H Emily Recon Reports

StormsAhead · #101 Postby **StormsAhead** » Tue Jul 19, 2005 1:14 pm

Vortex...959 mb

542
URNT12 KNHC 191813
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 19/18:01:50Z
B. 24 deg 06 min N
095 deg 06 min W
C. 700 mb 2755 m
D. 70 kt
E. 60 deg 032 nm
F. 148 deg 094 kt
G. 69 deg 015 nm
H. 959 mb
I. 8 C/ 3053 m
J. 18 C/ 3051 m
K. 11 C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. C15
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF307 2005A EMILY OB 04
MAX FL WIND 94 KT NE QUAD 17:57:20 Z
RAGGED EYE SHAPE ON RADAR

clfenwi · #102 Postby **clfenwi** » Tue Jul 19, 2005 1:15 pm

Storm EMILY: Observed By AF #307
Storm #05 in Atlantic Ocean1
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 94KT (108.1mph 174.1km/h) In NE Quadrant At 17:57:20 Z
Estimated Max Surface Winds 84.6KT (97.3mph 156.7km/h) *
Misc Remarks: RAGGED EYE SHAPE ON RADAR
Date/Time of Recon Report: 19/18:01:50Z
Position of the center: 24° 06' N 095° 06' W (24.1°N 95.1°W)
Minimum Height Measured At Standard Level Of 700mb: 2755m (Normal: 3011)
Surface Winds Were Estimated At: 70 KT (80.5MPH 129.6km/h)
Estimated Surface Winds Were Measured 032nm (36.8miles) From Center At Bearing 60°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Near Center Were 094KT (108.1mph 174.1km/h) From 148°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were Measured 015nm (17.3 miles) From Center At Bearing 69°
Minimum pressure: 959 mb (28.32in)
Eye Wall Was Characterized As Being: CLOSED
Eye Form Was Characterized As Being Circular , 15nm (17.3 mi 27.8km) wide
Center Fix Established Using: Penetration Radar Wind Pressure Temperature
Center Fix Established At Level(s): 700mb
Navigational Accuracy Measured At 0.02nm
Meteorological Accuracy Measured At 2nm

#103 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Jul 19, 2005 1:16 pm

We have a cat 2 close to 3 now.

clfenwi · #104 Postby **clfenwi** » Tue Jul 19, 2005 1:18 pm

(whacked in favor of drezee's more precise post below

#105 Postby **drezee** » Tue Jul 19, 2005 1:18 pm

A. 19/14:28:00Z
B. 23 deg 49 min N
094 deg 29 min W
C. 700 mb 2855 m
H. 972 mb

A. 19/18:01:50Z
B. 24 deg 06 min N
095 deg 06 min W
C. 700 mb 2755 m
H. 959 mb

13 mb in 3.5 hrs

#106 Postby **drezee** » Tue Jul 19, 2005 1:19 pm

drezee wrote:heights are much lower!!

1802 2406N 09507W 03048 5251 146 003 166 102 006 02804 0000000000
1802. 2406N 09509W 03051 5253 055 009 174 112 013 02805 0000000000

Pressure surely in the mid 960s....

or high 950s!!!!!!!!!!!

#107 Postby **HURAKAN** » Tue Jul 19, 2005 1:19 pm

But still, why are they not finding winds corresponding to a 959 mb hurricane?

jkt21787 · #108 Postby **jkt21787** » Tue Jul 19, 2005 1:20 pm

HURAKAN wrote:But still, why are they not finding winds corresponding to a 959 mb hurricane?

Winds have to respond to the pressure first, remember Dennis and how much it fell and winds didn't change at first, we're seeing the same thing here. We are well on our way to a cat 3 if this trend keeps up...

#109 Postby **HURAKAN** » Tue Jul 19, 2005 1:22 pm

jkt21787 wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:But still, why are they not finding winds corresponding to a 959 mb hurricane?

Winds have to respond to the pressure first, remember Dennis and how much it fell and winds didn't change at first, we're seeing the same thing here. We are well on our way to a cat 3 if this trend keeps up...

I fully understand your message. But is like the pressure and the winds are in different trains, and the wind train is delayed or something.

clfenwi · #110 Postby **clfenwi** » Tue Jul 19, 2005 1:24 pm

Observation Number:05
Time transmitted: 1814Z
Position: 24.1 North // 95.1 West
Sea Level Pressure: 959 mb
Surface wind speed and direction: 17 knots // 060
925 millibar height: 316 meters
925 millibar winds: 20 knots // 070
850 millibar height: 1061 meters
850 millibar winds: 16 knots // 080
700 millibar height: 2748 meters
700 millibar winds 7 knots // 075
EYE

Observation Number: 06
Time transmitted : 1816Z
Position: 24.2 North // 94.9 West
Sea Level Pressure: 969 mb
Surface wind speed and direction: n/a
925 millibar height: 409 meters
925 millibar winds: 107 knots // 125
850 millibar height: 1148 meters
850 millibar winds: 98 knots // 135
700 millibar height: 2813 meters
700 millibar winds 89 knots // 155
EYEWALL

#111 Postby **drezee** » Tue Jul 19, 2005 1:24 pm

Also,

A. 19/14:28:00Z
B. 23 deg 49 min N
094 deg 29 min W

A. 19/18:01:50Z
B. 24 deg 06 min N
095 deg 06 min W

up 17''

over 37''

extrap: 2' 28" over 1' 08" up

coast at : 25.24N 97.56W

gkrangers · #112 Postby **gkrangers** » Tue Jul 19, 2005 1:25 pm

Close to category 3 strenght based on the 925MB winds...

JTD · #113 Postby **JTD** » Tue Jul 19, 2005 1:27 pm

StormsAhead · #114 Postby **StormsAhead** » Tue Jul 19, 2005 1:29 pm

366
SXXX50 KNHC 191817
SXXX50

SXXX50 KNHC 191816
AF307 2005A EMILY HDOB 15 KNHC
1807 2355N 09521W 03047 5107 317 075 122 094 077 02948 0000000000
1807. 2353N 09523W 03045 5090 319 070 120 106 071 02964 0000000000
1808 2352N 09524W 03050 5075 317 066 116 100 068 02983 0000000000
1808. 2351N 09525W 03048 5064 316 066 122 102 066 02992 0000000000
1809 2350N 09526W 03049 5054 317 058 118 106 060 03004 0000000000
1809. 2348N 09528W 03048 5044 317 054 116 104 055 03012 0000000000
1810 2347N 09529W 03045 5037 314 054 116 110 055 03016 0000000000
1810. 2346N 09530W 03051 5030 316 050 116 112 053 03029 0000000000
1811 2345N 09532W 03047 5026 313 048 116 104 048 03029 0000000000
1811. 2343N 09533W 03048 5024 316 051 114 106 053 03031 0000000000
1812 2342N 09534W 03048 5018 316 052 116 098 054 03038 0000000000
1812. 2341N 09536W 03048 5011 318 055 112 106 056 03045 0000000000
1813 2340N 09537W 03048 5004 321 054 106 104 056 03052 0000000000
1813. 2338N 09539W 03050 0002 321 051 098 098 051 03060 0000000000
1814 2337N 09540W 03045 0005 324 052 096 096 053 03058 0000000000
1814. 2336N 09541W 03051 0011 324 051 100 100 053 03070 0000000000
1815 2334N 09543W 03046 0014 326 048 104 098 049 03068 0000000000
1815. 2333N 09544W 03049 0018 328 050 104 092 050 03075 0000000000
1816 2332N 09545W 03048 0021 327 049 108 094 050 03078 0000000000
1816. 2330N 09547W 03049 0025 329 047 106 098 048 03081 0000000000

NNNN

065
SXXX50 KNHC 191828
SXXX50

SXXX50 KNHC 191826
AF307 2005A EMILY HDOB 16 KNHC
1817 2329N 09548W 03047 0030 326 044 100 096 045 03084 0000000000
1817. 2328N 09550W 03049 0031 327 043 074 074 045 03088 0000000000
1818 2326N 09551W 03051 0033 326 041 074 074 042 03092 0000000100
1818. 2325N 09552W 03045 0034 330 047 074 074 049 03088 0000000100
1819 2324N 09554W 03054 0038 326 049 078 078 052 03101 0000000100
1819. 2322N 09555W 03041 0041 316 038 072 072 040 03090 0000000100
1820 2321N 09556W 03048 0045 316 042 074 074 045 03102 0000000000
1820. 2320N 09558W 03049 0047 315 043 082 082 044 03104 0000000000
1821 2319N 09559W 03046 0050 311 047 082 082 047 03105 0000000000
1821. 2317N 09600W 03049 0053 314 043 078 078 044 03110 0000000000
1822 2316N 09602W 03048 0056 315 042 088 088 042 03112 0000000000
1822. 2315N 09603W 03048 0061 314 041 092 092 042 03117 0000000000
1823 2313N 09604W 03047 0064 314 042 096 090 043 03119 0000000000
1823. 2312N 09606W 03048 0066 315 042 092 090 043 03122 0000000000
1824 2311N 09607W 03047 0067 311 037 090 090 038 03123 0000000000
1824. 2310N 09608W 03048 0067 311 039 090 090 041 03124 0000000000
1825 2308N 09610W 03048 0070 312 040 090 086 040 03126 0000000000
1825. 2307N 09611W 03047 0070 307 038 090 086 038 03126 0000000000
1826 2306N 09612W 03047 0073 305 038 090 086 039 03128 0000000000
1826. 2305N 09614W 03048 0074 304 038 088 088 039 03131 0000000000

NNNN

Outbound SW leg

Steve H. · #115 Postby **Steve H.** » Tue Jul 19, 2005 1:31 pm

Hurakan, these cahnges in pressure are out of phase with the winds. You know that. We will wait to see the corresponding increase of the winds in the next couple of hours. more inertia

StormsAhead · #116 Postby **StormsAhead** » Tue Jul 19, 2005 1:40 pm

550
URNT11 KNHC 191834
97779 18314 31229 96408 30500 31036 09088 /3099
43225
RMK AF307 2005A EMILY OB 08

SXXX50 KNHC 191836
AF307 2005A EMILY HDOB 17 KNHC
1827 2303N 09615W 03047 0076 303 037 090 090 038 03132 0000000000
1827. 2302N 09616W 03047 0078 301 036 086 086 036 03133 0000000000
1828 2301N 09617W 03048 0080 302 034 086 086 035 03136 0000000000
1828. 2300N 09619W 03048 0081 304 033 090 084 033 03137 0000000000
1829 2258N 09620W 03048 0082 310 036 086 086 038 03139 0000000000
1829. 2257N 09621W 03048 0084 312 038 086 086 040 03140 0000000000
1830 2256N 09623W 03048 0085 314 038 080 080 038 03142 0000000000
1830. 2255N 09624W 03047 0087 314 036 086 086 036 03143 0000000000
1831 2253N 09625W 03048 0088 314 037 086 086 037 03144 0000000000
1831. 2252N 09627W 03047 0090 311 035 090 082 036 03145 0000000000
1832 2251N 09628W 03048 0090 313 036 088 086 037 03147 0000000000
1832. 2250N 09629W 03047 0091 315 037 086 086 037 03146 0000000000
1833 2248N 09631W 03048 0092 314 036 084 084 037 03149 0000000000
1833. 2247N 09631W 03051 0094 315 035 080 080 036 03153 0000000000
1834 2245N 09630W 03046 0093 314 034 080 080 035 03148 0000000000
1834. 2246N 09628W 03045 0092 309 031 080 080 032 03145 0000000000
1835 2246N 09626W 03049 0091 305 032 084 084 032 03148 0000000000
1835. 2247N 09623W 03046 0090 303 031 084 084 032 03144 0000000000
1836 2247N 09621W 03048 0090 300 032 086 086 033 03146 0000000000
1836. 2247N 09619W 03049 0089 292 034 088 088 035 03146 0000000000

NNNN

Moving east to SE quadrant

Website · #117 Postby **Brent** » Tue Jul 19, 2005 1:40 pm

Not surprised at all given the organization so far today.

#118 Postby **wxman57** » Tue Jul 19, 2005 1:41 pm

Don't see this new vortex message posted here yet. Check out the 11 mb pressure fall!

URNT12 KNHC 191813
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 19/18:01:50Z
B. 24 deg 06 min N
095 deg 06 min W
C. 700 mb 2755 m
D. 70 kt
E. 60 deg 032 nm
F. 148 deg 094 kt
G. 69 deg 015 nm
H. 959 mb
I. 8 C/ 3053 m
J. 18 C/ 3051 m
K. 11 C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. C15
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF307 2005A EMILY OB 04
MAX FL WIND 94 KT NE QUAD 17:57:20 Z
RAGGED EYE SHAPE ON RADAR

gkrangers · #119 Postby **gkrangers** » Tue Jul 19, 2005 1:42 pm

wxman57 wrote:Don't see this new vortex message posted here yet. Check out the 11 mb pressure fall!

URNT12 KNHC 191813
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 19/18:01:50Z
B. 24 deg 06 min N
095 deg 06 min W
C. 700 mb 2755 m
D. 70 kt
E. 60 deg 032 nm
F. 148 deg 094 kt
G. 69 deg 015 nm
H. 959 mb
I. 8 C/ 3053 m
J. 18 C/ 3051 m
K. 11 C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. C15
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF307 2005A EMILY OB 04
MAX FL WIND 94 KT NE QUAD 17:57:20 Z
RAGGED EYE SHAPE ON RADAR

Its at the top of the page.

jkt21787 · #120 Postby **jkt21787** » Tue Jul 19, 2005 1:42 pm

wxman57 wrote:Don't see this new vortex message posted here yet. Check out the 11 mb pressure fall!

URNT12 KNHC 191813
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 19/18:01:50Z
B. 24 deg 06 min N
095 deg 06 min W
C. 700 mb 2755 m
D. 70 kt
E. 60 deg 032 nm
F. 148 deg 094 kt
G. 69 deg 015 nm
H. 959 mb
I. 8 C/ 3053 m
J. 18 C/ 3051 m
K. 11 C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. C15
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF307 2005A EMILY OB 04
MAX FL WIND 94 KT NE QUAD 17:57:20 Z
RAGGED EYE SHAPE ON RADAR

It was posted actually :wink:

But it reinforces the quick intensification we're seeing!

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