WATS UP - July 27, 2005

[dhweather]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.



Western Atlantic Tropical Summary - WATS up July 27, 2005

<img src="http://www.diamondheadweather.com/wats20050727.jpg">

I suppose the Dixie Chicks need to redo "Goodbye Earl" and sing
"Goodbye Franklin", because Franklin has got to die! What a pesky
storm that has persisted for a week now. He's been vigilant, fighting
upper level lows, shear, trofs, you name it. Every time the convection
fades off and I thin Franklin has breathed his last breath, BAM, another
flareup occurs.

Elsewhere, there's another upper level low to the southwest of Franklin,
which is enhancing the outflow of Franklin's southwestern quadrant.
There's a lot of dry air north of Franklin. Not in this picture, but a ridge
is moving off of the New England states eastward. The clockwise flow
around this is moving the dry air North of Franklin westward, and should
provide a more favorable environment for the northern half of Franklin
tomorrow. An approaching trof should move Franklin out to sea in the next 2-3 days.

The Caribbean sea is dominated with dry air today. Invest 92L is coming
into the picture now, and if nothing else, will mix up the environment
and make conditions more favorable for 93L and beyond. It is still too
early to write off 92L - strange things have happened this year.

Dry air also covers a good portion of the Southeastern US today.
Prepare for more hot, humid, and miserable conditions.


Comments welcomed!


David

[EDR1222]

Good analysis. Thanks for posting. It will be interesting to see what effect the SAL ends up having on 92. As you said, maybe it will give 93 a better chance.

[sweetpea]

You are not kidding about hot, miserable and humid conditions. At 10:45 it was 93 degrees outside according to my car.

[beachbum_al]

I was going to do something funny but after reading the lyrics to Goodbye Earl I just couldn't do it. I guess I really never realize what the song was about.

[Rashid]

hey, here in Phoenix we have the patent on early morning heat. there have been a few nights over the past few weeks where we haven't dropped below 94 degrees for a low.

[dhweather]

hey, here in Phoenix we have the patent on early morning heat. there have been a few nights over the past few weeks where we haven't dropped below 94 degrees for a low.

Ouch!