11:30 AM TWO for 90L and caribbean,Recon going to 90L

CajunMama · #41 Postby **CajunMama** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:34 am

*hitches up her jeans, takes a deep breath and gets ready for the next round of tropical watching!*

#42 Postby **Stormcenter** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:37 am

PTrackerLA wrote:Slow morning at work so I grabbed this latest visible shot which clearly shows where the center of circulation is (also indicated by the red dot I added ). This sure is a tiny system however.

Do you have a loop link of this satellite image PTrackerLA? Thanks!

PTrackerLA · #43 Postby **PTrackerLA** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:40 am

Go to this site :http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

Click animate, select the number of images, select medium zoom, and click on the system and it should bring up the same shot just animated.

jpigott · #44 Postby **jpigott** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:41 am

i have a question about the current steering patterns that may or may not affect 90L. I just had the Miami radar up and it shows thunderstroms moving into martin and palm beach counties. The motion of these storms was due west. Are the motion of these storms (which i assume are under generally the same steering influences as 90L) indicative of how 90L may move

Hurricaneman · #45 Postby **Hurricaneman** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:43 am

This could be a significant feature for anyone from Miami to Cape Hatteras

PTrackerLA · #46 Postby **PTrackerLA** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:45 am

Latest images showing nice comma shape developing. This could go straight to Franklin the way things are going so far today. Only problem is the lack of deep convection over the "center."

x-y-no · #47 Postby **x-y-no** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:54 am

Oh, yeah ... there's a closed circulation there alright ...

About 24.9N 74.9W

Can't swear it's at the surface (could still be mid-level) but if it's not there yet I think it will be soon.

I can't see this turning west sharply enough to affect South Florida - just not enough ridging there for that. Everyone from Central Florida through the Carolinas needs to keep an eye on this, though.

Jan

#48 Postby **sweetpea** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:56 am

I live on the NE Florida coast. Local met said he doesn't think we will have to worry about this. He is only slightly concerned.

Derek Ortt · #49 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:59 am

just checked the 500mb height obs...

there is no weakness at all and the 500mb flow is out of the ESE. We're looking at a track to the NW probably for about 24-36 hours before the trough over the mid west begins to exert and influence

#50 Postby **gboudx** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:02 pm

Wonder if the shuttle launch for Tuesday will be delayed.....again?

Sanibel · #51 Postby **Sanibel** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:05 pm

The SST's off Florida are untapped and receptive to intensification. Whether that will happen or not I don't know, but the system shows curvature - so eventual development is likely...

Our locals said they are watching it without any commitment to track. Unusual for them.

Opal storm · #52 Postby **Opal storm** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:06 pm

Looks like a TD already,probably be a T.S at 5pm.

We'll see.

Website · #53 Postby **Brent** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:07 pm

x-y-no wrote:Oh, yeah ... there's a closed circulation there alright ...

About 24.9N 74.9W

Can't swear it's at the surface (could still be mid-level) but if it's not there yet I think it will be soon.

I can't see this turning west sharply enough to affect South Florida - just not enough ridging there for that. Everyone from Central Florida through the Carolinas needs to keep an eye on this, though.

Jan

Yeah... I was just looking at NRL and the circulation is defintely where you say.

Rainband · #54 Postby **Rainband** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:07 pm

The latest floater loop shows the convection dying down. There are shower and T/S developing east of florida.. If you look at the flow it's from the east. A weaker system will move more west before the ..predicted..curve shown from the models. This will be interesting over the next 24 hours.

Website · #55 Postby **Brent** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:09 pm

Rainband wrote:The latest floater loop shows the convection dying down. There are shower and T/S developing east of florida.. If you look at the flow it's from the east. A weaker system will move more west before the ..predicted..curve shown from the models. This will be interesting over the next 24 hours.

Diurnal minimum??? Emily did this when she was weak early on as well.

Rainband · #56 Postby **Rainband** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:10 pm

thanks Brent I forgot what it was called

Derek Ortt · #57 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:11 pm

convection is firing right near the center

mf_dolphin · #58 Postby **mf_dolphin** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:12 pm

The latest visible shot shows a clear circulation. Best shot I've seen so far of it at least.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

#59 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:14 pm

mf_dolphin wrote:The latest visible shot shows a clear circulation. Best shot I've seen so far of it at least.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

No doubt this will be classified this afternoon a TD or maybe a TS if recon finds strong TS force winds.

Website · #60 Postby **Brent** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:15 pm

Yep... definite TD now. Visible looks awesome.

11:30 AM TWO for 90L and caribbean,Recon going to 90L

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