Possible Gulf Development Next Week and Ridge Uncertainties

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

If 92L does get its act together, and whether it goes into the gulf or not, can you imagine how LARGE that circulation is going to be??? That is a huge wave and if it gets cranking around, it will be a big big puppy no matter where it ends up! -if it heads for land, it could be an incredible rain producer. Was it Jeane or Frances that just seemed to go on and on and on and on and on....

[Ivanhater]

haaaa, sorry, just making sure

[jax]

If 92L does get its act together, and whether it goes into the gulf or not, can you imagine how LARGE that circulation is going to be??? That is a huge wave and if it gets cranking around, it will be a big big puppy no matter where it ends up! -if it heads for land, it could be an incredible rain producer. Was it Jeane or Frances that just seemed to go on and on and on and on and on....

yes.... I was noticing that this morning... HUGE!!!
we will see....

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

Correct me if I'm wrong, but isn't this wave much larger than the one that created Floyd? -and that storm was massive!

[Johnny]

Thanks for the good news everyone...especially since I will vacationing down in Galveston the weekend after next..August 5th through the 8th. We probably won't get anything but I was hoping I wouldn't have to keep my eye on anything.

[jasons2k]

if anything becomes of it i'm sure it will decrease in size when the pressure falls begin and the storm tightens up.

[Steve]

>>If 92L does get its act together, and whether it goes into the gulf or not, can you imagine how LARGE that circulation is going to be???

It's going to be a larger storm than most of what we've seen this year (tendency for smaller systems).

Joe, though, is basing his progs on 92L off the ECMWF. Let's don't forget that it's had a southern bias the last couple of seasons. I think high pressure in the Atlantic prevents the GFS recurvature scenario (as noted in the video), but I wouldn't be so sure that it's a Gulf storm yet.

Steve

[beachbum_al]

Maybe I misread this but did someone say that a tropical low could form from this front that is coming through right now that is supposed to stall out near Al/Miss? Or did they mean that 92L could be steer by the stall front because nothing can get passed it.

Just wondering!

[Ivanhater]

Maybe I misread this but did someone say that a tropical low could form from this front that is coming through right now that is supposed to stall out near Al/Miss? Or did they mean that 92L could be steer by the stall front because nothing can get passed it.

Just wondering!

ya, there are 2 systems the gulf might have to deal with

[HouTXmetro]

Yep Joe B says 92L is Gulf bound. The wave as a nice signature and covers a large area. For some reason I more concerned about this one and the Upper TX Coast. Just a feeling.

I'll be watching it too, but right now most interested in what happens with leftover piece of trough in GOM over the weekend...that was how A---- started....

LOL, I'm glad you didn't mention her name. No one is allowed to speak of her around here.

are yall talking about allison???

Actully I was referring to one of her Great Ancestors.

[beachbum_al]

Maybe I misread this but did someone say that a tropical low could form from this front that is coming through right now that is supposed to stall out near Al/Miss? Or did they mean that 92L could be steer by the stall front because nothing can get passed it.

Just wondering!

ya, there are 2 systems the gulf might have to deal with

Thanks! I guess we will never get the plywood off of all of the windows at my house. Yes I still have plywood up from Dennis. Most of it is down but the back window and bathroom has it up because they were hard to get to.

[jax]

Maybe I misread this but did someone say that a tropical low could form from this front that is coming through right now that is supposed to stall out near Al/Miss? Or did they mean that 92L could be steer by the stall front because nothing can get passed it.

Just wondering!

ya, there are 2 systems the gulf might have to deal with

Thanks! I guess we will never get the plywood off of all of the windows at my house. Yes I still have plywood up from Dennis. Most of it is down but the back window and bathroom has it up because they were hard to get to.

I've got our plywood down... but not stored way yet... on the ready!

[Ivanhater]

Maybe I misread this but did someone say that a tropical low could form from this front that is coming through right now that is supposed to stall out near Al/Miss? Or did they mean that 92L could be steer by the stall front because nothing can get passed it.

Just wondering!

ya, there are 2 systems the gulf might have to deal with

Thanks! I guess we will never get the plywood off of all of the windows at my house. Yes I still have plywood up from Dennis. Most of it is down but the back window and bathroom has it up because they were hard to get to.

i tell ya, our area needs to just keep the boards on stand by, its just ridiculous

[fci]

Once they go up here; we keep the upstairs ones up until Mid-October.
We tend to get storms in multiples when we get one.

[wobblehead]

For what its worth the FSU super ensanble forecast a disturbance forming in the north central Gulf as well as down in the e. Carib.

[LAwxrgal]

Yep Joe B says 92L is Gulf bound. The wave as a nice signature and covers a large area. For some reason I more concerned about this one and the Upper TX Coast. Just a feeling.

I'll be watching it too, but right now most interested in what happens with leftover piece of trough in GOM over the weekend...that was how A---- started....

LOL, I'm glad you didn't mention her name. No one is allowed to speak of her around here.

are yall talking about allison???

Actully I was referring to one of her Great Ancestors.

Another A lady whose name shall not be mentioned. Does her name end with an A also?

There's a lot of speculating going on, all we can do at this point is issue a BEAR WATCH.

[HouTXmetro]

Yep Joe B says 92L is Gulf bound. The wave as a nice signature and covers a large area. For some reason I more concerned about this one and the Upper TX Coast. Just a feeling.

I'll be watching it too, but right now most interested in what happens with leftover piece of trough in GOM over the weekend...that was how A---- started....

LOL, I'm glad you didn't mention her name. No one is allowed to speak of her around here.

are yall talking about allison???

Actully I was referring to one of her Great Ancestors.

Another A lady whose name shall not be mentioned. Does her name end with an A also?

There's a lot of speculating going on, all we can do at this point is issue a BEAR WATCH.

[wxwatcher91]

ok just to summarize what to watch here... (PLEASE correct on anything that you think needs correcting)

92L is organized but convection is limited to approximately two thunderstorms

93L is behind it and is looking okay...

behing 93L is another TW that has been out over water for the past 12-18 hours... and behind that is one just exiting off Africa...

NOW there is talk of some action in the Gulf...

that is 5 systems to watch PLUS more to come off of Africa... I'm saying maybe 3 of these develop

oh and a question... when is the SAL clearing out? how much longer?

[jasons2k]

Yep Joe B says 92L is Gulf bound. The wave as a nice signature and covers a large area. For some reason I more concerned about this one and the Upper TX Coast. Just a feeling.

I'll be watching it too, but right now most interested in what happens with leftover piece of trough in GOM over the weekend...that was how A---- started....

LOL, I'm glad you didn't mention her name. No one is allowed to speak of her around here.

are yall talking about allison???

Actully I was referring to one of her Great Ancestors.

Yeah, could be either one...hehe

[beachbum_al]

So 5 could be a pest.