*NEW* Invest 93L Video Update with my thoughts

[Anonymous]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

In this new update, I have given my thoughts on this system, it has a good future ahead of it, I think:::

http://radio.nhcwx.com/flghchp/displayi ... m=2&pos=21

Comments Welcome

[Astro_man92]

yay it's here

[Anonymous]

It's a bit too early to see what conditions in the Western Caribbean will be like, however in general, 93L has nice conditions for the next few days.

[ConvergenceZone]

Thanx for the update Floyd!!

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

All I got to say if 93L doe's not develop into a tropical cyclone once over the Eastern Caribbean. I will eat crow!!!

[Astro_man92]

Question: what does an anti-cyclone do?

and 93L is my favorite to develope also. the strongest I thinkthe system will get over it's life is a cat 1 to be resonable but it would be cool if it for some dumb reason became a cat 4 for an hour then weakened back to a cat one lol that though is so dumb to me i'm laughing right now but back to the point.

great video as always. Very inforative and one reason why i like your videos so much is because they were pretty accurrate with emily.


ok i just had a though I think the NHC should have a computer that is actually a team of specialists that would estimate the path like one of those computers. I think that would be cool to have that.

and to close like I was saying ealier (to myself mostly) I think that 92L will either curve up and hit FL or I also think that it might not hit florida but it will go out into the gulf.

oh ya (this is getting long lol) you didn't mention our system in the gulf.??

[wxmann_91]

Great job Floydbuster on the video!

But why is the volume so low during the very beginning and end?

[wxmann_91]

Question: what does an anti-cyclone do?

This first paragraph could be wrong. The second paragraph I think is right.

I'm not really an expert, but an anticyclone is an area of high pressure, and if it's nearby an area of low pressure such as a hurricane it will enhance the pressure gradient and increase a hurricane's winds. Also, because it rotates clockwise, the west winds on the northern side and the east winds on the southern side of an anticyclone will help it with outflow?

But most important is that the anticyclone helps provide a pocket of low shear, which hurricanes like. Troughs, on the other hand, create environments of relatively high shear.

[Astro_man92]

Question: what does an anti-cyclone do?

This first paragraph could be wrong. The second paragraph I think is right.

I'm not really an expert, but an anticyclone is an area of high pressure, and if it's nearby an area of low pressure such as a hurricane it will enhance the pressure gradient and increase a hurricane's winds. Also, because it rotates clockwise, the west winds on the northern side and the east winds on the southern side of an anticyclone will help it with outflow?

But most important is that the anticyclone helps provide a pocket of low shear, which hurricanes like. Troughs, on the other hand, create environments of relatively high shear.

oh it sounds like anti-cyclone is something that does the exact opposite of what it does

[Anonymous]

Question: what does an anti-cyclone do?

and 93L is my favorite to develope also. the strongest I thinkthe system will get over it's life is a cat 1 to be resonable but it would be cool if it for some dumb reason became a cat 4 for an hour then weakened back to a cat one lol that though is so dumb to me i'm laughing right now but back to the point.

great video as always. Very inforative and one reason why i like your videos so much is because they were pretty accurrate with emily.


ok i just had a though I think the NHC should have a computer that is actually a team of specialists that would estimate the path like one of those computers. I think that would be cool to have that.

and to close like I was saying ealier (to myself mostly) I think that 92L will either curve up and hit FL or I also think that it might not hit florida but it will go out into the gulf.

oh ya (this is getting long lol) you didn't mention our system in the gulf.??

An anticyclone is high pressure over the top of the system that spins clockwise. Basically in layman's terms...it pushs negatives away from the cyclone and helps the cyclone expand and fan out.

[deltadog03]

great work mike...what about the Low in the gulf?? any thoughts?

[Anonymous]

I don't expect anything yet.

[Fego]

First time that I watch your Tropical Update Video. I liked it in terms of information, explanations & graphics. The volume's intro/closing was too much low. Man you are a kid!!, or look like a kid, but that is separated from your weather knowledge. Keep going while I'll keep watching your Tropical Update.

[Anonymous]

I'm almost 17 years old sir.

[luvcanescarol]

Terrific post, so informative and clear to someone like me who's trying to learn all I can about extreme weather. Keep up the great work! Carol

[Anonymous]

Thank you. The Upper Level Low shearing 92L will enhance 93L. Rather simple.

[gkrangers]

Thank you. The Upper Level Low shearing 92L will enhance 93L. Rather simple.

How is it going to enhance 93L? You said its rather simple, but we're all not as smart as you, kid.

[EDR1222]

Great information as usual Mike. Not sure about the possibility of wind shear for 93L once it gets into the central Caribbean. I know those types of forecasts are really hard to predict, but 93L's environment may not be that friendly down the road IMO. It does look good for the next day or so however.

Looks to be some shear in the central Caribbean now. Now whether it persists is another story. Sometimes that area can have persistent wind shear this time of year. But if it makes it into the western Caribbean, I think it definately has a good chance to develop.

[Anonymous]

[Astro_man92]

how do you draw those lines????