92 Invest plot map a chiller.........

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dixiebreeze
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92 Invest plot map a chiller.........

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Fri Jul 29, 2005 4:11 pm

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HouTXmetro
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#2 Postby HouTXmetro » Fri Jul 29, 2005 4:13 pm

Not going to be too strong if the Southern tracks verify.
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[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]

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#3 Postby dixiebreeze » Fri Jul 29, 2005 4:22 pm

The 5:30 TPC is still hanging it's collective hat on probable development tonight or Sat. Recon set up to fly Sat.
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#4 Postby TheShrimper » Fri Jul 29, 2005 4:28 pm

This will be a non entity. Too much land to cross for such an undeveloped system. It was different with Georges, it was a full fledged cane when it started it's land trek. I wouldnt sweat it.
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#5 Postby The Big Dog » Fri Jul 29, 2005 4:31 pm

TheShrimper wrote:This will be a non entity. Too much land to cross for such an undeveloped system. It was different with Georges, it was a full fledged cane when it started it's land trek. I wouldnt sweat it.

Depends on how much of it goes over Hispanola. If it tracks north of there, it could be trouble.
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Rainband

#6 Postby Rainband » Fri Jul 29, 2005 4:33 pm

With the way this year has been I am watching it. :wink:
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#7 Postby vbhoutex » Fri Jul 29, 2005 4:33 pm

TheShrimper wrote:This will be a non entity. Too much land to cross for such an undeveloped system. It was different with Georges, it was a full fledged cane when it started it's land trek. I wouldnt sweat it.


Where are you expecting the LLCC to form, if it does? Your statement presumes that 92L will trek across the land area, yet latest from NHC dico suggests that the llcc will be in the NE Carib. With the ridge expected to build in do you not expect a more southern track, possibly south of the islands. And yes I have seen the lastest model plots.
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#8 Postby Brent » Fri Jul 29, 2005 4:34 pm

It bears watching... but likely won't be more than a rainmaker. I don't forsee a powerful hurricane at all. It's very poorly organized.
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jax

#9 Postby jax » Fri Jul 29, 2005 4:42 pm

Brent wrote:It bears watching... but likely won't be more than a rainmaker. I don't forsee a powerful hurricane at all. It's very poorly organized.


but if it makes the straits and ito the GOM with any orginazation left
to it... Watch out!
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#10 Postby Brent » Fri Jul 29, 2005 4:52 pm

jax wrote:
Brent wrote:It bears watching... but likely won't be more than a rainmaker. I don't forsee a powerful hurricane at all. It's very poorly organized.


but if it makes the straits and ito the GOM with any orginazation left
to it... Watch out!


True... but for the Peninsula, nothing more than a rainmaker/weak system.
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#11 Postby hicksta » Fri Jul 29, 2005 5:04 pm

jax wrote:
Brent wrote:It bears watching... but likely won't be more than a rainmaker. I don't forsee a powerful hurricane at all. It's very poorly organized.


but if it makes the straits and ito the GOM with any orginazation left
to it... Watch out!


I got a question. I heard the GOM formed from millons of years of hurricanes take out the sand... once hitting
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Anonymous

#12 Postby Anonymous » Fri Jul 29, 2005 5:07 pm

Brent wrote:
jax wrote:
Brent wrote:It bears watching... but likely won't be more than a rainmaker. I don't forsee a powerful hurricane at all. It's very poorly organized.


but if it makes the straits and ito the GOM with any orginazation left
to it... Watch out!


True... but for the Peninsula, nothing more than a rainmaker/weak system.


Don't jynx it. LOL This is not over. The system will be moving into a favorable environment over the next few days. Some models make it an 80-90 mph hurricane. That is pretty nasty.
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Re: 92 Invest plot map a chiller.........

#13 Postby johngaltfla » Fri Jul 29, 2005 5:07 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:for South Florida:

http://weather.net-waves.com/td92.php


Too early to tell....
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#14 Postby fci » Fri Jul 29, 2005 5:21 pm

I'm rooting for a rainmaker for SE Fla since we have been very dry since the very wet early summer.
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#15 Postby tailgater » Fri Jul 29, 2005 5:28 pm

vbhoutex wrote:
TheShrimper wrote:This will be a non entity. Too much land to cross for such an undeveloped system. It was different with Georges, it was a full fledged cane when it started it's land trek. I wouldnt sweat it.


Where are you expecting the LLCC to form, if it does? Your statement presumes that 92L will trek across the land area, yet latest from NHC dico suggests that the llcc will be in the NE Carib. With the ridge expected to build in do you not expect a more southern track, possibly south of the islands. And yes I have seen the lastest model plots.

I'm with you on this one,it's been tracking pretty much west and could very well stay south of the large mountains(which effect developed systems much worse than weak ones) could be kicked out west or curl up toward Fla. IVANISH[/list]
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