now Image
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#5 Postby tropical » Thu Aug 11, 2005 1:56 am

What's going on with the GFS there?
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gkrangers

#6 Postby gkrangers » Thu Aug 11, 2005 1:57 am

Hurricane Floyd wrote:I'll go this way though the next 24-48 hours will be critical to determine where Irene strikes
Ya think? :lol:
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Jim Cantore

#7 Postby Jim Cantore » Thu Aug 11, 2005 1:57 am

What's going on with the GFS there?


I hope it doesn't follow that
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gkrangers

#8 Postby gkrangers » Thu Aug 11, 2005 1:59 am

tropical wrote:What's going on with the GFS there?
The GFS doesn't develop the storm at all..keeps it as a wave...and shuffles it westward, then shoves the energy southwestward towards FL/Bahamas in a few days. It also builds a monster ridge, which is probably why its pushing the wave southwest after a few days of erratic movement.

Anyway...this run of the GFS shouldn't be considered for Irene at this point.
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Jim Cantore

#9 Postby Jim Cantore » Thu Aug 11, 2005 2:08 am

hopefully now it justs doesn't follow that track


hopefully it follows the UKMET
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#10 Postby storm4u » Thu Aug 11, 2005 2:13 am

or the nogaps but just as a depression or less parts of southern new england could really use the rain!
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Jim Cantore

#11 Postby Jim Cantore » Thu Aug 11, 2005 2:15 am

The NHC thinks it will become a hurricane though

me I dont think it will but I think it will be a strong T.S
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#12 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Aug 11, 2005 2:17 am

If current trends keep up its a shoe in for hurricane, with in the next 72 hours.
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#13 Postby ConvergenceZone » Thu Aug 11, 2005 2:41 am

we'll have to see what it looks like tomorrow Matt. You may be right, but at least 3 nights this week I went to bed seeing lots of convection only to see an almost naked swirl the next day. It does look better than it's looked all week though, so perhaps you are right.
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#14 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Thu Aug 11, 2005 2:48 am

Any chance this will hit maine? all the water temps up here around maine are warmer then normal and it looks like the ukmet lines it right up to hit Maine!
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#15 Postby Thunder44 » Thu Aug 11, 2005 3:26 am

That map is outdated.
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Re: As of now 5 models are off the carolinas

#16 Postby wxwatcher91 » Thu Aug 11, 2005 6:40 am

Hurricane Floyd wrote:New england, fish, or florida now I still think NC but maybe a shift

Image

The NOGAPS has been consistantly toward new england for the past day


ok some comparison should do the trick: latest models:

Image
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#17 Postby Thunder44 » Thu Aug 11, 2005 6:42 am

6z GFDL shifted way west from it's 0z run.
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#18 Postby BUD » Thu Aug 11, 2005 6:48 am

Thunder44 wrote:6z GFDL shifted way west from it's 0z run.


Yep,back to the left again.Left,right,left,right,left,ect
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#19 Postby storms in NC » Thu Aug 11, 2005 6:48 am

Now we will have to watch for wobbles to the west. as it Will do this. I looked at the satellite's and seen it moving more like 285. But I just woke up so don't hold me to it. Give me a few hours of coffee
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#20 Postby huricanwatcher » Thu Aug 11, 2005 6:54 am

storms in NC wrote:Now we will have to watch for wobbles to the west. as it Will do this. I looked at the satellite's and seen it moving more like 285. But I just woke up so don't hold me to it. Give me a few hours of coffee



OH NOOOOOOOOOOO the dreaded wobble word :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
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