Take a look at this update!!

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

Take a look at this update!!

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Jul 28, 2005 10:51 pm

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... testBW.gif

Right through the Florida Straits??!!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:
Contact skysummit

#2 Postby skysummit » Thu Jul 28, 2005 10:53 pm

What's the blue jagged line mean?
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#3 Postby clfenwi » Thu Jul 28, 2005 10:55 pm

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... testBW.gif

72 hour forecast would seem to suggest more of a peninsula hit if anything for Florida...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Tampa Bay Hurricane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5598
Age: 37
Joined: Fri Jul 22, 2005 7:54 pm
Location: St. Petersburg, FL

#4 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Thu Jul 28, 2005 10:55 pm

And curving into FL's west coast? I think I'm reading wrong...
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38266
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#5 Postby Brent » Thu Jul 28, 2005 10:56 pm

skysummit wrote:What's the blue jagged line mean?


I thought Cold Front but there's no way one would make it to South Florida this time of year.

:?: :?: :?:
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
User avatar
x-y-no
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8359
Age: 65
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:14 pm
Location: Fort Lauderdale, FL

#6 Postby x-y-no » Thu Jul 28, 2005 10:56 pm

skysummit wrote:What's the blue jagged line mean?


That's the ridge.

(edit - ridge axis ... as correctly pointed out below)
Last edited by x-y-no on Thu Jul 28, 2005 10:58 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#7 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Jul 28, 2005 10:56 pm

Yes, the whole scenario looks a bit dicey for Florida.
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#8 Postby clfenwi » Thu Jul 28, 2005 10:57 pm

skysummit wrote:What's the blue jagged line mean?


My guess is that it represents the ridge axis.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:
Contact skysummit

#9 Postby skysummit » Thu Jul 28, 2005 10:59 pm

clfenwi wrote:
skysummit wrote:What's the blue jagged line mean?


My guess is that it represents the ridge axis.


Ok, thanks to you and x-y-no :D
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
x-y-no
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8359
Age: 65
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:14 pm
Location: Fort Lauderdale, FL

#10 Postby x-y-no » Thu Jul 28, 2005 11:02 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:Yes, the whole scenario looks a bit dicey for Florida.


Yes, if the ridge is that strong, that's not good news for South Florida.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Tampa Bay Hurricane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5598
Age: 37
Joined: Fri Jul 22, 2005 7:54 pm
Location: St. Petersburg, FL

#11 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Thu Jul 28, 2005 11:05 pm

So would it go around the blue axis as if it were a radius?
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#12 Postby clfenwi » Thu Jul 28, 2005 11:12 pm

x-y-no wrote:
dixiebreeze wrote:Yes, the whole scenario looks a bit dicey for Florida.


Yes, if the ridge is that strong, that's not good news for South Florida.


But the 48-72 hour forecast is not depicting a strong ridge across Florida... just the opposite in fact; it shows a fairly rapidly retreating ridge...which would imply more of a threat to the Carolinas than Florida...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Swimdude
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2270
Joined: Mon Jul 26, 2004 11:57 am
Location: Houston, TX

#13 Postby Swimdude » Thu Jul 28, 2005 11:15 pm

Must be the ridge. Will keep 92L pretty far South, that's for sure.
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38266
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#14 Postby Brent » Thu Jul 28, 2005 11:22 pm

My initial feeling is 92L stays east of Florida... the only way I think it can affect Florida directly is it doesn't develop...
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#15 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Jul 28, 2005 11:32 pm

QuikScat for 92:

http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/sto ... _at_1.html
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
EDR1222
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1253
Joined: Mon Nov 10, 2003 12:58 pm
Location: Melbourne, FL

#16 Postby EDR1222 » Fri Jul 29, 2005 6:36 am

Brent wrote:My initial feeling is 92L stays east of Florida... the only way I think it can affect Florida directly is it doesn't develop...


I am thinking this way as well.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
alicia-w
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6400
Joined: Tue Aug 12, 2003 2:55 pm
Location: Tijeras, NM

#17 Postby alicia-w » Fri Jul 29, 2005 7:18 am



Not sure what the deal is, but the date for this is 21 July, so it cant be 92L....
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#18 Postby clfenwi » Fri Jul 29, 2005 7:23 am

alicia-w wrote:


Not sure what the deal is, but the date for this is 21 July, so it cant be 92L....


Try a shift-reload?

I'm currently getting

Storm number: 92 Storm name: INVEST
Data buffer is Jul 29 10:42 UTC 2005
0 likes   
Top
Frank2
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4061
Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2005 12:47 pm

#19 Postby Frank2 » Fri Jul 29, 2005 7:29 am

Good Morning:

I just read the 5:30 a.m. TWO, but, it should be retitled "Much ado about nothing" - we've all seen "vigorous tropical waves" in the past - does this look like one?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... VIS/20.jpg

Frank
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
vbhoutex
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 29133
Age: 74
Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 11:31 pm
Location: Cypress, TX
Contact:
Contact vbhoutex

#20 Postby vbhoutex » Fri Jul 29, 2005 9:25 am

The quiscat sure doesn't suggest that the system will need to be flown this afternoon. Still just a wave, which could enhance chances of a continues Westerly movement.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 34 guests