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Stratusxpeye
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#81 Postby Stratusxpeye » Sat Jul 30, 2005 5:12 pm

What is all this convection over florida and out over the gulf just west of florida? Is this what they keep talking bout devoloping? Weve had some serius thunderstorms here on the west coast covering a huge area and its just very unusual
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#82 Postby Astro_man92 » Sat Jul 30, 2005 5:15 pm

Stratusxpeye wrote:What is all this convection over florida and out over the gulf just west of florida? Is this what they keep talking bout devoloping? Weve had some serius thunderstorms here on the west coast covering a huge area and its just very unusual
I think that is the system that we are talking about here so those weren't normal thunderstorms not to be superstitious or anything
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#83 Postby KatDaddy » Sat Jul 30, 2005 5:26 pm

There is definitely weak rotation over the NE GOM south of the ALA and FLA Coasts. Not sure much will come of it due to 20MPH wind shear but its definitely something to watch since we do have a little convection firing over the area.
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#84 Postby southerngale » Sat Jul 30, 2005 5:39 pm

Opal storm wrote:
HouTXmetro wrote:
Astro_man92 wrote:
Stormcenter wrote:
Opal storm wrote:
deltadog03 wrote:
Opal storm wrote:
HouTXmetro wrote:
deltadog03 wrote:ok, whre could this go inland at??


Just a wild guess, but anywhere from Missisippi to Corpus, TX

I don't think this will go to Texas,let alone develop into anything.Even if something does come out it will probably go inland towards the northern Gulf coast area.(SE LA to FL panhandle).


how do you figure?? just wondering....the high is building in

It's a 100 miles off the coast,if it moves due west it will crash into SE LA.Unless the high moves it WSW.


The spin I'm looking at is further south than 100 miles and it would not crash into SE La. if it moved westward.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... duration=7


and i'm looking at the batch of thunder storms that was over Florida about an hour or so ago


so which is it??????????? which system is our system to watch???????? :?:


People, People, just uses the NHC map and overlay it with the frontal boundary feature. The area of L pressure is WELL offshore and if it moved due west it would not crash into Louisiana.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Fine then,a category 5 for Texas,happy now?

I heard more than once that it was 100 miles or so offshore but I guess I heard wrong,I deeply apologize for being wrong.This thing is way too close too land for any significant development anyway and if it did move west SE LA would disrupt it.


That was uncalled for. They were just telling you where the LOW was and that if it moved west, it would not crash into SE La. and it wouldn't. According to the TPC discussion: the low is just south of the Alabama coast near 28N 87W. If you find the spot, you can see it's well southeast of Louisiana. Nobody is wishing for a cat. 5 in Texas!
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#85 Postby wxmann_91 » Sat Jul 30, 2005 5:55 pm

The circulation isn't going to survive, too much wind shear over the area. So it isn't going to come in anywhere IMHO.
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#86 Postby Astro_man92 » Sat Jul 30, 2005 6:12 pm

still that systemin the gulf almost looks like it has a circulation lol but still it almost looks like it
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#87 Postby Anonymous » Sat Jul 30, 2005 6:16 pm

It is worth keeping an eye on it has gone from a naked swirl yesterday to having some pretty decent convection today.
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#88 Postby deltadog03 » Sat Jul 30, 2005 6:33 pm

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#89 Postby Astro_man92 » Sat Jul 30, 2005 6:43 pm

for some reason i'm thinking that, that system in the gulf is going to develope. and it is reminding me of a tornado for some reason. it reminds me of a tornado because I think some times tornados form as miniature twisters on the grounds spinning in a circle (usually 3 or 4) and then kick up dust and for a bigger one. the system reminds me of this because it seems like two batches of cloubds are spinning around a center. I wonder if that means anything???
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#90 Postby Normandy » Sat Jul 30, 2005 6:51 pm

So according to that bouy....we have a.....

Batch of clouds with winds of 2 knots (easterly might I add).
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#91 Postby Agua » Sat Jul 30, 2005 6:54 pm

Normandy wrote:So according to that bouy....we have a.....

Batch of clouds with winds of 2 knots (easterly might I add).


:lol:
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#92 Postby HouTXmetro » Sat Jul 30, 2005 7:40 pm

Pressure is falling rapidly SW of the Low.
.
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42001
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#93 Postby Normandy » Sat Jul 30, 2005 7:44 pm

Well at least that bouy has 6 knots of wind.
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#94 Postby deltadog03 » Sat Jul 30, 2005 7:47 pm

yeah, that is a very steep drop...its been falling all day long in that area..
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#95 Postby HouTXmetro » Sat Jul 30, 2005 7:48 pm

Normandy wrote:Well at least that bouy has 6 knots of wind.



LOL, well if it does develop at least you will know I'll be the first to point it out.
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#96 Postby Stormcenter » Sat Jul 30, 2005 7:49 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:Pressure is falling rapidly SW of the Low.
.
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42001


That is VERY usual in my opinion.
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#97 Postby deltadog03 » Sat Jul 30, 2005 7:53 pm

usual??
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#98 Postby Normandy » Sat Jul 30, 2005 7:54 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:
Normandy wrote:Well at least that bouy has 6 knots of wind.



LOL, well if it does develop at least you will know I'll be the first to point it out.


And if it does develop I will be the first one eating crow.
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#99 Postby Stormcenter » Sat Jul 30, 2005 8:02 pm

deltadog03 wrote:usual??


You don't just have pressure falls but "rapid" pressure falls. That has to mean something is just not normal in the NE GOM.
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#100 Postby deltadog03 » Sat Jul 30, 2005 8:02 pm

why does everyone say the shear is strong??

there is no upper shear...

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_012s.gif
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