Homegrown? Naked circulation developing in GOM!!!!!!!

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HouTXmetro
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Homegrown? Naked circulation developing in GOM!!!!!!!

#1 Postby HouTXmetro » Fri Jul 29, 2005 3:46 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Joe-B an others have been hinting at a Low forming in the Gulf along the stalled frontal boundary. I have just checked the latest VIS and there is indeed a circulation south of the the AL/FL border. If you overlay the NHC frontal boundary on the map of above you will see exactly what I'm talking about. Is this what some have been hinting at? To me it's only a matter of time before convections starts to fire around it. I already TS on the right side developing.
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#2 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Jul 29, 2005 3:48 pm

Now that is interesting how these systems form. Like Danny 1997 its worth watching.
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Re: Homegrown? Naked circulation developing in GOM!!!!!!!

#3 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Jul 29, 2005 3:50 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/gmex-vis-loop.html

Joe-B an others have been hinting at a Low forming in the Gulf along the stalled frontal boundary. I have just checked the latest VIS and there is indeed a circulation south of the the AL/FL border. If you overlay the NHC frontal boundary on the map of above you will see exactly what I'm talking about. Is this what some have been hinting at? To me it's only a matter of time before convections starts to fire around it. I already TS on the right side developing.


I missed that, thanks!
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#4 Postby Normandy » Fri Jul 29, 2005 3:50 pm

Sorry I dont see it.
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#5 Postby HouTXmetro » Fri Jul 29, 2005 3:53 pm

Normandy wrote:Sorry I dont see it.


Maybe you are not looking hard enough. Use the vis map I provided and overlay it with the NHC frountal boundary. If you look south of the AL/FL coast you can;t miss it with the overlay.
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#6 Postby Normandy » Fri Jul 29, 2005 3:54 pm

Ohh well i see it now....its so darn broad its hard to spot.
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#7 Postby Astro_man92 » Fri Jul 29, 2005 3:56 pm

I don't see the circulation either. But it seems to but conneted to the front doesn't that mean that it won't develope???????
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#8 Postby Thunder44 » Fri Jul 29, 2005 3:56 pm

I only see a slight twist in the low clouds, and I wouldn't get excited about it being a TS yet.
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#9 Postby HouTXmetro » Fri Jul 29, 2005 3:57 pm

Normandy wrote:Ohh well i see it now....its so darn broad its hard to spot.


Yeah, not much convection there. I have a feeling that will start to change soon if the cirulation get's stronger.
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#10 Postby GalvestonDuck » Fri Jul 29, 2005 3:57 pm

I think it's hard to see for my amateur eyes. (Not doubting ya, wxcrazy...just not skilled enough to see it.)
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#11 Postby Rashid » Fri Jul 29, 2005 3:58 pm

it's very broad and extremely disorganized. at this pace, it will take a long time to develop...
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#12 Postby Huckster » Fri Jul 29, 2005 3:58 pm

That's impressive that you spotted that. Once you're told where to look, it's obvious, but it's so faint I don't think I'd have otherwised noticed it.
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#13 Postby southerngale » Fri Jul 29, 2005 3:59 pm

GalvestonDuck wrote:I think it's hard to see for my amateur eyes. (Not doubting ya, wxcrazy...just not skilled enough to see it.)


wxcrazy hasn't posted in this thread, duckie. :wink:
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#14 Postby HouTXmetro » Fri Jul 29, 2005 3:59 pm

GalvestonDuck wrote:I think it's hard to see for my amateur eyes. (Not doubting ya, wxcrazy...just not skilled enough to see it.)


wxcrazy? are you refering to me? I don't see where he posted in this thread. :lol:
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#15 Postby Steve » Fri Jul 29, 2005 4:01 pm

It would also help to use the zoom button on the bottom of the screen and hit it twice where the frontal line is.

Thing is there's been some SWly flow to the south of that area and NEly flow to the north of it since yesterday. Convergence is just waiting to happen as is a split in the jet. Okay, maybe not, but the models have been putting a weak low in the area for 2 days now. :)

Steve
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#16 Postby Normandy » Fri Jul 29, 2005 4:01 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:
Normandy wrote:Ohh well i see it now....its so darn broad its hard to spot.


Yeah, not much convection there. I have a feeling that will start to change soon if the cirulation get's stronger.


And theres shear over it....i dont think its gonna happen here.
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#17 Postby PTrackerLA » Fri Jul 29, 2005 4:04 pm

Danny formed when an intense MCS moved off the coast of Louisiana, persisted for a day, and then a circulation developed which soon became Danny. This is more like going from nothing to something out of thin air :wink: , not saying it can't happen but I'm not expecting much.
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#18 Postby HouTXmetro » Fri Jul 29, 2005 4:05 pm

Normandy wrote:
HouTXmetro wrote:
Normandy wrote:Ohh well i see it now....its so darn broad its hard to spot.


Yeah, not much convection there. I have a feeling that will start to change soon if the cirulation get's stronger.


And theres shear over it....i dont think its gonna happen here.


There is shear there.
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#19 Postby GalvestonDuck » Fri Jul 29, 2005 4:13 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:
GalvestonDuck wrote:I think it's hard to see for my amateur eyes. (Not doubting ya, wxcrazy...just not skilled enough to see it.)


wxcrazy? are you refering to me? I don't see where he posted in this thread. :lol:


Oops, yeah...you. :)
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#20 Postby HouTXmetro » Fri Jul 29, 2005 4:17 pm

GalvestonDuck wrote:
HouTXmetro wrote:
GalvestonDuck wrote:I think it's hard to see for my amateur eyes. (Not doubting ya, wxcrazy...just not skilled enough to see it.)


wxcrazy? are you refering to me? I don't see where he posted in this thread. :lol:


Oops, yeah...you. :)


LOL, don't make me come down there!
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