Irene?

floridahurricaneguy · #41 Postby **floridahurricaneguy** » Tue Aug 09, 2005 7:09 pm

What are chances of the ridge building in strong? That would put florda at risk correct? Are the models showing strong ridge? This could get exciting.

hurricanedude · #42 Postby **hurricanedude** » Tue Aug 09, 2005 7:10 pm

my guess this early on would be WPB, FL north to Wilmington, NC

#43 Postby **seaswing** » Tue Aug 09, 2005 7:10 pm

hurricanedude wrote:just having some fun at your expense, trust me I have had many peeps mess with me.....but let me assure you they dont pay my bills or wake up in my bed, so do i really care what they say??? not at all!!

ROFLMAO!! True, oh so true! :roflmao:

jkt21787 · #44 Postby **jkt21787** » Tue Aug 09, 2005 7:12 pm

hurricanedude wrote:my guess this early on would be WPB, FL north to Wilmington, NC

I'm in agreement with you as well. As far as intensity, I say Cat 3. Not going to worry about any higher until we at least can get to a cane, but we all know how tough intensity forecasts are.

#45 Postby **Deenac813** » Tue Aug 09, 2005 7:15 pm

hurricanedude wrote:my guess this early on would be WPB, FL north to Wilmington, NC

I am thinking the same thing. If Irene was further south I would be more worried.

#46 Postby **EDR1222** » Tue Aug 09, 2005 7:16 pm

If it moves into a favorable environment, who knows. It definately has survived longer than I thought it ever would.

I would say now from the Carolinas and northward, should begin to pay attention if it keeps moving westward

#47 Postby **feederband** » Tue Aug 09, 2005 7:16 pm

Looking at the votes I wonder how many would have voted Cat 4 or 5... :eek:

hurricanedude · #48 Postby **hurricanedude** » Tue Aug 09, 2005 7:17 pm

again...at this time West Palm, FL...north to Wilmington, NC...is my prime target.....a large cone I know...but no more than the NHC..LOL....although not discounting the possibility...the Keys north to Miami....and EC north of Chesapeake Bay is my least likely....of course...things will change

Swimdude · #49 Postby **Swimdude** » Tue Aug 09, 2005 7:22 pm

I'm surprised so many people voted Cat. 2...

hurricanedude · #50 Postby **hurricanedude** » Tue Aug 09, 2005 7:26 pm

my strike risk by state

Florida Slight Central and South
Moderate North

Ga Moderate

SC High

NC Moderate

VA Moderate SE (Norfolk area)

Slight rest of the state

MD/DE north....slim to none

du1st · #51 Postby **du1st** » Tue Aug 09, 2005 8:05 pm

I say SC probalby will be hit.

#52 Postby **deltadog03** » Tue Aug 09, 2005 8:10 pm

well, if it stays weak like this...fizzle...lol

shaggy · #53 Postby **shaggy** » Tue Aug 09, 2005 8:10 pm

a little history from NC here.Every storm that hit us in the last 10 years which has been many were all forecast to take a gradual curve into SC they all bumped north and hit NC.If the storm is moving NW or NNW the way the coast lies its hard for SC to take a hit.The only real exception was Hugo other than that most have moved a little more poleward and hit NC so by Friday when the NHC has a 5 day plot it is going to be interesting to see what direction or angle its heading.

du1st · #54 Postby **du1st** » Tue Aug 09, 2005 8:14 pm

It looks pretty ragged.

du1st · #55 Postby **du1st** » Tue Aug 09, 2005 8:16 pm

Irene is no Andrew.

jabber · #56 Postby **jabber** » Tue Aug 09, 2005 8:19 pm

du1st wrote:Irene is no Andrew.

Thats for sure.. I would eve say at this point its no Irene.

wxmann_91 · #57 Postby **wxmann_91** » Tue Aug 09, 2005 8:20 pm

I voted 3 but expect a 4 (though 5 is pretty much out of the question).

du1st · #58 Postby **du1st** » Tue Aug 09, 2005 8:22 pm

gpickett00 · #59 Postby **gpickett00** » Tue Aug 09, 2005 8:24 pm

Hey yall, its a tropical depression!

du1st · #60 Postby **du1st** » Tue Aug 09, 2005 8:27 pm

gpickett00 wrote:Hey yall, its a tropical depression!

Really!

Irene?

How strong do you think Irene will be at its max?

Who is online