H Emily Recon Reports

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clfenwi
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#181 Postby clfenwi » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:28 pm

holy shhhhnikes
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#182 Postby mtm4319 » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:29 pm

drezee wrote:2126 2429N 09528W 03044 5253 150 116 096 096 122 02798 0000000100
2126. 2431N 09527W 03041 5220 146 120 082 082 122 02829 0000000100


122kts


Corresponds to 112 mph at the surface... borderline Cat-3.
Last edited by mtm4319 on Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:30 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#183 Postby Normandy » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:30 pm

Yup the winds are catching up.
Last edited by Normandy on Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:30 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#184 Postby drezee » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:30 pm

2122. 2423N 09539W 03045 5334 158 010 180 098 012 02719 0000000000

even lower
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#185 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:30 pm

122=140 mph flight level down to 130 sea level...Maybe 125 mph.
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#186 Postby clfenwi » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:31 pm

so, adjusting the max 30 sec avg of 120 knots to the surface yields... 123 mph...
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#187 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:31 pm

mtm4319 wrote:
drezee wrote:2126 2429N 09528W 03044 5253 150 116 096 096 122 02798 0000000100
2126. 2431N 09527W 03041 5220 146 120 082 082 122 02829 0000000100


122kts


Corresponds to 112 mph at the surface... borderline Cat-3.


According to the Saffir-Simpson scale, Cat. 3 is after 111 mph. So technically, it's a cat. 3.
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gkrangers

#188 Postby gkrangers » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:32 pm

Ok, I know I should know this by now, but which columns are which wind measurement...
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#189 Postby mtm4319 » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:32 pm

Isn't the multiplier 80% at 700mb?
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#190 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:32 pm

I think its 90 percent for 700. 80 percent for 850.
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#191 Postby gkrangers » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:33 pm

mtm4319 wrote:Isn't the multiplier 80% at 700mb?
90 at 925
80 at 850
90 at 700
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#192 Postby drezee » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:33 pm

122 *1.154*.90 = 126 surface winds
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#193 Postby mtm4319 » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:33 pm

HURAKAN wrote:
mtm4319 wrote:
drezee wrote:2126 2429N 09528W 03044 5253 150 116 096 096 122 02798 0000000100
2126. 2431N 09527W 03041 5220 146 120 082 082 122 02829 0000000100


122kts


Corresponds to 112 mph at the surface... borderline Cat-3.


According to the Saffir-Simpson scale, Cat. 3 is after 111 mph. So technically, it's a cat. 3.


Right. It's whether or not the 97.6-knot extrapolation will be rounded down (to 95 kt) or up (to 100 kt) that will determine cat 2 or 3.
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#194 Postby clfenwi » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:33 pm

gkrangers wrote:Ok, I know I should know this by now, but which columns are which wind measurement...


The second group of three digits is the 30 second avg... the last set of three digits is the 10 sec avg...
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#195 Postby mtm4319 » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:34 pm

Well, my last 5 posts in here have been pretty much all wrong. I wish I could delete them. :oops: :wink:
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gkrangers

#196 Postby gkrangers » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:35 pm

clfenwi wrote:
gkrangers wrote:Ok, I know I should know this by now, but which columns are which wind measurement...


The second group of three digits is the 30 second avg... the last set of three digits is the 10 sec avg...
So 120kts is the 30 second, and 122kts is the 10 second?
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#197 Postby clfenwi » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:36 pm

gkrangers wrote:
clfenwi wrote:
gkrangers wrote:Ok, I know I should know this by now, but which columns are which wind measurement...


The second group of three digits is the 30 second avg... the last set of three digits is the 10 sec avg...
So 120kts is the 30 second, and 122kts is the 10 second?


That is correct, my friend.
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SouthernWx

#198 Postby SouthernWx » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:36 pm

mtm4319 wrote:Isn't the multiplier 80% at 700mb?


No....it's normally 90% at 700 mb and 80% at 850 mb.

122 kts (140 mph) - 10% = 110 kts (127 mph)....IMO we now have a 110 kt cat-3 hurricane moving toward NE Mexico...and still intensifying.

PW

http://community-2.webtv.net/SouthernWx61/Hurricane
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#199 Postby clfenwi » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:38 pm

Storm EMILY: Observed By AF #307
Storm #05 in Atlantic Ocean1
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 94KT (108.1mph 174.1km/h) In NE Quadrant At 17:57:20 Z
Estimated Max Surface Winds 84.6KT (97.3mph 156.7km/h) *
Date/Time of Recon Report: Invalid Date (Invalid Date)
Position of the center: 24° 21' N 095° 39' W (24.4°N 95.7°W)
Minimum Height Measured At Standard Level Of 700mb: 2687m (Normal: 3011)
Surface Winds Were Estimated At: 60 KT (69MPH 111.1km/h)
Estimated Surface Winds Were Measured 014nm (16.1miles) From Center At Bearing 210°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Near Center Were 071KT (81.65mph 131.5km/h) From 302°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were Measured 012nm (13.8 miles) From Center At Bearing 208°
Minimum pressure: 942mb (27.82in)
Eye Wall Was Characterized As Being: CLOSED
Eye Form Was Characterized As Being Elliptical , E/09/20/16
Center Fix Established Using: Penetration Radar Wind Pressure Temperature
Center Fix Established At Level(s): 700mb
Navigational Accuracy Measured At 0.02nm
Meteorological Accuracy Measured At 2nm
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gkrangers

#200 Postby gkrangers » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:39 pm

HOLY @$%!
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