Franklin

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
Cookiely
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3211
Age: 74
Joined: Fri Aug 13, 2004 7:31 am
Location: Tampa, Florida

Franklin

#1 Postby Cookiely » Wed Jul 27, 2005 4:23 pm

Can anyone tell me what Franklin is doing. It looks like the center is literally exploding thousands of feet in the air?
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huwvloop.html
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wxmann_91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8013
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2005 2:49 pm
Location: Southern California
Contact:
Contact wxmann_91

#2 Postby wxmann_91 » Wed Jul 27, 2005 4:39 pm

The center is not exploding. New convection, though, is - over the center.

It means that Franklin is back in the game. If you read the latest NHC discussion it says Frankie might become a hurricane in a day or so if this strengthening trend continues :eek:.
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#3 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Jul 27, 2005 4:40 pm

Lets see how strong Franklin can get!!!
0 likes   
Top
Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10385
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

#4 Postby Sanibel » Wed Jul 27, 2005 4:42 pm

Convection has now shifted SW of center.


Track is slow recurve in front of the trough.


Track is west of yesterday's NHC, but still scooting poleward...
0 likes   
Top
rainstorm

#5 Postby rainstorm » Wed Jul 27, 2005 4:49 pm

frankie lives!!
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38266
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

Re: Franklin

#6 Postby Brent » Wed Jul 27, 2005 5:08 pm

Cookiely wrote:Can anyone tell me what Franklin is doing. It looks like the center is literally exploding thousands of feet in the air?
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huwvloop.html


The "center" doesn't explode... the center is the same center that was there when it was exposed. The convection over the storm has exploded. It's a sign of strengthening.
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
wayoutfront

#7 Postby wayoutfront » Wed Jul 27, 2005 5:09 pm

like a big belch
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
EDR1222
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1253
Joined: Mon Nov 10, 2003 12:58 pm
Location: Melbourne, FL

#8 Postby EDR1222 » Wed Jul 27, 2005 6:06 pm

rainstorm wrote:frankie lives!!


All summer maybe? 8-)
0 likes   
Top
Rashid
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 60
Joined: Sat Jul 23, 2005 12:51 am

#9 Postby Rashid » Wed Jul 27, 2005 6:07 pm

Franklin is simply taking his time meandering before the next trough grabs him and kills him over the north Atlantic. I'd be surprised if he reaches cat 1 strength.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Swimdude
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2270
Joined: Mon Jul 26, 2004 11:57 am
Location: Houston, TX

#10 Postby Swimdude » Wed Jul 27, 2005 6:15 pm

Franklin's been all over the place. Everywhere except hurricane status! I'd be incredibly surprised if he makes it. Anyone know if there's a record for the longest amount of time that a storm has been in existance BEFORE it reached hurricane status? I mean, Franklin must be going on a week here.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Astro_man92
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1493
Joined: Sun Jul 17, 2005 1:26 am
Contact:
Contact Astro_man92

#11 Postby Astro_man92 » Wed Jul 27, 2005 6:26 pm

wxmann_91 wrote:The center is not exploding. New convection, though, is - over the center.

It means that Franklin is back in the game. If you read the latest NHC discussion it says Frankie might become a hurricane in a day or so if this strengthening trend continues :eek:.


Finally!!! He makes up his mind
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Hurricaneman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7404
Age: 45
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:24 pm
Location: central florida

#12 Postby Hurricaneman » Wed Jul 27, 2005 6:27 pm

Probably fishing
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Astro_man92
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1493
Joined: Sun Jul 17, 2005 1:26 am
Contact:
Contact Astro_man92

#13 Postby Astro_man92 » Wed Jul 27, 2005 6:27 pm

Sanibel wrote:Convection has now shifted SW of center.


Track is slow recurve in front of the trough.


Track is west of yesterday's NHC, but still scooting poleward...


I hope the trough weakens or can it
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
EDR1222
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1253
Joined: Mon Nov 10, 2003 12:58 pm
Location: Melbourne, FL

#14 Postby EDR1222 » Wed Jul 27, 2005 6:31 pm

This next trough coming along looks to be pretty strong. It is barrelling right along so it should finally start to push him away with the strong SW flow in front of it.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Hurricanehink
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2044
Joined: Sun Nov 16, 2003 2:05 pm
Location: New Jersey

#15 Postby Hurricanehink » Wed Jul 27, 2005 9:38 pm

Swimdude wrote:Franklin's been all over the place. Everywhere except hurricane status! I'd be incredibly surprised if he makes it. Anyone know if there's a record for the longest amount of time that a storm has been in existance BEFORE it reached hurricane status? I mean, Franklin must be going on a week here.

I'll bite.
Hurricane Dennis from 1981 took 23 days, but was a tropical wave for three of those days (after it reformed, it took 5 days).
Hurricane Lisa last year took 11.5 days as a tropical cyclone.
If Franklin takes 6 more days (unlikely) it would take the record.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Astro_man92
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1493
Joined: Sun Jul 17, 2005 1:26 am
Contact:
Contact Astro_man92

#16 Postby Astro_man92 » Wed Jul 27, 2005 9:40 pm

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... 00506.html

I think it might become a hurricane if the trough holds off
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Hurricaneman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7404
Age: 45
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:24 pm
Location: central florida

#17 Postby Hurricaneman » Wed Jul 27, 2005 9:54 pm

Franklin seems to be strengthening
0 likes   
Top
Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10385
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

#18 Postby Sanibel » Thu Jul 28, 2005 1:06 am

That big trough mike18xx said was too weak to push Franklin is appearing and pushing Franklin.

The storm has a good medium burst over it now over the Gulf Stream.

Wicked hot and humid here at night in SW Florida. 80* 2am. West wind from the Gulf bringing humid air. African dust was thick today causing haze and hazy sun...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
EDR1222
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1253
Joined: Mon Nov 10, 2003 12:58 pm
Location: Melbourne, FL

#19 Postby EDR1222 » Thu Jul 28, 2005 6:35 am

Looks like Franklin is finally picking up some speed this morning. Maybe almost time to say "see you in 2011 Frankie!"
0 likes   
Top
Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10385
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

#20 Postby Sanibel » Thu Jul 28, 2005 3:03 pm

Convection nicely centered, but storm too weak to support serious intensification.

Tropical storm max...
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Hurricane2022 and 41 guests