Nothing Else For Now,Any New Candidates In The Horizon?

[cycloneye]

ABNT20 KNHC 091509
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
1130 AM EDT TUE AUG 9 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRENE...LOCATED ABOUT 960 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
BERMUDA.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

FORECASTER KORTY

[WeatherEmperor]

that works for me. right now it looks like we are gonna have our hands full with Irene anyways.

<RICKY>

[EDR1222]

that works for me. right now it looks like we are gonna have our hands full with Irene anyways.

<RICKY>

It does appear that Irene is not quite finished yet.

[cycloneye]

HPC also did the Tropical Weather Outlook as aparently NHC has some technnical problems.

[Hyperstorm]

I would watch the system WSW of Bermuda. It was an ULL and it appears to be making its way down to the surface. Development, if any, should be slow, but conditions are favorable.

[clfenwi]

I would watch the system WSW of Bermuda. It was an ULL and it appears to be making its way down to the surface. Development, if any, should be slow, but conditions are favorable.

It's still an upper level low. Shows up in the NAM's 300 mb analysis

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_000l.gif

but it is not in the lower level analyses.

[Hyperstorm]

I would watch the system WSW of Bermuda. It was an ULL and it appears to be making its way down to the surface. Development, if any, should be slow, but conditions are favorable.

It's still an upper level low. Shows up in the NAM's 300 mb analysis

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_000l.gif

but it is not in the lower level analyses.

Yeah, I shouldn't have said "was" an ULL. It hasn't made a surface reflection yet, but it could be doing a transition as it looked to be filling in this morning. It's not an open ULL, but more of a closed system. Thunderstorms are occassionally firing on/off, so development will be slow, but will have to be monitored.

[caribepr]

HPC also did the Tropical Weather Outlook as aparently NHC has some technnical problems.

I had no idea how attached I was to the NHC forecasters I'm used to...after years of reading them, like emails from buddies looking out for us...There is this little thing inside me of Who is this K guy and why should I believe him??? Totally dumb on my part but I miss *our* forecasters!

[clfenwi]

HPC also did the Tropical Weather Outlook as aparently NHC has some technnical problems.

I had no idea how attached I was to the NHC forecasters I'm used to...after years of reading them, like emails from buddies looking out for us...There is this little thing inside me of Who is this K guy and why should I believe him??? Totally dumb on my part but I miss *our* forecasters!

Yeah, it's amazing how used you get to the subtleties of their writing style. I felt that way when I was reading the 11 AM discussion for Irene. The content was the same but the style was ever so slightly different from everyone else's to make it feel like it was coming from a stranger.

[cycloneye]

HPC also did the Tropical Weather Outlook as aparently NHC has some technnical problems.

I had no idea how attached I was to the NHC forecasters I'm used to...after years of reading them, like emails from buddies looking out for us...There is this little thing inside me of Who is this K guy and why should I believe him??? Totally dumb on my part but I miss *our* forecasters!

Yes agree with that.After for years you are used to the names

Avila
Stewart
Pasch
Franklin
Knabb
Beven

And the very good one in the past that retired Lawrence to see the name Korty looks strange.

[caribepr]

Good, I'm glad it's not just me!

I really liked Lawrence too, Luis!

[Lindaloo]

Sounds good to me.

[cycloneye]

ABNT20 KNHC 092117
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT TUE AUG 9 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION IRENE...LOCATED ABOUT 925 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

FORECASTER PASCH


Still nothing new at 5:30 PM .

[WeatherEmperor]

ABNT20 KNHC 092117
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT TUE AUG 9 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION IRENE...LOCATED ABOUT 925 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

FORECASTER PASCH


Still nothing new at 5:30 PM .

wow that was very brief.

<RICKY>

[cycloneye]

ABNT20 KNHC 100234
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT TUE AUG 9 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION IRENE...LOCATED ABOUT 890 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY.

FORECASTER PASCH

[cycloneye]

658
ABNT20 KNHC 100902
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT WED AUG 10 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION IRENE...LOCATED ABOUT 825 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


Another TWO without any new candidates although I am watching wave that is about to emerge West Africa.

[Frank2]

There really isn't anything worth noting behind Irene at this time - being August 10, that is somewhat unusual.

Frank

[Hyperstorm]

That's the one I have been watching as well (the one about to move offshore) over the past 2 days. The problem is that the SAL is still quite STRONG over the Eastern Atlantic. A rule of thumb I always use is that if I see the southern edge of the SAL near the latitude of the CV islands or just north, then it is favorable for development of strong waves. However, right now the southern edge of the SAL is SOUTH of the CV islands, which could very well kill any potential for development.

There's NO guarantee that the wave will develop, but that is right now the BEST candidate for formation as it is a vigorous MCS which has been pulsing convection on/off over Africa...

BTW, the ULL SW of Bermuda filled in for dissipation, so no transition will occur.

[cycloneye]

ABNT20 KNHC 101512
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT WED AUG 10 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON STRENGTHENING
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRENE...LOCATED ABOUT 810 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
BERMUDA.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART


Still nada.

[sma10]

The wave just emerging from the African coast seems to be universally developed by all the models. Keep an eye on it.