TS Franklin Recon Reports

clfenwi · #121 Postby **clfenwi** » Sun Jul 24, 2005 1:37 am

(deleted incorrect information)

got confused by dates ...next flight launches at 1700Z on Sunday with a fix before 2100Z[/i]

#122 Postby **wxman57** » Sun Jul 24, 2005 8:55 am

Franklin appears to be a TD this morning. Low-level center is detached and expanding. Something like this would never be UPGRADED to a TS.

<img src="http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/franklin23.gif">

#123 Postby **dhweather** » Sun Jul 24, 2005 9:18 am

Well, Franklin the forecaster said that Frankin the storm may cease to
exist in 2-3 days. It looks like he was right.

Ixolib · #124 Postby **Ixolib** » Sun Jul 24, 2005 9:20 am

Well, the LLC may have detached, but that is STILL a heck of a lot of convection...

#125 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jul 25, 2005 10:07 am

954
URNT12 KNHC 251451
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 25/14:29:20Z
B. 31 deg 14 min N
069 deg 30 min W
C. 850 mb 1421 m
D. 25 kt
E. 211 deg 039 nm
F. 002 deg 027 kt
G. 249 deg 053 nm
H. 1000 mb
I. 18 C/ 1522 m
J. 25 C/ 1522 m
K. 14 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 / 8
O. 0.02 / 3 nm
P. AF308 0606A FRANKLIN OB 05
MAX FL WIND 27 KT W QUAD 14:07:40 Z
SFC CNTR 130 DEGREES / 5 NM FROM FL CNTR

Hey there is a mission now there and look what they found a lower pressure interesting right?

#126 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jul 25, 2005 10:12 am

492
UZNT13 KNHC 251505
XXAA 75158 99305 70686 11508 99008 27229 19025 00072 26627 19028
92757 21628 21538 85489 17611 22035 88999 77999
31313 09608 81450
61616 AF308 0606A FRANKLIN OB 07
62626 MXWNDBND SPL 3050N06859W 1452 MBL WND 20031 AEV 20507 DLM W
ND 20533 007905 WL150 19028 081 =
XXBB 75158 99305 70686 11508 00008 27229 11952 23014 22915 21442
33850 17611 44843 16004
21212 00008 19025 11988 20033 22979 20029 33972 19534 44951 21032
55926 21538 66905 21037 77843 22535
31313 09608 81450
61616 AF308 0606A FRANKLIN OB 07
62626 MXWNDBND SPL 3050N06859W 1452 MBL WND 20031 AEV 20507 DLM W
ND 20533 007905 WL150 19028 081 =

Dropsonde.

#127 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jul 25, 2005 10:14 am

SXXX50 KNHC 251502
SXXX50

SXXX50 KNHC 251501
AF308 0606A FRANKLIN HDOB 27 KNHC
1451. 3027N 06834W 01525 0029 222 034 160 160 034 01599 0000000000
1452 3026N 06832W 01525 0030 219 033 160 160 034 01600 0000000000
1452. 3025N 06831W 01527 0029 219 036 160 160 037 01601 0000000000
1453 3024N 06829W 01521 0030 217 036 152 152 037 01596 0000000000
1453. 3023N 06828W 01525 0030 215 036 156 156 037 01601 0000000000
1454 3022N 06827W 01525 0031 215 039 158 158 040 01602 0000000000
1454. 3021N 06826W 01524 0031 215 038 158 158 039 01601 0000000000
1455 3019N 06824W 01525 0032 216 032 164 164 035 01602 0000000000
1455. 3018N 06823W 01520 0032 220 035 162 148 037 01598 0000000000
1456 3017N 06822W 01527 0034 220 036 162 146 037 01606 0000000000
1456. 3016N 06821W 01522 0034 222 041 162 146 042 01601 0000000000
1457 3015N 06819W 01524 0034 222 043 158 158 045 01604 0000000000
1457. 3014N 06818W 01523 0036 226 039 160 152 040 01604 0000000000
1458 3012N 06817W 01527 0037 230 040 162 154 041 01610 0000000000
1458. 3011N 06815W 01524 0039 228 037 158 158 043 01609 0000000000
1459 3010N 06814W 01523 0041 233 036 156 156 039 01610 0000000000
1459. 3009N 06813W 01524 0042 228 035 158 158 035 01611 0000000000
1500 3008N 06812W 01524 0043 229 032 160 156 033 01612 0000000000
1500. 3006N 06810W 01525 0044 229 030 158 152 032 01615 0000000000
1501 3005N 06809W 01523 0045 227 031 166 142 031 01614 0000000000

45kts the most so far.

#128 Postby **Pebbles** » Mon Jul 25, 2005 10:20 am

Wow.. I wonder about that lower pressure... more Franklin surprises for us!

StormsAhead · #129 Postby **StormsAhead** » Mon Jul 25, 2005 10:23 am

SXXX50 KNHC 251522
AF308 0606A FRANKLIN HDOB 29 KNHC
1513 2953N 06744W 01526 0053 210 039 140 140 040 01625 0000000000
1513. 2955N 06744W 01523 0053 212 037 160 160 039 01622 0000000000
1514 2957N 06744W 01525 0049 208 045 140 140 047 01619 0000000000
1514. 2959N 06744W 01524 0046 206 051 128 128 051 01616 0000000000
1515 3001N 06744W 01525 0049 207 046 132 132 048 01620 0000000000
1515. 3003N 06744W 01522 0052 198 036 138 138 037 01620 0000000000
1516 3005N 06744W 01525 0053 211 036 150 150 037 01623 0000000000
1516. 3007N 06745W 01525 0052 212 038 152 152 039 01622 0000000000
1517 3009N 06745W 01521 0053 207 035 156 156 037 01619 0000000000
1517. 3011N 06745W 01523 0052 212 033 156 156 034 01621 0000000000
1518 3013N 06745W 01526 0051 211 034 160 160 034 01623 0000000000
1518. 3014N 06745W 01522 0049 210 029 158 158 032 01616 0000000000
1519 3016N 06746W 01527 0046 196 026 152 152 030 01619 0000000000
1519. 3018N 06746W 01521 0046 200 032 154 154 033 01612 0000000000
1520 3020N 06747W 01525 0044 204 031 156 156 031 01614 0000000000
1520. 3022N 06747W 01528 0042 203 028 158 158 031 01615 0000000000
1521 3024N 06747W 01520 0039 198 043 162 162 049 01604 0000000000
1521. 3026N 06746W 01528 0038 192 048 150 150 050 01611 0000000000
1522 3028N 06745W 01518 0037 183 050 142 142 052 01600 0000000000
1522. 3030N 06745W 01534 0039 176 048 152 152 051 01618 0000000000

52 knots

#130 Postby **wxman57** » Mon Jul 25, 2005 10:27 am

Yep, looks pretty impressive. Definitely intensifying (as per the latest NHC discussion). I like that cold front extending to the southwest of Franklin's exposed LLC..

Here's a new shot. A ship is reportingn 25 kt winds now.

<img src="http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/franklin33.gif">

#131 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jul 25, 2005 10:38 am

605
URNT11 KNHC 251529
97779 15094 20298 67819 15500 21035 14149 /2506
RMK AF308 0606A FRANKLIN OB 08

StormsAhead · #132 Postby **StormsAhead** » Mon Jul 25, 2005 10:40 am

UZNT13 KNHC 251530
XXAA 75158 99298 70679 07997 99012 25623 18530 00102 24823 17537
92784 21017 20045 85514 18000 22544 88999 77999
31313 09608 81506
61616 AF308 0606A FRANKLIN OB 09
62626 MXWNDBND SPL 2987N06788W 1508 MBL WND 18538 AEV 20507 DLM W
ND 20037 012855 WL150 18036 075 =
XXBB 75158 99298 70679 07997 00012 25623 11868 18030 22850 18000
33840 17000
21212 00012 18530 11988 18042 22938 19538 33923 20045 44911 19534
55876 23036 66855 22043 77840 22544
31313 09608 81506
61616 AF308 0606A FRANKLIN OB 09
62626 MXWNDBND SPL 2987N06788W 1508 MBL WND 18538 AEV 20507 DLM W
ND 20037 012855 WL150 18036 075 =

1523 3032N 06745W 01527 0041 177 038 146 146 040 01613 0000000000
1523. 3034N 06745W 01526 0042 190 038 148 148 039 01613 0000000000
1524 3036N 06746W 01526 0042 186 039 148 148 040 01613 0000000000
1524. 3038N 06746W 01524 0042 179 038 148 148 039 01612 0000000000
1525 3040N 06746W 01523 0042 189 039 150 150 039 01610 0000000000
1525. 3042N 06746W 01529 0043 183 040 138 138 041 01617 0000000000
1526 3043N 06746W 01532 0042 182 038 120 120 039 01620 0000000000
1526. 3045N 06746W 01523 0039 187 043 120 120 046 01608 0000000000
1527 3047N 06746W 01527 0044 173 035 124 124 042 01616 0000000000
1527. 3049N 06746W 01526 0045 165 033 134 134 039 01617 0000000000
1528 3051N 06746W 01524 0045 173 028 144 144 030 01614 0000000000
1528. 3053N 06746W 01524 0044 172 027 140 140 028 01613 0000000000
1529 3055N 06746W 01523 0042 171 030 148 148 031 01611 0000000000
1529. 3057N 06746W 01526 0042 166 038 144 144 039 01614 0000000000
1530 3059N 06746W 01524 0042 169 038 144 144 039 01612 0000000000
1530. 3101N 06746W 01525 0042 174 039 142 142 039 01613 0000000000
1531 3103N 06746W 01526 0043 177 039 136 136 040 01615 0000000000
1531. 3105N 06747W 01522 0045 179 038 140 140 039 01612 0000000000
1532 3107N 06747W 01521 0044 175 033 146 146 036 01610 0000000000
1532. 3109N 06747W 01525 0044 169 029 156 136 031 01614 0000000000

No change...can't find surface TS winds yet...highest at FL still 52 knots.

StormsAhead · #133 Postby **StormsAhead** » Mon Jul 25, 2005 10:41 am

wxman57 wrote:Yep, looks pretty impressive. Definitely intensifying (as per the latest NHC discussion). I like that cold front extending to the southwest of Franklin's exposed LLC..

Well, they didn't say it was intensifying, they said it was stronger than they thought.

StormsAhead · #134 Postby **StormsAhead** » Mon Jul 25, 2005 10:46 am

URNT14 KNHC 251532
SUPPLEMENTARY VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
INBOUND
LAT LON jHHH TTDD ddfff
01313 10710 12482 11616 02026
02310 20706 22475 21815 01022
03307 30702 32465 31816 34025
04308 40698 42456 42016 30016
05310 50696 52441 52215 28019
MF308 M0702 MF027
OBS 01 AT 13:58:00Z
OBS 05 AT 14:24:40Z
OBS 01 SFC WND 03020
OUTBOUND
LAT LON jHHH TTDD ddfff
01311 10693 12437 11918 23025
02309 20691 22459 21717 21026
03307 30688 32469 31616 21025
04305 40687 42478 41716 22039
05304 50684 52485 51616 22038
06302 60683 62494 61515 23033
07300 70680 72503 71616 23039
08298 80679 82504 81414 22050
MF298 M0679 MF051
OBS 01 AT 14:34:50Z
OBS 08 AT 15:07:40Z
OBS 08 SFC WND /////
AF308 0606A FRANKLIN OB 10

Sup. Vortex...maximum winds well away from the center in the SE quad...no surprise there.

#135 Postby **wxman57** » Mon Jul 25, 2005 10:48 am

Seriously, if this hadn't been a TS already, would ANY of you be saying that this is a TS based upon satellite imagery, and the fact that it's now behind a cold front? Those FL winds of 51 kts won't translate down to the surface as they would with a wam core TS.

#136 Postby **wxman57** » Mon Jul 25, 2005 10:53 am

Here's a new shot. No ship reports nearby this time. Note that the eddy is definitely moving to the northwest:

<img src="http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/franklin34.gif">

#137 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jul 25, 2005 11:15 am

182
URNT11 KNHC 251601
97779 15564 20326 67918 15200 13029 14139 /2516
41330
RMK AF308 0606A FRANKLIN OB 11

cinlfla · #138 Postby **cinlfla** » Mon Jul 25, 2005 11:18 am

Note that the eddy is definitely moving to the northwest

What is an eddy?

#139 Postby **wxman57** » Mon Jul 25, 2005 11:27 am

cinlfla wrote:
Note that the eddy is definitely moving to the northwest

What is an eddy?

That's what's left of Franklin's center. Just a weak eddy.

cinlfla · #140 Postby **cinlfla** » Mon Jul 25, 2005 11:32 am

alright, thanks I havn't seen that term before but now I know, Thank You.

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