Do we have liftoff?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

Do we have liftoff?

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Tue Aug 09, 2005 10:47 am

Looks like Irene is growin' and goin' --- westward. She looking better all the time:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg
0 likes   

User avatar
EDR1222
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1253
Joined: Mon Nov 10, 2003 12:58 pm
Location: Melbourne, FL

#2 Postby EDR1222 » Tue Aug 09, 2005 10:55 am

She still looks to be undergoing some shear. She is however, holding her own fairly well right now.
0 likes   

User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#3 Postby dixiebreeze » Tue Aug 09, 2005 10:56 am

QuikScat shows some pretty good winds:

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_ho ... /ssmi/scat
0 likes   

User avatar
CaneCurious
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 160
Joined: Wed Aug 25, 2004 1:40 pm
Location: Kenner, LA

It does look more impressive

#4 Postby CaneCurious » Tue Aug 09, 2005 10:58 am

It does look more impressive now than it did last night. Irene may have a trick up her sleeve. I guess where she heads all depends on how strong the High is.
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23703
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#5 Postby gatorcane » Tue Aug 09, 2005 11:03 am

It's amazing how far west she has gotten already...if she strengthens more, she should definitely move even more west and will continue to increase the threat to FL and the east coast.
0 likes   

BamaMan
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 187
Joined: Thu Sep 30, 2004 8:23 pm
Location: Mobile,AL

#6 Postby BamaMan » Tue Aug 09, 2005 11:11 am

If she continues West, she might even entertain the thought of making a visit to Florida on her way to th GOM
:eek:
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23703
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#7 Postby gatorcane » Tue Aug 09, 2005 11:12 am

If she continues West, she might even entertain the thought of making a visit to Florida on her way to th GOM


It's very possible considering how the ridge is strengthening by the minute....wasn't Andrew in a similar position (of course Andrew was alot stronger at this point)?
0 likes   

User avatar
WindRunner
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5806
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
Contact:

#8 Postby WindRunner » Tue Aug 09, 2005 11:13 am

dixiebreeze wrote:QuikScat shows some pretty good winds:

(url erased)


Even a 45kt barb in there.
0 likes   

User avatar
Trader Ron
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 928
Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2003 7:25 pm
Location: Naples,Fl
Contact:

#9 Postby Trader Ron » Tue Aug 09, 2005 11:15 am

BamaMan wrote:If she continues West, she might even entertain the thought of making a visit to Florida on her way to th GOM
:eek:


I will be shocked if Irene impacts Florida. :D
0 likes   

User avatar
KatDaddy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2815
Joined: Mon Oct 21, 2002 6:23 pm
Location: League City, Texas

#10 Postby KatDaddy » Tue Aug 09, 2005 11:16 am

Joe very concerned about Irene becoming a SE US threat as potent system.
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23703
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#11 Postby gatorcane » Tue Aug 09, 2005 11:18 am

I will be shocked if Irene impacts Florida


I wouldn't
0 likes   

User avatar
Trader Ron
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 928
Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2003 7:25 pm
Location: Naples,Fl
Contact:

#12 Postby Trader Ron » Tue Aug 09, 2005 11:26 am

boca_chris wrote:
I will be shocked if Irene impacts Florida


I wouldn't


Does that mean you think Irene will hit Florida? :D
0 likes   

User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:

#13 Postby skysummit » Tue Aug 09, 2005 11:29 am

I would my money on a Florida or Georgia or Carolinas or Virgina impact. Geez... :roll:
0 likes   

User avatar
tallbunch
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 297
Joined: Sat Sep 13, 2003 12:35 pm
Location: hilton head Island, SC

#14 Postby tallbunch » Tue Aug 09, 2005 11:30 am

I see her coming close, but turning away before she hits land.
0 likes   

User avatar
PTrackerLA
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5280
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 8:40 pm
Location: Lafayette, LA

#15 Postby PTrackerLA » Tue Aug 09, 2005 11:40 am

The circulation is starting to look better again. I don't think this will be downgraded anymore today.
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23703
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#16 Postby gatorcane » Tue Aug 09, 2005 11:43 am

It's possible but it's way too far out now to know where it will hit (if it will even hit)...but it's actually losing lattitude still and could easily impact FL given that models are trending towards a stronger Bermuda High to exist later in the forecast period.
0 likes   

MiamiensisWx

#17 Postby MiamiensisWx » Tue Aug 09, 2005 12:04 pm

How do I post a link to my forecast for TD Irene if it is on Microsoft Word? This may be a dumb question, but is it possible and how?
0 likes   

Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10385
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

#18 Postby Sanibel » Tue Aug 09, 2005 12:40 pm

Do We Have Lift-Off?



Too early to say. See if it loses that convection flare later today.

A good burst will put high tops into the steering winds and take it WNW...
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38266
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

#19 Postby Brent » Tue Aug 09, 2005 1:23 pm

I'm not sure about this... I still say it's got a much better chance of turning out to sea before reaching the coast. I also don't think it would bother Florida if it were to hit the U.S. and I don't see this becoming a hurricane, or certainly a powerful one. Conditions just aren't that favorable.
0 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
wxwatcher91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1606
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:43 pm
Location: Keene, NH
Contact:

#20 Postby wxwatcher91 » Tue Aug 09, 2005 1:37 pm

I think even at this point Florida on up to Maine could be affected by Irene... its STILL pretty up in the air...
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: cycloneye, pepecool20 and 176 guests