SW Carribean broad circulation?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
HouTXmetro
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3949
Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2004 6:00 pm
Location: District of Columbia, USA

SW Carribean broad circulation?

#1 Postby HouTXmetro » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:33 am

I'm starting to notice some turning right off the coast of Belize extending inland. Anyone else see this?
0 likes   
[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]

wxcrazytwo

Re: SW Carribean broad circulation?

#2 Postby wxcrazytwo » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:37 am

HouTXmetro wrote:I'm starting to notice some turning right off the coast of Belize extending inland. Anyone else see this?


Looks Aggie bound to me.. :wink:
0 likes   

User avatar
HouTXmetro
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3949
Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2004 6:00 pm
Location: District of Columbia, USA

Re: SW Carribean broad circulation?

#3 Postby HouTXmetro » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:42 am

wxcrazytwo wrote:
HouTXmetro wrote:I'm starting to notice some turning right off the coast of Belize extending inland. Anyone else see this?


Looks Aggie bound to me.. :wink:


No Aggie jokes allowed!!!! :lol:
0 likes   
[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]

User avatar
hicksta
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1108
Age: 35
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 12:16 am
Location: Kemah Texas/ Baton Rogue LA

#4 Postby hicksta » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:43 am

I heard some model takes it over the YUC into south tx
0 likes   

User avatar
Hurricaneman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7404
Age: 45
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:24 pm
Location: central florida

#5 Postby Hurricaneman » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:44 am

The tropics are just going crazy
0 likes   

User avatar
Lowpressure
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2032
Age: 58
Joined: Sun Sep 14, 2003 9:17 am
Location: Charlotte, North Carolina

#6 Postby Lowpressure » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:45 am

So much for my poll answer the other day of a break until the first week of Aug.
0 likes   

User avatar
jasons2k
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 8250
Age: 52
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:32 pm
Location: The Woodlands, TX

Re: SW Carribean broad circulation?

#7 Postby jasons2k » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:48 am

HouTXmetro wrote:I'm starting to notice some turning right off the coast of Belize extending inland. Anyone else see this?


Zooming in here and animating,

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

- it looks like a little meso-low may be pinwheeling straight into Belize, but I don't think it will have much impact in the overall circulation and track.

If you also use that link to zoom and animate 90, it's REALLY wrapped-up just in the last hour or two.

(edited link)
0 likes   

User avatar
PTrackerLA
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5280
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 8:40 pm
Location: Lafayette, LA

#8 Postby PTrackerLA » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:50 am

The latest visible loops show things getting a little "twisty" SSE of the Caymans associated with the heavy convection. This system might be an earlier threat than once thought.
0 likes   

User avatar
jasons2k
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 8250
Age: 52
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:32 pm
Location: The Woodlands, TX

#9 Postby jasons2k » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:54 am

PTrackerLA wrote:The latest visible loops show things getting a little "twisty" SSE of the Caymans associated with the heavy convection. This system might be an earlier threat than once thought.


I have to admit, looking at the visible loops this one is hard to find anything yet of real significance, other than the blowup of convection. It looks like a small surface meso-low moving due west towards Belize (located east of there now), and it looks like a mid-level low may be located just NE of Honduras. But nothing seems to be immediately taking over just yet.
0 likes   

User avatar
Portastorm
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 9914
Age: 63
Joined: Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:16 am
Location: Round Rock, TX
Contact:

#10 Postby Portastorm » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:58 am

hicksta wrote:I heard some model takes it over the YUC into south tx


That would be the European model ...
0 likes   

User avatar
HouTXmetro
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3949
Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2004 6:00 pm
Location: District of Columbia, USA

#11 Postby HouTXmetro » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:08 pm

PTrackerLA wrote:The latest visible loops show things getting a little "twisty" SSE of the Caymans associated with the heavy convection. This system might be an earlier threat than once thought.


The NHC vis loops look like crap right about now. I need to check another loop of that area. I do see what you are referring to though.
0 likes   
[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]

HumanCookie
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 98
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:19 am
Location: Columbia, MD

#12 Postby HumanCookie » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:25 pm

From Georgetown, Grand Cayman webcam

Image

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
jasons2k
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 8250
Age: 52
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:32 pm
Location: The Woodlands, TX

#13 Postby jasons2k » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:34 pm

Thanks Human!!

Wow, and to think Oct. 2 2002, I was on a cruise ship in that very same spot, about 2 days after Lili passed.
0 likes   

User avatar
beachbum_al
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2163
Age: 55
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 9:23 pm
Location: South Alabama Coast
Contact:

#14 Postby beachbum_al » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:38 pm

Looking at those webcams doesn't make me feel good right now. Those are some eerie looking clouds up there above those cruise ships. I wonder if the guest on those cruise ships have an eerie feeling too.
0 likes   

Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10385
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

#15 Postby Sanibel » Thu Jul 21, 2005 1:11 pm

Weather radio robot voice on cable TV says it will drift across Yucatan and possibly develop over the Bay Of Campeche...
0 likes   

User avatar
wxwatcher91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1606
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:43 pm
Location: Keene, NH
Contact:

#16 Postby wxwatcher91 » Thu Jul 21, 2005 1:15 pm

when will the SW Carib TW be an invest???
0 likes   

User avatar
jasons2k
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 8250
Age: 52
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:32 pm
Location: The Woodlands, TX

#17 Postby jasons2k » Thu Jul 21, 2005 1:15 pm

Sanibel wrote:Weather radio robot voice


:roflmao:

That was just too great for words!
0 likes   

User avatar
Hurricanehink
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2044
Joined: Sun Nov 16, 2003 2:05 pm
Location: New Jersey

#18 Postby Hurricanehink » Thu Jul 21, 2005 4:34 pm

257
ABNT20 KNHC 212130
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT THU JUL 21 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY-FORMED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX... LOCATED ABOUT 125 MILES EAST OF THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND ADJACENT LAND
AREAS. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR TWO... BRINGING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TO THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA...BELIZE...GUATEMALA...HONDURAS...THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS...AND WESTERN CUBA. SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.


ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT31 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT1.
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT21 KNHC AND
UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT1.

FORECASTER KNABB

$$

Cool.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 218 guests