90L (TS at least IMO) 1st unofficial movement post.

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Stormcenter
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#21 Postby Stormcenter » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:46 pm

wxman57 wrote:Sure looks NNW to me. A buoy south of the apparent center reported a 37 kt SW wind a few hours ago. I place the center near 25N/75W. I see no evidence of much westerly component in its motion.


Actually it's really hard to tell if there is really any definite movement at the present time while it's developing but NW is as likely as WNW right now. IMO

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... duration=6
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Rainband

#22 Postby Rainband » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:47 pm

wxman57 wrote:Sure looks NNW to me. A buoy south of the apparent center reported a 37 kt SW wind a few hours ago. I place the center near 25N/75W. I see no evidence of much westerly component in its motion.
there is no movement read the Tampa AFD. I agree weatherboy.
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#23 Postby HouTXmetro » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:47 pm

RevDodd wrote:
hurricanefreak1988 wrote:Come on Franklin, end the drought!


Man! You must have missed that little gullywasher yesterday! We didn't get power back until about midnight and it about washed our tomatoes away.



*Off topic:

Clemson is going down September 3rd!!!!!

*You may now return to your regular post
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[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]

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#24 Postby Stormcenter » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:50 pm

Rainband wrote:
wxman57 wrote:Sure looks NNW to me. A buoy south of the apparent center reported a 37 kt SW wind a few hours ago. I place the center near 25N/75W. I see no evidence of much westerly component in its motion.
there is no movement read the Tampa AFD. I agree weatherboy.


That is NOT good for Florida residents.
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#25 Postby jrod » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:50 pm

My amateur eyes see the blob moving to the WNW. The little swirl has not been around long enough to guess at its movement, maybe due north if anything.
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#26 Postby sweetpea » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:55 pm

I can't believe all this. Imagine one storm hitting Fl east coast another hitting FL west coast within a couple of days. Unbelievable. Has anything like this ever happened. I know it is similar to last year. But we had more time between storms than this.
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#27 Postby hicksta » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:57 pm

im going to have to agree with wx..
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#28 Postby Brent » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:58 pm

Rainband wrote:
wxman57 wrote:Sure looks NNW to me. A buoy south of the apparent center reported a 37 kt SW wind a few hours ago. I place the center near 25N/75W. I see no evidence of much westerly component in its motion.
there is no movement read the Tampa AFD. I agree weatherboy.


37 kt sustained wind wxman??? :eek:

Yeah, I just saw the Tampa AFD. It's like it hit a brick wall. It was moving at 15-20 mph until this morning. I still don't think it's stalled though.
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#29 Postby wxman57 » Thu Jul 21, 2005 1:03 pm

Actually, this system is only 160 miles across, it will probably pass well east of Florida. Here's a shot of it:

<img src="http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/franklin2.gif">
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#30 Postby Sanibel » Thu Jul 21, 2005 1:09 pm

Direction of center is nearly north.


There's obviously a west wind.


Long range Miami radar doesn't catch any eastward-moving clouds.


Center is NE of Cat Island, Bahamas...
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#31 Postby jrod » Thu Jul 21, 2005 1:15 pm

A local met is calling for south wi nds tommorow(Brevard, FL). With 90L out there stregthening I do not see how that is possible. I think will have some NEasterlies because of that system, no way it won't have some affect on our weather, even if it is just a little change of wind.
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#32 Postby Steve H. » Thu Jul 21, 2005 1:21 pm

But if you listen to the NOAA radio broadcast, it says that this system may have a significant impact on the weather in east central Florida. Stay Tuned.
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#33 Postby wxman57 » Thu Jul 21, 2005 1:21 pm

I calculate it's moved about 34 nm. in the past 2.25 hours, or 15.1 kts. Direction of movement is 323 degrees.
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#34 Postby Steve H. » Thu Jul 21, 2005 1:22 pm

OH, that would be NOAA radio out of Melbourne (Brevard County).
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#35 Postby wxman57 » Thu Jul 21, 2005 1:22 pm

Steve H. wrote:But if you listen to the NOAA radio broadcast, it says that this system may have a significant impact on the weather in east central Florida. Stay Tuned.


It's 330 miles east of Miami and squalls extend only 70 miles west of the center. It'll have to move quite a bit west to affect Florida.
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#36 Postby PTrackerLA » Thu Jul 21, 2005 1:22 pm

Looks like it's tightening up and moving NNW. I barely see a westward component at all anymore. BTW since when is the Carib. system going to Florida? All indication I've seen are BOC and then Western gulf.
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#37 Postby Rainband » Thu Jul 21, 2005 1:23 pm

who said Florida??
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#38 Postby Stormcenter » Thu Jul 21, 2005 1:24 pm

wxman57 wrote:I calculate it's moved about 34 nm. in the past 2.25 hours, or 15.1 kts. Direction of movement is 323 degrees.


How in the world did you come to that exact conclusion without a fixed center? Are you posting from the NHC recon plane and not telling us?
:lol:
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#39 Postby Normandy » Thu Jul 21, 2005 1:24 pm

Everything has to eventually head to Florida :wink:
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#40 Postby Stormcenter » Thu Jul 21, 2005 1:26 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Steve H. wrote:But if you listen to the NOAA radio broadcast, it says that this system may have a significant impact on the weather in east central Florida. Stay Tuned.


It's 330 miles east of Miami and squalls extend only 70 miles west of the center. It'll have to move quite a bit west to affect Florida.


Huh? The NHC hasn't even come out with an advisory stating how far the winds extend or whatever. I think this is a little misleading unless you have connections to the NHC.
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