90L (TS at least IMO) 1st unofficial movement post.

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Stormcenter
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90L (TS at least IMO) 1st unofficial movement post.

#1 Postby Stormcenter » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:12 pm

Is 90L (TD IMO already) moving NW or WNW or at all? You be the judge.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
Last edited by Stormcenter on Thu Jul 21, 2005 2:54 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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#2 Postby wxmann_91 » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:14 pm

Looks like 90L is moving more toward the NNW rather than the WNW. That though is probably because of the LLC developing (really clear in the last few satellite frames), and it probably will turn back to the NW or WNW soon.
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#3 Postby chris_fit » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:15 pm

Not seeing NNW
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#4 Postby Stormcenter » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:15 pm

wxmann_91 wrote:Looks like 90L is moving more toward the NNW rather than the WNW. That though is probably because of the LLC developing (really clear in the last few satellite frames), and it probably will turn back to the NW or WNW soon.


Good observation wxmann_91.
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#5 Postby TS Zack » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:18 pm

Let it gets its act together before we begin to determine that. Most likely we are all wrong because the system is just beginning to get rotation so therefore it may give out many illusions.
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#6 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:19 pm

NW 310.
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Rainband

#7 Postby Rainband » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:19 pm

looking at the vis sat looks wnw now.
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#8 Postby Sanibel » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:30 pm

You are looking at the "F" storm.


Track looks north. Our locals said it is weakening the High north of it. If it tracks back west in reaction to the High holding I have no idea. Instinct tells me up the coast and out to sea.

A separate topic should be made saying "2005 Going Crazy".
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#9 Postby Cookiely » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:31 pm

It looks WNW to me. Its definitely looking better than just an hour ago.
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#10 Postby hurricanefreak1988 » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:32 pm

Could Franklin be "the one"? He, more than anyone so far this season, has the best chance to get here. Come on Franklin, end the drought!
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#11 Postby Rainband » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:33 pm

hurricanefreak1988 wrote:Could Franklin be "the one"? He, more than anyone so far this season, has the best chance to get here. Come on Franklin, end the drought!
could be
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#12 Postby Stormcenter » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:35 pm

Kevin_Cho wrote:Looks like it's fluctuating from NNW to even nearly Due west..generally I suppose a bit West of NW. Looks like a surface low and center of circulation are beginning to pop out. we may have a TS on our hands sooner rather than later.

Kevin Cho - East Naples, FL
Junior: Naples High School


Yes we may.
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#13 Postby jrod » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:35 pm

Looking at the latest visible satellite, I do see a circualtion. Ill wait for the recon before saying it has a LLC. My judgement on this system based on the quikscat passes is this system is strong enough to be a storm. I thinking when the recon gets out there this will be immediatly named Franklin.
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#14 Postby chris_fit » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:36 pm

I agree it's going straight to TS
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#15 Postby jasons2k » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:37 pm

TS Zack wrote:Let it gets its act together before we begin to determine that. Most likely we are all wrong because the system is just beginning to get rotation so therefore it may give out many illusions.


:clap: :clap: :clap: :clap: :clap:
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#16 Postby RevDodd » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:43 pm

hurricanefreak1988 wrote:Come on Franklin, end the drought!


Man! You must have missed that little gullywasher yesterday! We didn't get power back until about midnight and it about washed our tomatoes away.
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#17 Postby wxman57 » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:44 pm

Sure looks NNW to me. A buoy south of the apparent center reported a 37 kt SW wind a few hours ago. I place the center near 25N/75W. I see no evidence of much westerly component in its motion.
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I too agree on straight to TS chance

#18 Postby Weatherboy1 » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:44 pm

It appears clear to me that this is now a potnetial TS consolidating in the vicinity of 25/75 roughly. I don't know if there's really been much movement ... I think some of the perceived movement is just the system consolidating and developing an LLC. As for direction, probably to the N eventually and avoiding the FL coast due to a ridge weakness forecast to develop to the north in a day or two. But it's too early to say. Worth watching here in FL for sure, though.

-Mike
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#19 Postby x-y-no » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:46 pm

Looks NW to me right now, but I'd like to see a few more hours of this well-defined circulation before being difinitive.
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#20 Postby jrod » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:46 pm

Yes it is still early and it barely is has its act together at best. But it is an area that is notorious for storm development and stregthening. Even if that swirl dissapates another will pop up. This system is too close to me for me not to be getting all jitery watching
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