EATS OUT - July 26, 2005

#1 Postby **dhweather** » Tue Jul 26, 2005 3:43 pm

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Another product with a catchy name

Eastern Atlantic Tropical Summary, and this, the first version, is out!

<img src="http://www.diamondheadweather.com/eats20050726.jpg">

First, we have Invest 92L, labeled "1", which is heading west-northwest.
This wave is not looking great right now, however, it is fighting dry air
and saharan dust off.

Next is an intesesting little wave that has fired up this afternoon,
labeled "2". This is one to watch - if the convection persists.

Finally, another massive wave has emerged off of the coast of Africa,
labeled "3". This wave already has a good presentation and we are
getting to the point in the 2005 season where the far eastern atlantic
can support tropical systems. If this wave stays organized this well
for the next day or two, then we'll probably have the official kickoff
for the 2005 Cape Verde season.

Lots of dry air, circled in yellow, plus our well-established subtropical ridge
feeding these waves to us as fast as they can come out.

Further to the east are several more disturbances over the African continent. We'll be busy for a while.

Comments welcomed!

David

Hurricaneman · #2 Postby **Hurricaneman** » Tue Jul 26, 2005 3:45 pm

The next two waves behind 92l look to be the ones to watch

Anonymous · #3 Postby **Anonymous** » Tue Jul 26, 2005 3:45 pm

Good sum-up. Although, wave # 2 to me, reminds me of Isabel. It went from a wave to a TS rapidly faster than anyone expected.

#4 Postby **dhweather** » Tue Jul 26, 2005 3:49 pm

I agree - #2 is the one to watch. 92L may shake off this dust and dry air,
and spin up, so I certainly won't discount that right now. Wave #2 looks
pretty impressive for now - Isabel - yowza! That will bring back
memories for some. It will be interesting to see what the future holds
for wave #3 - a quick poof, then regenrate, or will it stay together.

Thanks for the feedback!

Anonymous · #5 Postby **Anonymous** » Tue Jul 26, 2005 3:52 pm

I still think 92L holds a chance, however the system behind it may be real deal.

mtm4319 · #6 Postby **mtm4319** » Tue Jul 26, 2005 3:53 pm

"EATS OUT" might be a little too catchy. :eek:

#7 Postby **Ivanhater** » Tue Jul 26, 2005 3:53 pm

~Floydbuster wrote:I still think 92L holds a chance, however the system behind it may be real deal.

isnt it a bit to far north and will just turn out, or is it moving wsw as someone stated earlier, you better spend a lot of time on these in your video :grrr:

mahicks · #8 Postby **mahicks** » Tue Jul 26, 2005 3:54 pm

Good Job...plz keep this up :-)

#9 Postby **jasons2k** » Tue Jul 26, 2005 3:55 pm

Thanks DH!

#10 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Jul 26, 2005 3:55 pm

2 and 3 are the ones I like the most for development.

thefixed · #11 Postby **thefixed** » Tue Jul 26, 2005 4:06 pm

I shifted my focus more towards #2 now it appears to be a better candidate for Harvey.

#12 Postby **WeatherEmperor** » Tue Jul 26, 2005 4:08 pm

I still dont even know why the current 92L was even called an invest in the first place.

<RICKY>

Hurricaneman · #13 Postby **Hurricaneman** » Tue Jul 26, 2005 4:10 pm

Beats me

#14 Postby **dhweather** » Tue Jul 26, 2005 4:15 pm

92L is a wave associated with an area of low pressure, that's probably the
leading reason its an invest right now.

Mike Naso is a sharp guy, he's not going to say something will be a
hurricane in 6 days unless he's pretty darn sure. I'm not quite
as confident as he is, but as I said earlier, there is no reason to
discount 92L just yet. If it gets away from the dray air and dust,
we'll probably see it spin up quickly.

Thanks all for the feedback, I hope to do the WATS UP each morning,
and the EATS OUT each afternoon. Catchy names, it's all in the marketing! :lol:

Anonymous · #15 Postby **Anonymous** » Tue Jul 26, 2005 4:22 pm

Well, thanks for the nice words. However, I may be munching crow in a few days. Although, I forecast Wave #2 to develop as well. So, if 92L dies, and Wave #2 forms.....hmm...50% crow.

gkrangers · #16 Postby **gkrangers** » Tue Jul 26, 2005 4:23 pm

~Floydbuster wrote:Well, thanks for the nice words. However, I may be munching crow in a few days. Although, I forecast Wave #2 to develop as well. So, if 92L dies, and Wave #2 forms.....hmm...50% crow.

This thread is slowly heading towards the gutter.

#17 Postby **dhweather** » Tue Jul 26, 2005 4:23 pm

Worst case, 92L is a sacrifical wave to get the environment ready for
Wave #2.

#18 Postby **WeatherEmperor** » Tue Jul 26, 2005 4:24 pm

dhweather wrote:Worst case, 92L is a sacrifical wave to get the environment ready for
Wave #2.

yeah that would seem a bit more likely.

<RICKY>

Rashid · #19 Postby **Rashid** » Tue Jul 26, 2005 6:44 pm

92L has great signature for a tropical wave and has plenty of potential as it nears the Caribbean.

#20 Postby **dhweather** » Tue Jul 26, 2005 7:23 pm

And now we have 93L

EATS OUT - July 26, 2005

EATS OUT - July 26, 2005

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