TS Gert Recon Reports

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#101 Postby clfenwi » Sun Jul 24, 2005 1:48 am

Observation Number: 28
Time transmitted: 0631Z
Position: 20.3 North // 94.9 West
Sea level Pressure: 1012 millibars
Surface Temperature/ Dewpoint Depression: 25.2/0.7
Surface winds: 3 knots // 260
1000 millibar height: 101 meters
1000 millibar temperature/DD: 24.6/0.2
1000 millibar winds: 2 knots // 290
925 millibar height: 785 meters
925 millibar temperature/DD: 21.4/0.3
925 millibar winds: 12 knots // 130
850 millibar height: 1517 meters
850 millibar temperature/DD: 18.4/2.1
850 millibar winds: 13 knots // 115
700 millibar height: 3162 meters
700 millibar temperature/DD: 10.8/2.8
700 millibar winds: 11 knots // 120
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#102 Postby clfenwi » Sun Jul 24, 2005 1:52 am

OB 29
Time: 0632Z
Position: 21.0 North // 94.7 West
Flight Level: 3800 meters
FL Winds: 24 knots // 120
Temp/Dewpoint (C): 6/4
D-Value: 21 meters

URNT10 KWBC 240632

97779 06324 11210 9470/ 38000 12024 0604/ /8021

RMK NOAA3 WX07A CYCLONE OB 29 KWBC


0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#103 Postby clfenwi » Sun Jul 24, 2005 1:55 am

Observation Number: 30
Position: 20.7 North // 94.8 West
Time transmitted: 0644Z
Sea level Pressure: 1012 millibars
Surface Temperature/ Dewpoint Depression: 25.8/0.6
Surface winds: 17 knots // 215
1000 millibar height: 102 meters
1000 millibar temperature/DD: 25.0/0.7
1000 millibar winds: 10 knots // 185
925 millibar height: 788 meters
925 millibar temperature/DD: 22.0/0.2
925 millibar winds: 18 knots // 110
850 millibar height: 1520 meters
850 millibar temperature/DD: 17.6/0.7
850 millibar winds: 24 knots // 120
700 millibar height: 3163 meters
700 millibar temperature/DD: 9.8/1.4
700 millibar winds: 20 knots // 110
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#104 Postby clfenwi » Sun Jul 24, 2005 1:56 am

OK, it's bedtime... as this mission was not on the POD, I've no idea when it will end...

Next mission is scheduled to launch at 0915Z to get a fix before 1200Z...
0 likes   
Top
Derek Ortt

#105 Postby Derek Ortt » Sun Jul 24, 2005 2:35 am

more minobs

URNT40 KWBC 240530
NOAA3 WX07A CYCLONE
052030 2040 09450 12483 +0673 102015 +062 +051 110017 999 999
052100 2039 09448 12472 +0677 085013 +061 +055 080014 <b>040</b> 008
052130 2039 09446 12479 +0678 094014 +064 +043 088015 999 999
052200 2040 09444 12476 -0868 021029 +068 +035 007067 010 018
052230 2043 09444 12476 +0676 109015 +067 +038 107016 019 006
052300 2045 09445 12481 +0673 111016 +063 +044 113016 999 999
052330 2046 09446 12485 +0675 119015 +061 +044 116016 999 999
052400 2048 09448 12481 +0672 123016 +061 +045 122017 999 999
052430 2050 09449 12485 +0671 115018 +064 +045 109018 999 999
052500 2051 09451 12476 +0673 107018 +065 +043 106018 011 002
052530 2051 09454 12486 +0675 105018 +063 +044 105018 999 999
052600 2051 09456 12485 +0679 102017 +063 +044 099017 999 999
052630 2051 09459 12479 +0679 094017 +065 +043 095017 999 999
052700 2051 09501 12480 +0681 091016 +064 +046 094017 999 999
052800 2051 09507 12480 +0683 097015 +061 +048 095015 999 999
052830 2052 09509 12478 +0681 094015 +060 +050 093016 999 999
053000 2052 09517 12477 +0680 094017 +064 +043 093018 999 999


URNT40 KWBC 240600
NOAA3 WX07A CYCLONE
053030 2052 09519 12476 +0680 094018 +064 +045 094018 999 999
053100 2052 09522 12475 +0680 089020 +063 +048 087021 999 999
053130 2052 09524 12478 +0679 094020 +065 +051 098020 999 999
053200 2052 09527 12477 +0679 098020 +065 +052 100022 999 999
053230 2050 09528 12475 +0678 093019 +066 +049 091020 999 999
053300 2048 09528 12476 +0679 098013 +065 +046 096016 999 999
053330 2048 09527 12481 +0678 101012 +066 +036 102013 999 999
053400 2049 09525 12479 +0678 092009 +062 +046 098009 999 999
053430 2051 09525 12475 +0680 097018 +066 +046 097019 999 999
053530 2052 09529 12485 +0680 089019 +067 +049 090019 999 999
053700 2053 09537 12482 +0685 081020 +063 +044 082020 999 999
053800 2053 09542 12479 +0687 059021 +068 +043 057022 038 000
053830 2053 09544 12481 +0685 048020 +063 +046 047021 999 999
053900 2054 09546 12473 +0685 052021 +061 +047 048022 034 000
054130 2055 09559 12482 +0688 056025 +063 +040 057025 999 999
054200 2055 09601 12484 +0690 053026 +064 +040 053026 999 999
054230 2055 09603 12485 +0690 052024 +064 +043 054025 999 999
054300 2057 09604 12471 +0692 045016 +064 +044 051019 009 000
054330 2059 09604 12478 +0689 037013 +061 +045 040013 999 999
054430 2104 09604 12482 +0688 035014 +061 +047 035014 999 999
054500 2106 09604 12482 +0689 037013 +061 +050 045014 999 999
054600 2110 09604 12479 +0693 054017 +061 +040 056017 013 008
054700 2113 09600 12474 +0690 058015 +064 +039 048015 999 999
054800 2116 09557 12478 +0689 074014 +060 +040 071015 999 999
054900 2118 09554 12478 +0688 082010 +063 +035 082010 999 999
054930 2120 09552 12483 +0689 074010 +063 +033 072011 018 000
055100 2124 09547 12485 +0692 076013 +058 +053 078014 999 999
055130 2126 09546 12475 +0695 063009 +063 +052 055010 999 999
055230 2128 09542 12479 +0696 081015 +058 +058 079016 999 999
055500 2134 09533 12478 +0688 109023 +057 +056 109025 999 999
055700 2139 09526 12486 +0074 060025 +057 +055 029051 999 999
055730 2138 09524 12473 +0691 103019 +058 +058 105020 016 012
055800 2137 09523 12476 +0686 102021 +062 +057 107023 999 999
055900 2133 09520 12481 +0684 110018 +063 +056 108019 999 999
055930 2132 09519 12477 +0685 115018 +061 +059 110019 999 999
060000 2130 09518 12479 +0684 118019 +062 +057 118020 999 999


URNT10 KWBC 240607
97779 06074 11211 9500/ 38100 11013 0606/ /8020
RMK NOAA3 WX07A CYCLONE OB 25 KWBC


URNT40 KWBC 240610
NOAA3 WX07A CYCLONE
060100 2127 09515 12478 +0678 111017 +058 +058 110018 999 999
060130 2125 09514 12480 +0677 113019 +058 +057 110021 999 999
060230 2121 09512 12480 +0674 125018 +062 +054 129018 999 999
060330 2118 09510 12481 +0672 109022 +061 +048 110022 999 999
060430 2114 09507 12477 +0680 126027 +065 +054 128028 999 999
060600 2109 09504 12475 +0665 114020 +062 +054 114020 999 999
060700 2106 09502 12482 +0659 104016 +058 +056 105016 999 999
060730 2104 09500 12485 +0658 116013 +057 +057 105015 999 999
060800 2102 09500 12484 +0662 134013 +057 +057 129014 999 999
060830 2100 09500 12477 +0661 130015 +058 +058 127015 999 999
061000 2054 09502 12485 +0662 111014 +059 +056 115016 999 999


URNT40 KWBC 240620
NOAA3 WX07A CYCLONE
061200 2047 09507 12482 +0658 111008 +055 +050 113009 021 006
061230 2045 09508 12485 +0658 116008 +056 +052 112008 999 999
061430 2036 09508 12480 +0652 111008 +056 +049 106008 999 999
061500 2034 09508 12483 +0653 128011 +059 +037 133013 999 999
061530 2032 09507 12487 +0656 131014 +063 +035 131015 999 999
061600 2030 09507 12482 +0656 138015 +064 +038 136015 999 999
061700 2026 09506 12477 +0650 150015 +061 +045 151015 999 999
061730 2024 09506 12478 +0649 154015 +060 +047 151017 999 999
061830 2020 09503 12484 +0653 147014 +060 +044 147015 999 999
061930 2018 09500 12480 +0652 162011 +060 +047 164012 999 999
062000 2017 09458 12475 +0653 162011 +061 +048 160011 028 000


URNT40 KWBC 240630
NOAA3 WX07A CYCLONE
062030 2018 09456 12484 +0653 156011 +062 +050 160013 032 000
062130 2019 09451 12485 +0652 113009 +058 +058 118010 008 014
062300 2021 09445 12483 +0654 129020 +069 +048 129021 999 999
062330 2022 09443 12482 +0068 077018 +067 +048 030040 999 999
062400 2023 09442 12477 +0655 125019 +068 +051 126019 999 999
062500 2027 09444 12488 +0656 118023 +066 +045 117023 999 999
062530 2029 09445 12478 +0655 121023 +061 +050 122024 999 999
062630 2034 09446 12482 +0659 121022 +065 +041 121023 999 999
062800 2041 09448 12482 +0662 121023 +062 +044 123024 017 000
062900 2046 09449 12478 +0665 125022 +065 +044 118022 999 999
063000 2050 09449 12480 +0661 116023 +064 +039 110024 035 000


URNT10 KWBC 240632
97779 06324 11210 9470/ 38000 12024 0604/ /8021
RMK NOAA3 WX07A CYCLONE OB 29 KWBC


URNT40 KWBC 240640
NOAA3 WX07A CYCLONE
063100 2054 09447 12482 +0664 121024 +065 +047 122029 016 010
063200 2058 09445 12482 +0673 115024 +063 +038 115025 015 003
063500 2110 09439 12481 +0677 126024 +063 +052 126025 024 009
063600 2114 09437 12482 +0677 129028 +063 +049 131030 013 009
063700 2116 09434 12485 +0677 119024 +061 +050 116029 011 003
063800 2119 09430 12488 +0680 115030 +062 +054 118034 012 003
063900 2121 09426 12478 +0682 126026 +063 +057 130028 014 006
064000 2123 09422 12485 +0685 109026 +065 +046 108026 012 002


URNT40 KWBC 240650
NOAA3 WX07A CYCLONE
064100 2125 09419 12480 +0689 112024 +064 +034 112025 012 000
064200 2127 09415 12480 +0688 115023 +064 +038 114025 017 003
064300 2128 09411 12482 +0684 119022 +061 +054 123025 015 004
064400 2130 09406 12484 +0685 120027 +061 +057 127029 017 008
064800 2139 09352 14562 +0820 126018 +037 -007 125019 007 000
064900 2141 09348 15270 +0863 131014 +025 -027 128016 999 999
065000 2143 09344 16030 +0909 125014 +010 -045 119015 009 000

Now a large area of 35KT or greater winds, with a max value of 40KT. This appears to be a 40KT storm based upon the data
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#106 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Jul 24, 2005 2:41 am

Derek is that a Cdo forming over that center?
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
0 likes   
Top
Derek Ortt

#107 Postby Derek Ortt » Sun Jul 24, 2005 2:53 am

no,

right now, this looks like Grace to be honest. A line of storms with a small center
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
P.K.
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 5149
Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
Location: Watford, England
Contact:
Contact P.K.

#108 Postby P.K. » Sun Jul 24, 2005 5:39 am

Approx 420km from the centre given in the latest discussion at 10:29am GMT.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wxwatcher91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1606
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:43 pm
Location: Keene, NH
Contact:
Contact wxwatcher91

#109 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sun Jul 24, 2005 5:49 am

056
URNT11 KNHC 241034
97779 10304 11249 9390/ 73200 11015 6670/ /5766
RMK AF305 0107A GERT OB 03
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
P.K.
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 5149
Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
Location: Watford, England
Contact:
Contact P.K.

#110 Postby P.K. » Sun Jul 24, 2005 6:16 am

Just passing through the outer band of convection to the north of Gert. Max flight level winds of 30kts. Approx 130km from the centre in the last discussion now.

469
SXXX50 KNHC 241110
SXXX50

SXXX50 KNHC 241109
AF305 0107A GERT HDOB 14 KNHC
1100 2247N 09502W 03557 0205 080 016 066 066 017 03809 0000000000
1100. 2245N 09503W 03479 0199 083 020 066 066 021 03724 0000000000
1101 2243N 09504W 03395 0192 101 025 064 064 028 03632 0000000000
1101. 2241N 09505W 03312 0185 107 026 064 064 027 03542 0000000000
1102 2239N 09506W 03233 0180 113 029 072 072 029 03459 0000000000
1102. 2238N 09507W 03149 0175 126 029 080 080 030 03369 0000000000
1103 2236N 09508W 03077 0169 126 029 082 082 030 03291 0000000000
1103. 2234N 09509W 03052 0167 126 026 086 086 027 03264 0000000000
1104 2232N 09510W 03045 0167 127 023 086 086 024 03256 0000000000
1104. 2231N 09511W 02990 0164 129 024 092 092 024 03199 0000000000
1105 2229N 09512W 02915 0157 132 025 094 094 025 03116 0000000000
1105. 2227N 09513W 02842 0149 130 023 096 096 024 03035 0000000000
1106 2225N 09514W 02770 0144 130 021 098 098 021 02958 0000000000
1106. 2224N 09514W 02699 0137 121 022 092 092 025 02880 0000000100
1107 2222N 09515W 02630 0133 120 018 086 086 022 02807 0000000100
1107. 2220N 09516W 02553 0128 121 019 094 094 021 02724 0000000100
1108 2218N 09517W 02483 0124 127 023 094 094 023 02650 0000000100
1108. 2217N 09518W 02415 0119 131 022 112 112 023 02578 0000000000
1109 2215N 09519W 02343 0114 134 023 122 122 023 02500 0000000000
1109. 2213N 09520W 02271 0110 131 022 122 122 022 02424 0000000000

NNNN
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wxwatcher91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1606
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:43 pm
Location: Keene, NH
Contact:
Contact wxwatcher91

#111 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sun Jul 24, 2005 6:28 am

344
URNT11 KNHC 241108
97779 11034 11226 9520/ 30500 13024 08089 /3178
RMK AF305 0107A GERT OB 05
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wxwatcher91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1606
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:43 pm
Location: Keene, NH
Contact:
Contact wxwatcher91

#112 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sun Jul 24, 2005 6:29 am

980
URNT11 KNHC 241125
97779 11214 11216 9570/ 04300 07014 22229 /0010
RMK AF305 0107A GERT OB 06
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#113 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Jul 24, 2005 6:29 am

There near the center it appears?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wxwatcher91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1606
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:43 pm
Location: Keene, NH
Contact:
Contact wxwatcher91

#114 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sun Jul 24, 2005 6:30 am

258
UZNT13 KNHC 241056
XXAA 74114 99243 70943 08244 99015 27830 08018 00129 26627 08019
92815 21823 11528 85547 18456 13526 70188 09230 14027 50592 04334
10525 40765 13932 13023 88999 77999
31313 09608 81037
61616 AF305 0107A GERT OB 04
62626 SPL 2431N09431W 1047 MBL WND 09020 AEV 20504 DLM WND 12024
014415 WL150 08019 081 =
XXBB 74118 99243 70943 08244 00015 27830 11937 22418 22917 22048
33850 18456 44816 16437 55799 16462 66773 14662 77767 14258 88759
13864 99741 12459 11732 11435 22652 05627 33621 06457 44601 05056
55567 01857 66538 01335 77520 02357 88485 05925 99447 09723 11437
09949 22404 12934 33393 15928
21212 00015 08018 11990 08518 22957 11027 33932 11526 44897 13032
55850 13526 66779 12527 77652 14527 88608 10521 99554 10026 11489
10526 22469 12525 33393 13024
31313 09608 81037
61616 AF305 0107A GERT OB 04
62626 SPL 2431N09431W 1047 MBL WND 09020 AEV 20504 DLM WND 12024
014415 WL150 08019 081 =
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wxwatcher91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1606
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:43 pm
Location: Keene, NH
Contact:
Contact wxwatcher91

#115 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sun Jul 24, 2005 6:34 am

116
URNT11 KNHC 241130
97779 11254 11214 9570/ 04300 99005 22229 /0010
RMK AF305 0107A GERT OB 07
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
P.K.
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 5149
Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
Location: Watford, England
Contact:
Contact P.K.

#116 Postby P.K. » Sun Jul 24, 2005 6:38 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:There near the center it appears?


15km from the centre in the last discussion at 11:29GMT so they'll be there by now.
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#117 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Jul 24, 2005 6:47 am

000
URNT11 KNHC 241143
97779 11404 11207 96108 04300 36015 22229 /0010
RMK AF305 0107A GERT OB 08
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wxwatcher91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1606
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:43 pm
Location: Keene, NH
Contact:
Contact wxwatcher91

#118 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sun Jul 24, 2005 6:51 am

1148 2021N 09605W 00186 5019 284 030 196 196 031 00181 0000000100
1148. 2019N 09604W 00183 5017 288 030 198 198 032 00179 0000000100
1149 2018N 09604W 00182 5017 292 031 200 200 033 00178 0000000100
1149. 2016N 09604W 00184 5017 292 033 200 200 034 00180 0000000000
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wxwatcher91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1606
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:43 pm
Location: Keene, NH
Contact:
Contact wxwatcher91

#119 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sun Jul 24, 2005 6:59 am

554
URNT11 KNHC 241159
97779 11524 11202 96018 01900 29035 23239 /0010
42925
RMK AF305 0107A GERT OB 09
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wxwatcher91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1606
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:43 pm
Location: Keene, NH
Contact:
Contact wxwatcher91

#120 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sun Jul 24, 2005 7:01 am

1150 2014N 09604W 00183 5018 292 035 222 222 037 00179 0000000000
1150. 2013N 09603W 00182 5018 291 036 228 228 037 00178 0000000000
1151 2011N 09603W 00182 5018 291 036 230 230 038 00178 0000000000
1151. 2010N 09602W 00186 5018 290 037 230 230 038 00181 0000000000
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: KirbyDude25 and 183 guests