NW Car. Disturbance--

gk1 · #1 Postby **gk1** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 8:28 pm

May be stealing some of the energy from TS Franklin??

#2 Postby **HURAKAN** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 8:30 pm

Not stealing but, the outflow of the disturbance is disturbing Franklin's SW Quadrant. This is causing the tropical storm to struggle.

#3 Postby **deltadog03** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 8:34 pm

yeah, it is...he may go poof...

boca · #4 Postby **boca** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 8:37 pm

If Franklin goes poof at least he was here long enough to set a July record of 6 storms.

lilbump3000 · #5 Postby **lilbump3000** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 8:38 pm

If you notice this happens every year whenever we have a storm develop off the east coast of florida they look poor and sad the night they develop.

Mac · #6 Postby **Mac** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 8:38 pm

deltadog03 wrote:yeah, it is...he may go poof...

Careful with the "P" word. It'll get you in trouble. :lol:

#7 Postby **deltadog03** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 8:38 pm

very true.....

wxwatcher91 · #8 Postby **wxwatcher91** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 8:40 pm

instead of talking about Franklin possibly losing energy from this wave let's talk about the wave itself... it's looking pretty good... anyone see Gert in the nearby future???

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #9 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 8:42 pm

Frankie still has a very well defined LLC, with convection firing over it. The track to the northwest should take it away from the Caribbean distrabance over the next 24 to 36 hours moves slowly to the west-northwest. Also the Caribbean distrabance has very well defined outflow. But a factor again it is its very broad area of low pressure. More like new tropical storm over the Western Pacific.

So here is what needs to be looked for for the Caribbean system to develop.

1# Convection come back by morning over the MLC.
2# Favable upper level winds...In which they look good at the moment.
3# A tighten of its surface core...Less broad system. In which convection can help spin up.

A track to the west-northwest should be expected with this system.

So how rare would a G storm be in July. Try never!!! Or at least the last 150 years.

sea oat · #10 Postby **sea oat** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 8:45 pm

i agree gk1. looks as if it's sucking the life out of franklin.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

massive cloud mass down there will be interesting. i know we don't need any more storms here in the panhandle of florida.

PTrackerLA · #11 Postby **PTrackerLA** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:05 pm

There is a well defined mid-level circulation (possible weak surface reflection as well) that is moving towards the Yucatan channel tonight. If there's a big flare up in this area overnight we might be talking gulf storm by Saturday IMO. The sheer size of the disturbance makes Franklin look like a baby, even without conveciton.

#12 Postby **Stormcenter** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:21 pm

PTrackerLA wrote:There is a well defined mid-level circulation (possible weak surface reflection as well) that is moving towards the Yucatan channel tonight. If there's a big flare up in this area overnight we might be talking gulf storm by Saturday IMO. The sheer size of the disturbance makes Franklin look like a baby, even without conveciton.

You are correct there seems to be some mid-swirl in NW Carribean.

wzrgirl1 · #13 Postby **wzrgirl1** » Fri Jul 22, 2005 1:03 am

let's see what happens overnight

NW Car. Disturbance--

NW Car. Disturbance--

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