UNOFFICAL...Irene #8; same intensity with a nudge left

[ncweatherwizard]

Quote Storm2K:

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Quote Nencweather.com:
Although these forecasts appear statistically reliable (see below link), always first consult and consider official products released by the National Hurricane Center. This forecast is not associated with any other professional or non-professional source of information except nencweather.com.

Verifications may be found here:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... index.html

Forecast 8:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... irene.html

Slightly to the left, but basically same track and also basically same with intensity. Once I get the track graphic out in a few minutes, I'll show them for comparison. There is a bit of difference in the trajectory; in this forecast, it's more of a numerical compromise of model guidance than a sharp turn westward.

Scott

[ncweatherwizard]

Graphic is up, and graphic comparing this forecast to previous forecast is now up.

Forecast 8:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... irene.html

Track comparison:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... track.html

Mainly, tonight's forecast is slightly left but is smoother to compromise with forecast rather than jump on a limb with a sharp westward turn.

Scott

[deltadog03]

looks nice...like the graphics