HPC 5-Day Forecast

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KatDaddy
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HPC 5-Day Forecast

#1 Postby KatDaddy » Sun Jul 24, 2005 2:04 pm

Day 4 and 5 maps depict a large TW moving across the Caribbean toward the GOM.

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/5dayfcst_wbg.gif
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Anonymous

#2 Postby Anonymous » Sun Jul 24, 2005 2:06 pm

Yep...

Image

I actually think this will be a system before the islands.
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#3 Postby stormcloud » Sun Jul 24, 2005 2:08 pm

Gee, should we just get it over with and give it a name now? :lol:
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#4 Postby Anonymous » Sun Jul 24, 2005 2:10 pm

It has come off the coast in a bad way. (BAD FOR PEOPLE WHO HATE HURRICANES) and it looks rather healthy. I'll spend some good time on it during my video update.
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Mac

#5 Postby Mac » Sun Jul 24, 2005 2:16 pm

stormcloud wrote:Gee, should we just get it over with and give it a name now? :lol:


Naw. Too high of a likelihood that a Cat 5 will materialize out of thin air in the Carrib ahead of it between now and when it hits the islands. Then we'd have to deal with the whole renaming and gender reassignment issues. Too much trouble. :wink:
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Re: HPC 5-Day Forecast

#6 Postby dhweather » Sun Jul 24, 2005 2:31 pm

KatDaddy wrote:Day 4 and 5 maps depict a large TW moving across the Caribbean toward the GOM.

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/5dayfcst_wbg.gif


And with the ridge strong in place, as depicted, it will likely head to Mexico.
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Re: HPC 5-Day Forecast

#7 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sun Jul 24, 2005 2:36 pm

dhweather wrote:
KatDaddy wrote:Day 4 and 5 maps depict a large TW moving across the Caribbean toward the GOM.

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/5dayfcst_wbg.gif


And with the ridge strong in place, as depicted, it will likely head to Mexico.


wow you must either know your weather dynamics very well or got alot of guts to be saying that. lol

<RICKY>
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#8 Postby Lowpressure » Sun Jul 24, 2005 3:00 pm

The wave "has the look" of a potential nasty storm.
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#9 Postby EDR1222 » Sun Jul 24, 2005 3:04 pm

It looks good right now. I guess it is behind the big dust cloud, so that shouldn't be a factor.
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#10 Postby Lowpressure » Sun Jul 24, 2005 3:07 pm

My question would be, how much effect will this extreme heat have on water temps and tropical areas in regards to cane available heat energy and high water temps for fuel?
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#11 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sun Jul 24, 2005 3:07 pm

just give it some time. waters are warm enough to support some development.

<RICKY>
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#12 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Jul 24, 2005 3:10 pm

Lowpressure wrote:My question would be, how much effect will this extreme heat have on water temps and tropical areas in regards to cane available heat energy and high water temps for fuel?


The hurricanes can use all the energy they want, the sun will be there to follow the systems track and rewarm the water. No problem of heat outages!
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#13 Postby Lowpressure » Sun Jul 24, 2005 3:13 pm

HURAKAN wrote:
Lowpressure wrote:My question would be, how much effect will this extreme heat have on water temps and tropical areas in regards to cane available heat energy and high water temps for fuel?


The hurricanes can use all the energy they want, the sun will be there to follow the systems track and rewarm the water. No problem of heat outages!


Thanks for the response, I guess my point was really that we seem to have extra heat to fuel these storms to work with and make the season worse.
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#14 Postby Stormcenter » Sun Jul 24, 2005 3:18 pm

Things must be really slow if we're talking about a system that is at least a week away and already saying it will go into Mexico again. Do you'll realize how inaccurate those 5-7 forecasts are?
Last edited by Stormcenter on Sun Jul 24, 2005 5:11 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#15 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sun Jul 24, 2005 3:25 pm

Stormcenter wrote:Things must be really slow if we're talking about a system that is at least a week away and already saying it will go into Mexico again. Did you'll realize how inaccurate those 5-7 forecasts are?


exactly my point.

<RICKY>
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#16 Postby deltadog03 » Sun Jul 24, 2005 3:33 pm

yeah...lets not fight about ridges yet :D
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