WATS UP August 6, 2005

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dhweather
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WATS UP August 6, 2005

#1 Postby dhweather » Sat Aug 06, 2005 11:06 am

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Western Atlantic Tropical Summary - WATS UP on August 6, 2005

<img src="http://www.diamondheadweather.com/wats20050806.jpg">

Tropical Storm Harvey continues to churn across the northern Atlantic.
Harvey will continue moving out to sea and will only be a threat to shipping lanes.

The never-ending massive area of Saharan Dust and Dry Air
continues to dominate most of the Atlantic tropical basin.

There is an upper level low to the North of Tropical Depression 9
that is shearing TD9 and pumping dry air into TD9. Thus, the
environment is not favorable for development.

An upper level low near Hispaniola continues moving westward. While
firing up modest convection, this ULL will not develop into a tropical cyclone.

Today's area of interest is off the Georgia/South Carolina coast.
There is an area of Low Pressure with a trough that is in an area
that is favorable for development. This system will move slowly NW or N
inland in the next couple of days. I would not be surprised if this area
develops into a tropical depression today or tomorrow before moving
inland. Surface data hints toward a surface circulation, so we will watch
this area closely for development.

Other than that, I do not expect tropical cyclone development in the
Western Atlantic for the next 24-48 hours.
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#2 Postby EDR1222 » Sat Aug 06, 2005 11:08 am

And the dry air just keeps hanging around!!
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#3 Postby dhweather » Sat Aug 06, 2005 11:18 am

The dry air is killing the tropical season.

If this does not let up, we're are going to be in for quite a lull, perhaps into
late September or October.
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Scorpion

#4 Postby Scorpion » Sat Aug 06, 2005 11:41 am

Lol late September ok.
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#5 Postby WindRunner » Sat Aug 06, 2005 1:05 pm

The WV seems to be pumping the driest air a little to the south of TD9; slightly better chance of development? :?:
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