Gert forecast #2: Minimal TS making landfall by Midnight

[Josephine96]

EXPERIMENTAL HURRICANE FORECAST
TROPICAL STORM GERT
NJN WEATHER CENTER
5PM ET SUN JULY 24TH 2005

Tropical Storm Gert continues to approach the Mexican coast as a minimal TS with winds around 40 mph.

Gert formed yesterday in the BOC as our 7th tropical depression. This now means we have had 7 TD's and 7 named storms. The Atlantic is batting .1000

Gert will not have much time to strengthen but may strengthen to 45-50 mph before landfall, which will most likely be around midnight eastern.

Gerts' threat will be rain. Her winds are strong to blow loose things around but only on the immediate coast. Gert's rains will dump on places that may have been affected by Emily, so those in the path should be expected to move to higher grounds if need be.

Gert should die out quickly when she gets on land.

Here's the experimental forecast on Gert:
Tonight: Making landfall in Central Mexico around midnight. Max winds: 45 mph
Monday: Dumping rains inland over mountanous areas. Max winds: 35 mph
Tuesday: A remnant extratropical system. Max Winds: 20 mph


The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[Hurricaneman]

Great detailed analysis

[Josephine96]

thank you Hurricane Man

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Nice job good forecast....

[Swimdude]

In other words, we'll see Gert in 2011. Along with his buddies Arlene, Bret, Cindy, and, most likely, Franklin.

[WeatherEmperor]

In other words, we'll see Gert in 2011. Along with his buddies Arlene, Bret, Cindy, and, most likely, Franklin.

already looking forward to 2K11 are ya?

<RICKY>

[Sanibel]

Gert bursting and getting good form while moving into Tampico...

[Sanibel]

Gert bursting at landfall.

[EDR1222]

She looks pretty good this evening.