Tropics just won't stop!
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ThunderMate
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Tropics just won't stop!
Here we go again! another threat of a tropical depression forming within the next couple of days and with a weakening ridge this one is calling the east coasts name. An increase in east coast threats should occur over the next couple of weeks as the African wave train gets under way with less African dust and a weaker ridge allowing the storms to curve around and into the east coast. Any thoughts on where this Invest will be heading and how strong the "H" storm could be when its still even July. All water temps. from Africa all the way across the atlantic to the east coast up to Canada are all above normal meaning vigorous storms possible.
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I think its a little to early to speculate where this system may go. Right Now, lets just wait and see if we see something form.
The track depends on how strong the storm is at different points, the exact location of its LLC, and the heading it is currently going. All these questions must be answered before we go on and try to figure out where it will go.
Right Now, the ridge will build in with a strong trough digging into the NE. Now will that be enough to turn the Invest Poleward is yet to be determined.
The track depends on how strong the storm is at different points, the exact location of its LLC, and the heading it is currently going. All these questions must be answered before we go on and try to figure out where it will go.
Right Now, the ridge will build in with a strong trough digging into the NE. Now will that be enough to turn the Invest Poleward is yet to be determined.
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WeatherEmperor
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beachbum_al
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wxwatcher91
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TS Zack wrote:I think its a little to early to speculate where this system may go. Right Now, lets just wait and see if we see something form.
The track depends on how strong the storm is at different points, the exact location of its LLC, and the heading it is currently going. All these questions must be answered before we go on and try to figure out where it will go.
Right Now, the ridge will build in with a strong trough digging into the NE. Now will that be enough to turn the Invest Poleward is yet to be determined.
Agreed, lets see if it even develops first. It looks like it is still fighting with an upper level low.
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Remember the great "Wave Train" of Monday... not too impressive now. A TC is still a rare event, it takes many factors, not just light shear and warm SST. A lot of things have to fall into place. Predicting development and intensity is a crap shoot when compared to forcasting tracks of established TC's.
92L is the only hope left of the Great Wave Train of 2005, and I would give it 50/50 at this point..
92L is the only hope left of the Great Wave Train of 2005, and I would give it 50/50 at this point..
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beachbum_al
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wxwatcher91 wrote:what is scary is... this is a lull...
the SAL is stopping a lot of the development... once the SAL clears out in maybe a week more at most, the tropics will likely give birth to 2-3 storms a week through August...
2 to 3 storms a week. Oh my! Lions, Tigers, and Bears oh my! I think I might better hide.
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Astro_man92
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wxwatcher91 wrote:what is scary is... this is a lull...
the SAL is stopping a lot of the development... once the SAL clears out in maybe a week more at most, the tropics will likely give birth to 2-3 storms a week through August...
ya I think that the tropics are just stoping to make a pit stop and after the dust clears they are going to put in high gear to win the race ;lets hop they don't or else they might spawn 15 more
1st place= 15+ more named storms
2nd place= 13-14 more named storms
3rd place= 11-12 more named storms
4th place= 9-10 more named storms
5th place= 7-8 more named storms
6th place= 5-6 more named storms
7th place= 3-4 more named storms
8th place= 1-2 more named storms
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mike18xx
You're predicting 8 to 12 storms in August?wxwatcher91 wrote:what is scary is... this is a lull... the SAL is stopping a lot of the development... once the SAL clears out in maybe a week more at most, the tropics will likely give birth to 2-3 storms a week through August...
That'll be.....exciting.
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