#9/Irene Forecast 2: Much slower intensification

[Josephine96]

EXPERIMENTAL HURRICANE FORECAST
TROPICAL DEPRESSION #9
NJN WEATHER CENTER
7 PM FRI AUG 5TH 2005

Tropical Depression #9 continues to slowly trek in the Atlantic this evening and may slowly become Irene. She is becoming Irene a lot slower than 1st forecast, as I originally thought she'd gain a name by today.

#9 is having trouble organizing. Nice warm waters, but a very ragged system don't seem to be clicking quite yet. This is inhibiting Irene's potential naming and is not allowing #9 to intensify.

The NHC official forecast has "Irene" suddenly beginning to go WNW and maybe even NW or poleward in the next 5 days.. the question is.. Will the high be strong enough to block her from going to far north and allowing her to resume a west course.

All residents in the Islands should be closely watching #9, especially by Monday to see if she goes north or makes another path change to come much closer to the islands.

Here's my experimental 5 day track on Irene:
Tonight: Still #9.. Meandering out in the ATL. Max winds: 35 mph
Saturday: Slowly pushing WNW.. May finally get a name. Max winds: 40 mph
Sunday: Slow strenghtening in the open waters. Max Winds: 50 mph
Monday: Moving W or WNW. Possibly even further NW. Max winds: 55 mph
Tuesday: Staying on a WNW motion. Max Winds: 65 mph

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[WeatherEmperor]

You know what would be cool? Perhaps you should put some forecast points up for better orientation. Otherwise solid.

<RICKY>