When will 95L become a Depression

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #21 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Wed Aug 03, 2005 9:48 pm

Probably a depression by 11 pm tonight. But, NHC won't "consider" it a depression until probably tomorrow...

#22 Postby **HURAKAN** » Wed Aug 03, 2005 10:28 pm

In my humble opinion as a weather enthusiast over the last 6 years, I believe we could already be watching TD 9 over the E.A.*. But, the NHC needs visible images before making a decision to upgrade the system. Thereafter, is very possible we could have officially TD 9 by 5 am if this current organization trend continues.

* = Eastern Atlantic

Jim Cantore · #23 Postby **Jim Cantore** » Wed Aug 03, 2005 11:37 pm

5pm tommorow

this looks very healthy and I think will be even a storm by friday

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #24 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Wed Aug 03, 2005 11:38 pm

I think this will be a Isabel. Why because when the first visible comes out they will upgrade this to a tropical storm.

Jim Cantore · #25 Postby **Jim Cantore** » Wed Aug 03, 2005 11:40 pm

They did that with Hermine last year too

I could see it happening it has a well defined center already and good convection

ConvergenceZone · #26 Postby **ConvergenceZone** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 12:11 am

I guess it's too early to say if this is going to be a fish storm. They say it's moving west-northwest and from my experience, storms which start moving that direction when they are this far out usually end up as fish, unless it has a super strong ridge to the north, which isn't the case right now.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #27 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 12:19 am

This system looks like a Western Pacific system. Its already starting to develop banding. Its a strong tropical depression by satellite. In maybe a tropical storm soon.

http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsd ... PICAL.html

Astro_man92 · #28 Postby **Astro_man92** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 12:57 pm

this is way to spacific for me but I think Friday at around 5PM

#29 Postby **WeatherEmperor** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 12:58 pm

Im still sticking with 5pm today thursday.

<RICKY>

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #30 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 1:01 pm

Its banding has become very well defined. In with a well defined LLC with 35 to 40 knot winds over the southeastern quad. Convection is fading a little over the eastern quad. But developing over the LLC/Northern Quad.

I don't think the nhc wents to upgrade this...I will say 3 days from now once into recon range. They need recon to upgrade anymore. I give up.

#31 Postby **WeatherEmperor** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 1:02 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Its banding has become very well defined. In with a well defined LLC with 35 to 40 knot winds over the southeastern quad. Convection is fading a little over the eastern quad. But developing over the LLC/Northern Quad.

I don't think the nhc wents to upgrade this...I will say 3 days from now once into recon range. They need recon to upgrade anymore. I give up.

I made a joke about this yesterday but it looks like it could be for real to wait to send a plane in there but who knows.

<RICKY>

WindRunner · #32 Postby **WindRunner** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 2:40 pm

Can I change my vote? I say now.

When will 95L become a Depression

When will 95L be a depression

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