Take a look at this update!!

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dixiebreeze
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Take a look at this update!!

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Jul 28, 2005 10:51 pm

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... testBW.gif

Right through the Florida Straits??!!
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#2 Postby skysummit » Thu Jul 28, 2005 10:53 pm

What's the blue jagged line mean?
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#3 Postby clfenwi » Thu Jul 28, 2005 10:55 pm

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... testBW.gif

72 hour forecast would seem to suggest more of a peninsula hit if anything for Florida...
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#4 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Thu Jul 28, 2005 10:55 pm

And curving into FL's west coast? I think I'm reading wrong...
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#5 Postby Brent » Thu Jul 28, 2005 10:56 pm

skysummit wrote:What's the blue jagged line mean?


I thought Cold Front but there's no way one would make it to South Florida this time of year.

:?: :?: :?:
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#6 Postby x-y-no » Thu Jul 28, 2005 10:56 pm

skysummit wrote:What's the blue jagged line mean?


That's the ridge.

(edit - ridge axis ... as correctly pointed out below)
Last edited by x-y-no on Thu Jul 28, 2005 10:58 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#7 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Jul 28, 2005 10:56 pm

Yes, the whole scenario looks a bit dicey for Florida.
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#8 Postby clfenwi » Thu Jul 28, 2005 10:57 pm

skysummit wrote:What's the blue jagged line mean?


My guess is that it represents the ridge axis.
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#9 Postby skysummit » Thu Jul 28, 2005 10:59 pm

clfenwi wrote:
skysummit wrote:What's the blue jagged line mean?


My guess is that it represents the ridge axis.


Ok, thanks to you and x-y-no :D
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#10 Postby x-y-no » Thu Jul 28, 2005 11:02 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:Yes, the whole scenario looks a bit dicey for Florida.


Yes, if the ridge is that strong, that's not good news for South Florida.
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#11 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Thu Jul 28, 2005 11:05 pm

So would it go around the blue axis as if it were a radius?
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#12 Postby clfenwi » Thu Jul 28, 2005 11:12 pm

x-y-no wrote:
dixiebreeze wrote:Yes, the whole scenario looks a bit dicey for Florida.


Yes, if the ridge is that strong, that's not good news for South Florida.


But the 48-72 hour forecast is not depicting a strong ridge across Florida... just the opposite in fact; it shows a fairly rapidly retreating ridge...which would imply more of a threat to the Carolinas than Florida...
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#13 Postby Swimdude » Thu Jul 28, 2005 11:15 pm

Must be the ridge. Will keep 92L pretty far South, that's for sure.
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#14 Postby Brent » Thu Jul 28, 2005 11:22 pm

My initial feeling is 92L stays east of Florida... the only way I think it can affect Florida directly is it doesn't develop...
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#15 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Jul 28, 2005 11:32 pm

QuikScat for 92:

http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/sto ... _at_1.html
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#16 Postby EDR1222 » Fri Jul 29, 2005 6:36 am

Brent wrote:My initial feeling is 92L stays east of Florida... the only way I think it can affect Florida directly is it doesn't develop...


I am thinking this way as well.
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#17 Postby alicia-w » Fri Jul 29, 2005 7:18 am



Not sure what the deal is, but the date for this is 21 July, so it cant be 92L....
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#18 Postby clfenwi » Fri Jul 29, 2005 7:23 am

alicia-w wrote:


Not sure what the deal is, but the date for this is 21 July, so it cant be 92L....


Try a shift-reload?

I'm currently getting

Storm number: 92 Storm name: INVEST
Data buffer is Jul 29 10:42 UTC 2005
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#19 Postby Frank2 » Fri Jul 29, 2005 7:29 am

Good Morning:

I just read the 5:30 a.m. TWO, but, it should be retitled "Much ado about nothing" - we've all seen "vigorous tropical waves" in the past - does this look like one?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... VIS/20.jpg

Frank
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#20 Postby vbhoutex » Fri Jul 29, 2005 9:25 am

The quiscat sure doesn't suggest that the system will need to be flown this afternoon. Still just a wave, which could enhance chances of a continues Westerly movement.
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