Homegrown? Naked circulation developing in GOM!!!!!!!

[Frank P]

from the water vapor appears to have a weak ULL SSE of it and another ULL off to the SW... need to keep checking radar as some of the convection off the AL/FL line hints of moving south, and off the panhandle towards the north... perhaps early signs of it trying to form some kind of weak circulation out in the GOM... if you look really hard it hints of perhaps a really weak rotation about 100 miles south of Destin.... maybe...

maybe I'm just bored and want something to track... time for me to take a break and go to a movie....

[HouTXmetro]

You have to fix the link, but there is circulation there.

You can see an overview on the Mobile and NW FL Long Range Loops. On the Mobile loop, you can see the storms in Central Mississippi and SE LA going one way with the storms to the east feeding in. Overall broad circulation seems to be centered over land per the radar.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... kmob.shtml


And some banding (mid-level?) shows up east and south of Panama City.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... kevx.shtml

Steve

I would have to agree, not much is going to get going over land but the NHC still has the Low offshore. As I stated before, if that LOW is as far south as the NHC depicts things will get really interesting. Just by looking at the radar off the coast the convection is showing some impressive banding.

[Nimbus]

Interesting presentation on radar.
Made me look!

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42039

[tailgater]

Surface obs and buoy reports show broad weak circ. off fla panhandle w/ slightly lower pressures than surroundings.

[rockyman]

Here's the Coastal Waters forecast "discussion" issued by Mobile NWS:

FZUS54 KMOB 301518
CWFMOB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1030 AM CDT SAT JUL 30 2005

GULF COASTAL WATERS DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA OUT 60 NM

GMZ600-302130-
SYNOPSIS FOR DESTIN FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 60 NM INCLUDING MOBILE
BAY-
1030 AM CDT SAT JUL 30 2005

SYNOPSIS
A STATIONARY FRONT OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA WILL REMAIN
ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION THROUGH SUNDAY AS IT REMAINS A
FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. A WEAK SURFACE LOW WILL
DEVELOP TODAY OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO AND BEGIN TO
SLOWLY MOVE WESTWARD TONIGHT AND MONDAY. SURFACE WIND SPEEDS LOOK
TO MAINLY BE LIGHT. A MORE SOUTHERLY WIND DIRECTION IS FORECAST
BETWEEN SUNDAY AND TUESDAY...THEN SOUTHWESTERLY BY WEDNESDAY.

[HouTXmetro]

It's very weak, and pressures are rising.

[tailgater]

http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_map.gif
It's certainly will take a while if ever to develop this system

[HouTXmetro]

Pressures are now falling, however the convection is movin east.

[Astro_man92]

Personally I wouldn't expect anything big out of this system

[Hurricaneman]

I dont know, it may go, but it will take 2 to 3 days

[Astro_man92]

I dont know, it may go, but it will take 2 to 3 days

but it is so close to land. I don't think it has enough time to develope unless it moves south or west. Can it even??

[Stormcenter]

I dont know, it may go, but it will take 2 to 3 days

but it is so close to land. I don't think it has enough time to develope unless it moves south or west. Can it even??

Are we looking at the same thing here? It really is not that close to land.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... duration=7

[Astro_man92]

I dont know, it may go, but it will take 2 to 3 days

but it is so close to land. I don't think it has enough time to develope unless it moves south or west. Can it even??

Are we looking at the same thing here? It really is not that close to land.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... duration=7

where is it at in that loop

[Stormcenter]

I dont know, it may go, but it will take 2 to 3 days

but it is so close to land. I don't think it has enough time to develope unless it moves south or west. Can it even??

Are we looking at the same thing here? It really is not that close to land.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... duration=7

where is it at in that loop

What I'm looking at is due south of the AL/FL stateline.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... duration=7

[Hurricaneman]

Look about 100 miles south of Pensacola

[Astro_man92]

Look about 100 miles south of Pensacola

oh I was looking at that big batch of thunder stroms over the flodida panhandle or is that it. That batch seems to have moved south or the thunderstorms that where over land disapated a little because the cloudes aren't so high.