Northern GOM

#1 Postby **tailgater** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 8:26 am

I guess I'll be the one to start today thread on the T-storms in the northern gulf . Today's radar fairly clearly shows a rotation of the T-storms south of the Miss. coast and there seems to more popcorn convention all along the old trough.
The shear in this area has weaken somewhat and IMHO it's got a decent chance at development over the next 2 days

jax · #2 Postby **jax** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 9:17 am

if the trough mingles... there is plenty of engergy in the area...

#3 Postby **Stormcenter** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 9:52 am

tailgater wrote:I guess I'll be the one to start today thread on the T-storms in the northern gulf . Today's radar fairly clearly shows a rotation of the T-storms south of the Miss. coast and there seems to more popcorn convention all along the old trough.
The shear in this area has weaken somewhat and IMHO it's got a decent chance at development over the next 2 days

I agree the area does have a chance to develop.

#4 Postby **Dean4Storms** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 10:06 am

The outflows have moved alot further southward out into the Gulf as clearly seen on this visible loop. If convection can build out there and sustain it could stand a chance, but right now the low clearly seen by the rotation over the panhandle is just to close to land in proximity, if this area had been 50-100 miles further south we would probably already be looking at TC formation.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

#5 Postby **tailgater** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 10:15 am

After looking a little closer there are a few areas of rotation ie SE of Galveston, Miss and SE La. and south of Fla. panhandle. One of these would need to become more dominate or it will just stay like this, (Troughiness).

#6 Postby **jasons2k** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 10:47 am

Yep, I posted last week and I'll post again, I don't think anything will develop near that low near Mobile. If anything happens it will be in the central GOM. Of course, been waiting for this for a week now and nothing wants to gel...but the old trough/outflows are still there, so until that goes away, the area will have to be watched.

TS Zack · #7 Postby **TS Zack** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 10:51 am

If we see an explosion of thunderstorms that persist then we may have to deal with something trying to form. If something would form it would probably move inland rather quickly as a TD. Until that happens just a rainy weekend along the Gulf Coast.

#8 Postby **Steve** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 12:04 pm

The explosion is off the W LA coast. It seems that over the last week or so, wherever the water is anamolously warmer the day before, that's where the trof fires off the bigggest storms the next day. /just an observation

TPS

beachbum_al · #9 Postby **beachbum_al** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 1:19 pm

We have had storms all week long in Alabama in the afternoon.

jax · #10 Postby **jax** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 1:22 pm

here too... it make my heel spur hurt!

Sanibel · #11 Postby **Sanibel** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 1:33 pm

There's something twisting up there, but it should move inland before it develops...

Galvestongirl · #12 Postby **Galvestongirl** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 1:36 pm

is it moving this way, I would love it to rain.

#13 Postby **Canebo** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 2:17 pm

I was hoping for some rain from it too, but Ch. 13 Weather today said a high was moving down that would keep it away from us. :cry:

They've been wrong before, so I'll still keep my fingers crossed.

Sanibel · #14 Postby **Sanibel** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 2:24 pm

No rain has made it out here from the mainland for over 2 weeks now even though they've had heavy convection storms. This is telling you the tradewinds are weak unlike last year.

We had clear skies last night and you could see the milky way. Just a few days before the SAL and humidity were thick.

Even the ocean water was clear. It usually isn't.

#15 Postby **seaswing** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 2:45 pm

It has been raining here off and on since around noon. It has cooled off a lot! we sure have needed it lately!

#16 Postby **jasons2k** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 4:25 pm

GOM seems to be more active today than in the last week. Still nothing seems to be a focus, but I'm watching central, not north GOM.

Also, NWS Houston progs us to be in weakness for several more days

Lindaloo · #17 Postby **Lindaloo** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 4:46 pm

It has been raining here everyday since Sunday. It has rained all day today with some bad lightning. I am ready for some sunshine.

#18 Postby **tailgater** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 4:56 pm

jax wrote:here too... it make my heel spur hurt!

My plantar fascias has been hurt all week also, never thought about it being the weather.
Linda here in Ascension parish we just got 1 1/2 inches in about a hour lightin popin a little to close, had to unplug there for a bit.

T-man · #19 Postby **T-man** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 4:59 pm

It has rained here every day since Sunday also. 4.6in. Ground is saturated, rain is ponding in my area.

#20 Postby **jasons2k** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 9:19 pm

This is a very interesting read, esp. first 2 paragraphs

ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/pub/storm_archiv ... elim01.gif

Northern GOM

Northern GOM

Re: Northern GOM

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