Three well-defined east-Atlantic waves

[wxwatcher91]

there has already been discussion on the one furthest west that is about to enter the Caribbean... Even these do not become invests I think it is important to note that the CV wave train is firing up again... you can even see another wave ready to come off Africa within the next 36 hours...

[Coredesat]

Meteosat:

[Hyperstorm]

I'm much more vigilant of the one about to move offshore Africa during the next 24-48 hours. I mentioned it yesterday in another thread.

The tropical system resembles a MCS that occurs in the United States during the summer months. It has a vigorous rotation with it and convection continues to pulse on/off over land. It appears that it will move offshore in the form of a combo, that is that it will combine with another strong vortex/wave that is coming right behind it, once offshore.

There' is also an ULL in the Western Atlantic, east of Florida, that is trying to make it down to the surface.

And SSTs continue in the mid 80*s and rising...

[EDR1222]

Looks like the waves will still have to make it through the dry air that is in the eastern Atlantic.

[KatDaddy]

Right on schedule with the wet phase of the MJO that has enter the SW GOM and crossing Central America.

[wxwatcher91]

it appears the wave train runs right between SAL to the north and SAL to the south... I think the waves will make it through without too much difficulty...

[WindRunner]

Right on schedule with the wet phase of the MJO that has enter the SW GOM and crossing Central America.

Oh boy.

My bets on the one furthest west. Looks the best organized.

[CaluWxBill]

Right on schedule with the wet phase of the MJO that has enter the SW GOM and crossing Central America.

Oh boy.

My bets on the one furthest west. Looks the best organized.

For now I agree, the other stuff looks modestly interesting as well.

[feederband]

I'll clean that up later....ugggh

[Hurricanehink]

I'm liking the one south of Cape Verde.

[TS Zack]

The second one has a well defined low-level circulation just East of the convection..

All three bear watching. The dry air is around the area but will not inhibit the storms covection because they are riding the ITCZ.

[DoctorHurricane2003]

To me the one south of the Cape Verde Islands looks the most intriguing.

[clfenwi]

205 PM Tropical Weather Discussion's Tropical Waves section

...TROPICAL WAVES...
THE NEWEST TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 24W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST
10 TO 15 KT. IT WAS SPOTTED IN A 48 HOUR-LONG INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY LOOP AND IN UPPER AIR TIMESECTIONS. IT IS MOVING ACROSS
THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. THE CLOSEST PRECIPITATION IS IN THE
ITCZ.

EASTERN ATLANTIC TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 40W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING
WEST 10 TO 15 KT. THIS WAVE HAS BEEN MOVED WESTWARD BY
4 TO 5 DEGREES OF LONGITUDE BASED ON WHAT WE SAW YESTERDAY AT
08/1200 UTC AND A 48 HOUR-LONG INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY LOOP
AND CURRENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND HOVMOLLER DIAGRAMS.
WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE ITCZ ARE FOUND FROM 7N TO 11N BETWEEN
37W AND 42W.

A TROUGH...QUITE POSSIBLY WHAT WAS LEFT OF THE TROPICAL WAVE
WHICH GAVE RISE TO T.D. IRENE...WAS ALONG 13N50W 10N51W 7N51W...
MOVING WEST 10 KT. DEBRIS CLOUDS FROM DISSIPATING AND/OR ALREADY
DISSIPATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...AND WARMING CLOUD TOP
TEMPERATURES...FROM 8N TO 13N BETWEEN 48W AND 55W. UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW IS ON TOP OF THIS AREA.

AN EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 20N67W...
THROUGH THE MONA PASSAGE...TO 15N68W...TO VENEZUELA NEAR 9N69W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 16N76W 16N71W 18N70W 19N70W...
GOING FROM SOUTH OF THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO THE EASTERN
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

[feederband]

205 PM Tropical Weather Discussion's Tropical Waves section

...TROPICAL WAVES...
THE NEWEST TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 24W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST
10 TO 15 KT. IT WAS SPOTTED IN A 48 HOUR-LONG INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY LOOP AND IN UPPER AIR TIMESECTIONS. IT IS MOVING ACROSS
THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. THE CLOSEST PRECIPITATION IS IN THE
ITCZ.

EASTERN ATLANTIC TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 40W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING
WEST 10 TO 15 KT. THIS WAVE HAS BEEN MOVED WESTWARD BY
4 TO 5 DEGREES OF LONGITUDE BASED ON WHAT WE SAW YESTERDAY AT
08/1200 UTC AND A 48 HOUR-LONG INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY LOOP
AND CURRENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND HOVMOLLER DIAGRAMS.
WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE ITCZ ARE FOUND FROM 7N TO 11N BETWEEN
37W AND 42W.

A TROUGH...QUITE POSSIBLY WHAT WAS LEFT OF THE TROPICAL WAVE
WHICH GAVE RISE TO T.D. IRENE...WAS ALONG 13N50W 10N51W 7N51W...
MOVING WEST 10 KT. DEBRIS CLOUDS FROM DISSIPATING AND/OR ALREADY
DISSIPATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...AND WARMING CLOUD TOP
TEMPERATURES...FROM 8N TO 13N BETWEEN 48W AND 55W. UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW IS ON TOP OF THIS AREA.

AN EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 20N67W...
THROUGH THE MONA PASSAGE...TO 15N68W...TO VENEZUELA NEAR 9N69W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 16N76W 16N71W 18N70W 19N70W...
GOING FROM SOUTH OF THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO THE EASTERN
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

In short ...HOLY CRAP !!!

[DoctorHurricane2003]

Personally I don't think it was worthy of a holy crap, more of a hmmmmm to me. Just my opinion though.

[hurricanefreak1988]

Wow. There's only one thing to say... all aboard.

[WeatherEmperor]

Wow. There's only one thing to say... all aboard.

At time time of year they might as well.

<RICKY>

[WindRunner]

A close is needed on the second and third ones, especially due to the lack of the SAL. We could see those two develop, at least invests, over the next two-three days (IMO).

[cycloneye]

My best candidate at this time is the wave about to emerge Africa.




SAT imagery

[wxwatcher91]

latest NASA image