When 93L will be classified as TD or never at all?

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When 93L will be classified as TD or never al all?

Tonight at 11 PM
1
2%
Wednesday at 5 AM
2
4%
Wednesday at 11 AM
12
23%
Wednesday at 5 PM
12
23%
Wednesday at 11 PM
5
9%
Thursday at 5 AM
1
2%
Thursday at 11 AM
2
4%
Thursday at 5 PM
8
15%
Thursday at 11 PM
1
2%
On Friday and after that day
3
6%
Never 93L will be classified as TD
6
11%
 
Total votes: 53
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wxmann_91
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#21 Postby wxmann_91 » Tue Jul 26, 2005 9:01 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:I believe TD 6 in 1995 was classified as a TD after recon found a closed circ with winds of 20KT


Derek is right, ya know. (scroll down to the bottom)

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/1995td6a.html
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EDR1222
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#22 Postby EDR1222 » Tue Jul 26, 2005 9:19 pm

93L Looks good. Maybe by Wednesday evening.
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#23 Postby Hurricanehink » Tue Jul 26, 2005 9:22 pm

I would say 5 PM. It is always 5PM :lol:
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#24 Postby Hurricaneman » Tue Jul 26, 2005 11:05 pm

11 am
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#25 Postby beachbum_al » Tue Jul 26, 2005 11:09 pm

I am going to say around 11am tomorrow morning.
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mike18xx

#26 Postby mike18xx » Tue Jul 26, 2005 11:23 pm

gkrangers wrote:
Astro_man92 wrote:
gkrangers wrote:It needs a surface circulation first...
so is that why some storms start out as imidiate TS because the winds where TS strength when the surfac circulation started?
I'm not positive here, but the storms that are immediately declared TS, are probably Invest areas that recon flew into and found a closed LLC and TS winds.Theres no recon when the storms are coming off Africa...so they just go off satellite estimates. So its unlikely to get a invest right to TS out there.
Sometimes folks are caught flat-footed, as in the case of Hurricane Alex, which, IIRC, went straight from either a "nothing" or a TD straight to a HUR when morning satellite visibles revealed a tiny closed eye chugging away.
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caplan1
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#27 Postby caplan1 » Wed Jul 27, 2005 12:47 pm

Im thinking by tomorrow at 5PM.
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Derek Ortt

#28 Postby Derek Ortt » Wed Jul 27, 2005 1:10 pm

I'm thinking maybe in about 4-5 days, once it breaks free of the SAL. Models do tend to develop this system
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#29 Postby dhweather » Wed Jul 27, 2005 1:14 pm

I think Friday - it needs another day or two to get going.
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