90L Invest

[P.K.]

Where are you finding that model data from Luis? I can't find it on the NHC website (Which means it is probably on there somewhere )

[cycloneye]

Where are you finding that model data from Luis? I can't find it on the NHC website (Which means it is probably on there somewhere )

http://weather.net-waves.com/modelplot.htm

From here.Look for 90L in menu.

[gkrangers]

I can tell all that it was a big rain producer and some gusty winds (I clocked 32 mph) as it passed thru here last night.

It was tenacious!

[jrod]

Erin formed in the almost exact same spot.

Is there anything that might keep this one from being #6?

[gkrangers]

Just to add to it, this is from the NHC site.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/WBC/CHGHUR

[baygirl_1]

is it just me or do those model plots remind you of erin in '95? Check her out at weather underground: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at199505.asp i will never forget erin as she chased us home from our florida vacation that year. i know this disturbance has a long way to go before it becomes anything close to erin, but things seem a bit similar to me. just my observation and thoughts...

edit: sorry! jrod and i must've been typing and posting about the same time! my typing is a bit slower with this #@$* wrist brace...

[gkrangers]

http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/sto ... _at_1.html

quickscat does not indicate a LLC at this time.

[P.K.]

http://weather.net-waves.com/modelplot.htm

From here.Look for 90L in menu.

Thanks, turns out it was in my bookmarks list but it is so long I couldn't find it.

[alicia-w]

are the plot points at 12 hour intervals?

12-24-36-48-72-96-120 hours intervals are the plots.

thank you

[Brent]

http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/storm_at_image21/latest_at_1.html

quickscat does not indicate a LLC at this time.

Not that I believe there is one... but I seem to remember Quikscat showing no closed low in Emily when it was a Cat 4.

[PTrackerLA]

Until we can pinpoin a center, which is probably 24 hours away or so, those plots can't be taken too seriously.

[gkrangers]

http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/storm_at_image21/latest_at_1.html

quickscat does not indicate a LLC at this time.

Not that I believe there is one... but I seem to remember Quikscat showing no closed low in Emily when it was a Cat 4.

I dunna...I think it does better in weak systems where there isn't alot of rain and convection to contaminate the wind readings.

[cycloneye]

Until we can pinpoin a center, which is probably 24 hours away or so, those plots can't be taken too seriously.

Bingo.I only post them for information only to the members but you are right on target.

[Hurricaneman]

Still too early

[jpigott]

any chance 90L becomes a TD or TS before it gets to FL's east coast?

[Hurricaneman]

Theres a small chance imo

[Weatherboy1]

The bad news? Looks like we in the FL peninsula COULD be next in line for tropical trouble. The good news? I probably won't have to waste my time putting up shutters and the whole mess will be gone by the weekend! After some of the storms we've seen lately, I'm glad I'm not in line to potentially get a major like those in Mexico, Jamaica, the Panhandle, etc. It's possible this will be kind of like Erin, only weaker.

-Mike

[perk]

I can't believe that some of you are already pinpointing a landfall based on a single model run. 90L is'nt even a classified system yet, and looking at that model run where is the consistency.

[dhweather]

Why do people appear to get irritated when there's a shot at development? That's why we're here, isn't it?

Steve

It's exciting!


But, I can say, it does get old boarding up and such.

[Hurricaneman]

Cant know where its going if it hasnt formed yet