90L Invest

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cycloneye
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90L Invest

#1 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 20, 2005 9:19 am

827
NOUS42 KNHC 201400
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1000 AM EDT WED 20 JULY 2005
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 21/1100Z TO 22/1100Z JULY 2005
TCPOD NUMBER.....05-053

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (BAHAMAS)
FLIGHT ONE
A. 21/2000Z
B. AFXXX 01EEA INVEST
C. 21/1630Z
D. 23.5N 76.0W
E. 21/1900Z TO 21/2300Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: BEGIN 6-HRLY FIXES
AT 22/1800Z IF SYSTEM DEVELOPS

Very interesting development here.Tommorow afternoon is when mission will go (If Neccessary) as they say at TWO'S.
Last edited by cycloneye on Thu Jul 21, 2005 4:03 pm, edited 21 times in total.
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#2 Postby PTrackerLA » Wed Jul 20, 2005 9:20 am

Looks like we aren't catching any breaks this season :roll: .
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#3 Postby Pebbles » Wed Jul 20, 2005 9:20 am

MORE RECON BABY! :) gotta kinda feel sorry for em though.. they need a day off!
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#4 Postby Hurricanehink » Wed Jul 20, 2005 9:23 am

WOW! Will it never end?! :roll:
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#5 Postby tailgater » Wed Jul 20, 2005 9:23 am

Thanx Louis, I'm sure it will be sooner or later seems like they are all finding a way to get into the GOM, what's up with that?
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#6 Postby PTrackerLA » Wed Jul 20, 2005 9:26 am

tailgater wrote:Thanx Louis, I'm sure it will be sooner or later seems like they are all finding a way to get into the GOM, what's up with that?


I'm guessing it's because of the Bermuda high that has been forcing all the storms into the gulf. It's amazing that the first 5 systems have all entered the gulf and if 99L develops that will make it 6!
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#7 Postby Brent » Wed Jul 20, 2005 9:35 am

:eek: :eek: :eek:
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#8 Postby PTrackerLA » Wed Jul 20, 2005 9:41 am

Whatever it becomes is forecasted to come over towards this way early next week. I'm just hoping for a healthy tropical wave that dumps a lot of rainfall, we're over 15" below normal for the year in Lafayette.
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#9 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 20, 2005 9:43 am

Well I guess that for me no rest in forum as I thought. :roll:
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#10 Postby tailgater » Wed Jul 20, 2005 9:45 am

Better hope you don't get it all in 2 days. We here in south central La. have been getting dumped on lately I'd like to get a dry week or so, to catch up on chores.
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#11 Postby InimanaChoogamaga » Wed Jul 20, 2005 9:51 am

No rest until December.
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#12 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 20, 2005 9:59 am

If anyone gets first the TWO of 11:30 AM post it at this thread to not have a new thread for same system thanks. :)
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#13 Postby Hurricaneman » Wed Jul 20, 2005 10:06 am

Interesting feature
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#14 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 20, 2005 10:26 am

ABNT20 KNHC 201525
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT WED JUL 20 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
EMILY... LOCATED INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO ABOUT 15 MILES
NORTHEAST OF SAN FERNANDO MEXICO OR ABOUT 75 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER OVER HISPANIOLA...PUERTO RICO...AND THE TURKS
AND CAICOS ISLANDS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE GRADUALLY BECOMING
MORE FAVORABLE...AND SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...IF NECESSARY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART

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#15 Postby stormie_skies » Wed Jul 20, 2005 10:43 am

Un-freakin-believable!!!!! :eek: :lol: They are gonna work those recon planes right into the ground this year at this rate......

And here I was thinking we would have a week or so of peace and quiet. :roll:

This must be the wave KHOU said might move into our area this weekend or early next week.....better get out the radar, AGAIN.....
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#16 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 20, 2005 10:44 am

Image

Here it is.
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#17 Postby Hurricaneman » Wed Jul 20, 2005 10:45 am

The season that is going nutz
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#18 Postby hiflyer » Wed Jul 20, 2005 10:48 am

Recon got one whole day off...sure unexpected for July. Bet they are happy they are doing the missions with new birds but sure putting hours on them quickly. WaterVapor implies any more northward move and this thing is off to the easterlies but if it does stay down could come right up the Bahamas and visit us in South Florida....the old slot run. We already have big time unstable air over us today http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/fl/discussion.html so looks like a possible setup for this thing. :break:
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#19 Postby gkrangers » Wed Jul 20, 2005 10:51 am

The subtropical ridge should force it west towards south Florida (Florida Straits?) and into the GOM....
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#20 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 20, 2005 10:52 am

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (AL902005) ON 20050720 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050720 1200 050721 0000 050721 1200 050722 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 20.7N 69.4W 22.5N 71.9W 23.9N 73.9W 24.8N 75.6W
BAMM 20.7N 69.4W 22.3N 72.8W 23.8N 75.6W 25.2N 78.0W
A98E 20.7N 69.4W 22.0N 71.8W 23.4N 74.0W 24.8N 76.2W
LBAR 20.7N 69.4W 22.2N 71.8W 23.5N 73.9W 24.4N 75.7W
SHIP 25KTS 30KTS 36KTS 39KTS
DSHP 25KTS 30KTS 36KTS 39KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050722 1200 050723 1200 050724 1200 050725 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 25.2N 77.3W 25.6N 80.9W 26.1N 85.0W 27.4N 89.3W
BAMM 26.4N 79.9W 28.2N 82.3W 29.0N 84.2W 29.8N 86.4W
A98E 26.1N 78.5W 29.3N 81.5W 30.9N 82.4W 31.3N 80.2W
LBAR 25.2N 77.0W 26.2N 78.9W 27.4N 80.2W 28.4N 81.5W
SHIP 42KTS 44KTS 45KTS 43KTS
DSHP 42KTS 29KTS 32KTS 30KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 20.7N LONCUR = 69.4W DIRCUR = 300DEG SPDCUR = 13KT
LATM12 = 19.5N LONM12 = 67.0W DIRM12 = 297DEG SPDM12 = 13KT
LATM24 = 18.3N LONM24 = 64.5W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 45NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1014MB OUTPRS = 1016MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
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