Official 93L Invest thread=93L is not anymore at NRL

Swimdude · #41 Postby **Swimdude** » Sat Jul 30, 2005 4:32 pm

93L is having all the problems and characteristics as Emily. Shear to begin with. A path towards the Yucatan. Moving West at 20 mph. [That's definately familiar!] This deja vu is killing me. :roll:

Astro_man92 · #42 Postby **Astro_man92** » Sat Jul 30, 2005 4:34 pm

Swimdude wrote:93L is having all the problems and characteristics as Emily. Shear to begin with. A path towards the Yucatan. Moving West at 20 mph. [That's definately familiar!] This deja vu is killing me.

does it look as healthy as emily did at this time in it's development????

Still I don't think we have another Emily on our hands at least this soon after it happened

gkrangers · #43 Postby **gkrangers** » Sat Jul 30, 2005 4:38 pm

Astro_man92 wrote:
Swimdude wrote:93L is having all the problems and characteristics as Emily. Shear to begin with. A path towards the Yucatan. Moving West at 20 mph. [That's definately familiar!] This deja vu is killing me.
does it look as healthy as emily did at this time in it's development????

Still I don't think we have another Emily on our hands at least this soon after it happened

No, Emily was already a TS. ALTHOUGH, some also wanted to call Emily an open wave at this point, too.

Astro_man92 · #44 Postby **Astro_man92** » Sat Jul 30, 2005 4:40 pm

gkrangers wrote:
Astro_man92 wrote:
Swimdude wrote:93L is having all the problems and characteristics as Emily. Shear to begin with. A path towards the Yucatan. Moving West at 20 mph. [That's definately familiar!] This deja vu is killing me.
does it look as healthy as emily did at this time in it's development????

Still I don't think we have another Emily on our hands at least this soon after it happened
No, Emily was already a TS. ALTHOUGH, some also wanted to call Emily an open wave at this point, too.

ya emily didn't develope an Eye untill she was a cat 3 right??

hicksta · #45 Postby **hicksta** » Sat Jul 30, 2005 4:41 pm

Hmm, i would think we will have various model flip flops until a strong center is identified

Website · #46 Postby **Brent** » Sat Jul 30, 2005 4:45 pm

I think Recon will probably find a TD tomorrow... assuming it doesn't fall apart overnight.

Website · #47 Postby **Brent** » Sat Jul 30, 2005 4:46 pm

Astro_man92 wrote:
gkrangers wrote:
Astro_man92 wrote:
Swimdude wrote:93L is having all the problems and characteristics as Emily. Shear to begin with. A path towards the Yucatan. Moving West at 20 mph. [That's definately familiar!] This deja vu is killing me.
does it look as healthy as emily did at this time in it's development????

Still I don't think we have another Emily on our hands at least this soon after it happened
No, Emily was already a TS. ALTHOUGH, some also wanted to call Emily an open wave at this point, too.

ya emily didn't develope an Eye untill she was a cat 3 right??

Emily was strange... waited forever for it to become a hurricane, then after the Hurricane Warnings are dropped, it finally becomes a hurricane. :lol:

#48 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Sat Jul 30, 2005 4:50 pm

93L seems to be taking shape and showing some outflow pattern:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg

Astro_man92 · #49 Postby **Astro_man92** » Sat Jul 30, 2005 4:52 pm

Brent wrote:I think Recon will probably find a TD tomorrow... assuming it doesn't fall apart overnight.

I hope it won't I'm getting sick of this lull it is like. "Now you invests if you get to develope a LLC i'm going to whip you and you wil then disipate" shouts the lull while the invest cower in fear. then 92L says " hmmm that lull dosn't scare me i'll develope a LLC if it she likes it or not" so 92L trys to develoe a LLC but the lull catches him and he starts to disipate but trys to come back to health. 93L see's 92L disipating and says " 92L was right that lull is mean i'll try and get an LLC" and now the rest of the story is still forseen lol

what do you think pretty funny huh lol

#50 Postby **wx247** » Sat Jul 30, 2005 6:55 pm

Looks pretty good. I am not sure that there is a TD here yet, but wouldn't be surprised if this doesn't continue to organize overnight. Can't wait to see what recon finds as it is so very important.

gkrangers · #51 Postby **gkrangers** » Sat Jul 30, 2005 6:57 pm

Yeah...alot can change when we're without visible shots. Infrared shows that is has sustained convection in one blob for a while now.

wxmann_91 · #52 Postby **wxmann_91** » Sat Jul 30, 2005 6:57 pm

IMO 93L needs to have more convection and gain latitude.

#53 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Jul 30, 2005 6:58 pm

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 55W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 20 KT WITH A
1012 MB LOW NEAR 11N/12N. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE
IS QUITE ACTIVE...WITH SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION EXTENDING FROM 10N-17N ALONG AND W OF THE WAVE AXIS
TO 58W. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW THAT THE WAVE IS AT THE
LEADING EDGE OF A WIND/AFRICAN DUST SURGE...WITH WINDS OF 20-25
KT BEHIND THE WAVE. WHILE LITTLE IN THE WAY OF ORGANIZATION IS
CURRENTLY NOTED...CONDITIONS MAY BECOME SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE
FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS AS THE WAVE MOVES
AROUND THE SW PERIPHERY OF THE MID/UPPER LEVEL HIGH OVER THE
CENTRAL ATLC. ON ITS CURRENT MOTION...SHOWERS AND TSTMS WILL
BEGIN TO AFFECT THE WINDWARD ISLANDS LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY SUN
WITH GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS.

The above is the discussion at 8:05 PM from TPC.

#54 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Jul 30, 2005 8:32 pm

I dont know what the members think but I see 93L less organized tonight than this afternoon.It has elongated it's convection however still the southern end has some turning going on.Let's see what appearence it has when the morning breaks.

DoctorHurricane2003 · #55 Postby **DoctorHurricane2003** » Sat Jul 30, 2005 8:55 pm

Only 92L is on that picture.....93L is off the photograph to the right.

#56 Postby **deltadog03** » Sat Jul 30, 2005 8:59 pm

92l looks descent.....fanning out somewhat...93l looks descent right now as well

Anonymous · #57 Postby **Anonymous** » Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:04 pm

Yea...for development stages....93L looks decent.

#58 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:14 pm

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT SAT JUL 30 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE...LOCATED ABOUT 200 MILES EAST OF THE CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN LESSER ANTILLES...IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 20 MPH. THIS
SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE...AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE ONLY
MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR. HOWEVER
...AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED
TO INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM SUNDAY AFTERNOON...IF NECESSARY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART

I knew I was seeing it less organized.

Swimdude · #59 Postby **Swimdude** » Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:28 pm

Less organized than this afternoon, for sure.

Lull is boring me...

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #60 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:30 pm

I'm going to start watching the western pacific. :roll:

Official 93L Invest thread=93L is not anymore at NRL

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