Model support for /something/ to form right on the GC...

[Stormtrack]

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
920 AM CDT THU JUL 28 2005

.DISCUSSION...
CF IS OFFSHORE AND MOVING SE ACROSS OUR MARINE AREA. WINDS AT BUOY 35 ARE NW AROUND 15 KTS. DW PTS REMAIN IN THE MID 70S ACROSS COASTAL SECTIONS...BUT THESE SHOULD FALL SOME DURING THE DAY.

Correction Its not a CF, it's a HF (hot front)...lol

[jasons2k]

[vbhoutex]

Just happened onto this thread and now my interest is peaked to say the least. I haven't had time to check out anything, and may not till later tonight, but I do distinctly remember one of our local OCM's showing an ULL on the map near the mouth of the MS river this am. I couldn't stop and listen so I figured it was just something that would continue on East along the front. So much for that, at least from what I am reading. Shades of Alicia here as far as location.(I HOPE NOT!!!) Past that I imply nothing.

Definitely "cooler" here in Houston where I am if you call 86º at 11:20am cool. Compared to the low 90's have been hitting at this time most days it is.

[jasons2k]

Well, the heat will be on but the humidity should go down, so if may "feel" a little better outside.

The downside is now I have to soak my plants. They don't like the "dry" heat and lack of rain. Hopefully we can get a wave or something out of this and we can get some rain again, but not another "A" storm cousin...

[PTrackerLA]

For whatever reason, what was supposed to be a decent shot at some heavy rain has turned into nothing. There's not a cloud in the sky right now and it definately feels as if the front has come through with a northerly breeze. The NWS Lake Charles apparently still thinks we'll see a 40% coverage of rain later today but I know from experience that it's not gonna happen. Nothing going on off the coast of LA yet either.

[jasons2k]

OK, finally had a chance to check out JB's video this AM.

For one, proably most "restrained" video I've seen in awhile. He was even wearing a jacket!

Anyway, no bold predictions, just a summary of "things to watch" and used the ETA quite a bit for his talking points.

He said in GOM, south of LA, expect thunderstorms to converge and as the system becomes better ventilated something may develop around Sunday and track westward.

Franklin finally moves out.

Upper feature over Bahamas will have to watched as it moves up Eastern Seaboard over weekend and will at least produce rain/squalls, maybe develop into some "hybrid" system similiar to GOM.

92L will continue westward or NW and high pressure develops ahead of it allowing it to ventilate and develop further and will be watching closely.

Summed up with 'looks like last several weeks all over again, seems like by Friday we'll have several things to look out for and by Monday we'll have something'

He did not speculate on ultimate fate or path of 92L, and didn't even mention waves in open Atlantic.

[jasons2k]

For whatever reason, what was supposed to be a decent shot at some heavy rain has turned into nothing. There's not a cloud in the sky right now and it definately feels as if the front has come through with a northerly breeze. The NWS Lake Charles apparently still thinks we'll see a 40% coverage of rain later today but I know from experience that it's not gonna happen. Nothing going on off the coast of LA yet either.

Yeah, we were supposed to get slammed last night with seabreeze converging with front and "locally heavy rainfall" was mentioned in AFDs and actual forecasts. We ended up with nada too.

[LAwxrgal]

For whatever reason, what was supposed to be a decent shot at some heavy rain has turned into nothing. There's not a cloud in the sky right now and it definately feels as if the front has come through with a northerly breeze. The NWS Lake Charles apparently still thinks we'll see a 40% coverage of rain later today but I know from experience that it's not gonna happen. Nothing going on off the coast of LA yet either.

It's quite warm out and we're getting a breeze out of the northwest, which is a dry wind...

[Steve]

It's been raining here for the last half hour and thundering for about the last hour or more.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/latest/DS ... klix.shtml

So the energy is still over land, and the jury is out whether or not the model support for anything surface, mid-level or upper could form down there over the weekend. It's going to take some time (Sat/Sun?) to see whether or not anything gets cooking.

Steve