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gkrangers

#41 Postby gkrangers » Sun Jul 17, 2005 5:49 pm

senorpepr wrote:
Scorpion wrote:Recon hasnt been there in awhile. They really seem late to me.


Well, the planes can only go so fast.
I'd rather eat rusty nails than read another one of his posts.
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#42 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 17, 2005 5:51 pm

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 14
Flight ID: AF302
Flt Data Number: 25
Latest Ob Location: 191 mi SE of Cancun, Mexico

Ob #01: 22:39:00Z; 18.5°N 84.7°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 95 ft; Wind: S (184°) @ 50 mph; Max Wind: 50 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #02: 22:39:30Z; 18.6°N 84.7°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 93 ft; Wind: S (184°) @ 41 mph; Max Wind: 44 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #03: 22:40:00Z; 18.6°N 84.7°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 91 ft; Wind: SSW (200°) @ 47 mph; Max Wind: 48 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #04: 22:40:30Z; 18.6°N 84.7°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 91 ft; Wind: SSW (199°) @ 50 mph; Max Wind: 50 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #05: 22:41:00Z; 18.6°N 84.8°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 90 ft; Wind: SSW (199°) @ 51 mph; Max Wind: 51 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #06: 22:41:30Z; 18.6°N 84.8°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 90 ft; Wind: SSW (201°) @ 50 mph; Max Wind: 52 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #07: 22:42:00Z; 18.7°N 84.8°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 88 ft; Wind: SSW (200°) @ 52 mph; Max Wind: 52 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #08: 22:42:30Z; 18.7°N 84.8°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 87 ft; Wind: SSW (200°) @ 54 mph; Max Wind: 54 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #09: 22:43:00Z; 18.7°N 84.9°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 85 ft; Wind: SSW (201°) @ 53 mph; Max Wind: 56 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 41°F
Ob #10: 22:43:30Z; 18.7°N 84.9°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 81 ft; Wind: SSW (197°) @ 53 mph; Max Wind: 54 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #11: 22:44:00Z; 18.8°N 84.9°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 81 ft; Wind: SSW (196°) @ 56 mph; Max Wind: 56 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 41°F
Ob #12: 22:44:30Z; 18.8°N 84.9°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 77 ft; Wind: SSW (198°) @ 56 mph; Max Wind: 58 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 41°F
Ob #13: 22:45:00Z; 18.8°N 84.9°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 74 ft; Wind: SSW (196°) @ 58 mph; Max Wind: 59 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 41°F
Ob #14: 22:45:30Z; 18.9°N 85°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 72 ft; Wind: SSW (200°) @ 61 mph; Max Wind: 65 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #15: 22:46:00Z; 18.9°N 85°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 67 ft; Wind: SSW (198°) @ 66 mph; Max Wind: 66 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #16: 22:46:30Z; 18.9°N 85°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 64 ft; Wind: SSW (197°) @ 67 mph; Max Wind: 67 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #17: 22:47:00Z; 18.9°N 85°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 62 ft; Wind: SSW (198°) @ 67 mph; Max Wind: 69 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #18: 22:47:30Z; 19°N 85°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 56 ft; Wind: SSW (203°) @ 70 mph; Max Wind: 73 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #19: 22:48:00Z; 19°N 85.1°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 48 ft; Wind: SSW (204°) @ 75 mph; Max Wind: 75 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #20: 22:48:30Z; 19°N 85.1°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 43 ft; Wind: SSW (201°) @ 77 mph; Max Wind: 79 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 44°F

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#43 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 17, 2005 6:00 pm

...looks to me like two wind maxima again...

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 14
Flight ID: AF302
Flt Data Number: 26
Latest Ob Location: 197 mi SE of Cancun, Mexico

Ob #01: 22:49:00Z; 19.1°N 85.1°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 36 ft; Wind: SSW (199°) @ 79 mph; Max Wind: 81 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #02: 22:49:30Z; 19.1°N 85.1°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 28 ft; Wind: SSW (197°) @ 81 mph; Max Wind: 82 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #03: 22:50:00Z; 19.1°N 85.1°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 20 ft; Wind: SSW (196°) @ 82 mph; Max Wind: 83 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #04: 22:50:30Z; 19.2°N 85.2°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 10 ft; Wind: SSW (196°) @ 85 mph; Max Wind: 88 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 46°F
Ob #05: 22:51:00Z; 19.2°N 85.2°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 7 ft; Wind: SSW (194°) @ 90 mph; Max Wind: 93 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 47°F
Ob #06: 22:51:30Z; 19.2°N 85.2°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -7 ft; Wind: SSW (193°) @ 99 mph; Max Wind: 101 mph; Temp: 44°F; Dewpt: 48°F
Ob #07: 22:52:00Z; 19.2°N 85.2°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -22 ft; Wind: S (190°) @ 105 mph; Max Wind: 107 mph; Temp: 44°F; Dewpt: 49°F
Ob #08: 22:52:30Z; 19.2°N 85.3°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -38 ft; Wind: S (188°) @ 109 mph; Max Wind: 111 mph; Temp: 44°F; Dewpt: 49°F
Ob #09: 22:53:00Z; 19.3°N 85.3°W; PA: 10010 ft; D-Value: -62 ft; Wind: S (190°) @ 108 mph; Max Wind: 112 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 49°F
Ob #10: 22:53:30Z; 19.3°N 85.3°W; PA: 9984 ft; D-Value: -90 ft; Wind: S (188°) @ 96 mph; Max Wind: 103 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 48°F
Ob #11: 22:54:00Z; 19.3°N 85.3°W; PA: 10010 ft; D-Value: -117 ft; Wind: S (184°) @ 115 mph; Max Wind: 118 mph; Temp: 57°F; Dewpt: 50°F
Ob #12: 22:54:30Z; 19.3°N 85.4°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -143 ft; Wind: SSW (192°) @ 109 mph; Max Wind: 112 mph; Temp: 62°F; Dewpt: 49°F
Ob #13: 22:55:00Z; 19.4°N 85.4°W; PA: 10030 ft; D-Value: -174 ft; Wind: S (189°) @ 115 mph; Max Wind: 119 mph; Temp: 62°F; Dewpt: 51°F
Ob #14: 22:55:30Z; 19.4°N 85.4°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -215 ft; Wind: S (182°) @ 119 mph; Max Wind: 126 mph; Temp: 59°F; Dewpt: 52°F
Ob #15: 22:56:00Z; 19.4°N 85.4°W; PA: 9970 ft; D-Value: -255 ft; Wind: S (179°) @ 89 mph; Max Wind: 98 mph; Temp: 58°F; Dewpt: 47°F
Ob #16: 22:56:30Z; 19.4°N 85.5°W; PA: 10033 ft; D-Value: -292 ft; Wind: SSE (167°) @ 67 mph; Max Wind: 75 mph; Temp: 60°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #17: 22:57:00Z; 19.5°N 85.5°W; PA: 10016 ft; D-Value: -307 ft; Wind: SSE (158°) @ 54 mph; Max Wind: 59 mph; Temp: 60°F; Dewpt: 41°F
Ob #18: 22:57:30Z; 19.4°N 85.5°W; PA: 9921 ft; D-Value: -322 ft; Wind: SE (133°) @ 47 mph; Max Wind: 58 mph; Temp: 64°F; Dewpt: 41°F
Ob #19: 22:58:00Z; 19.4°N 85.6°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -320 ft; Wind: ESE (106°) @ 14 mph; Max Wind: 24 mph; Temp: 64°F; Dewpt: 36°F
Ob #20: 22:58:30Z; 19.4°N 85.6°W; PA: 10030 ft; D-Value: -313 ft; Wind: N (355°) @ 14 mph; Max Wind: 22 mph; Temp: 64°F; Dewpt: 35°F
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#44 Postby Normandy » Sun Jul 17, 2005 6:01 pm

Was that the eyewall??? Wow.
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#45 Postby drezee » Sun Jul 17, 2005 6:03 pm

yeah, I was about to post that Senor...
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#46 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 17, 2005 6:04 pm

The was from the SE quad through the W
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#47 Postby Normandy » Sun Jul 17, 2005 6:04 pm

This storm has weakened significantly.
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#48 Postby gkrangers » Sun Jul 17, 2005 6:04 pm

Normandy wrote:Was that the eyewall??? Wow.
The SE eyewall is the weakest I believe.

Double wind maxima are indicative of concentric eyewalls.
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#49 Postby Normandy » Sun Jul 17, 2005 6:06 pm

....this storm used to have 150mph+ winds in its SE quad....its definitely not a Cat 4 hurricane right now.
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#50 Postby gkrangers » Sun Jul 17, 2005 6:09 pm

/waits for Scorpion to say its a Cat 1.
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#51 Postby Brent » Sun Jul 17, 2005 6:09 pm

Scorpion wrote:Recon hasnt been there in awhile. They really seem late to me.


The last plane left at 2pm... and are getting in now. Less than 6 hours(which is what it had been before today).
Last edited by Brent on Sun Jul 17, 2005 6:11 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#52 Postby Brent » Sun Jul 17, 2005 6:10 pm

gkrangers wrote:/waits for Scorpion to say its a Cat 1.


*waits for Scorpion to say it's dead* :lol:
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#53 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 17, 2005 6:11 pm

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 14
Flight ID: AF302
Flt Data Number: 27
Latest Ob Location: 208 mi ESE of Cancun, Mexico

Ob #01: 22:59:00Z; 19.4°N 85.6°W; PA: 9974 ft; D-Value: -295 ft; Wind: NW (310°) @ 31 mph; Max Wind: 38 mph; Temp: 60°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #02: 22:59:30Z; 19.4°N 85.6°W; PA: 10016 ft; D-Value: -283 ft; Wind: NW (315°) @ 47 mph; Max Wind: 52 mph; Temp: 61°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #03: 23:00:00Z; 19.4°N 85.6°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: -289 ft; Wind: NNW (332°) @ 45 mph; Max Wind: 54 mph; Temp: 58°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #04: 23:00:30Z; 19.4°N 85.6°W; PA: 10013 ft; D-Value: -299 ft; Wind: NNW (339°) @ 46 mph; Max Wind: 48 mph; Temp: 61°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #05: 23:01:00Z; 19.4°N 85.7°W; PA: 9957 ft; D-Value: -294 ft; Wind: N (351°) @ 61 mph; Max Wind: 66 mph; Temp: 60°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #06: 23:01:30Z; 19.4°N 85.7°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: -291 ft; Wind: N (358°) @ 74 mph; Max Wind: 79 mph; Temp: 66°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #07: 23:02:00Z; 19.5°N 85.7°W; PA: 9984 ft; D-Value: -285 ft; Wind: N (2°) @ 77 mph; Max Wind: 79 mph; Temp: 65°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #08: 23:02:30Z; 19.5°N 85.7°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: -267 ft; Wind: NNE (19°) @ 83 mph; Max Wind: 86 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 46°F
Ob #09: 23:03:00Z; 19.5°N 85.7°W; PA: 10010 ft; D-Value: -247 ft; Wind: NNE (29°) @ 97 mph; Max Wind: 106 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 49°F
Ob #10: 23:03:30Z; 19.5°N 85.8°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: -220 ft; Wind: NE (35°) @ 101 mph; Max Wind: 106 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 49°F
Ob #11: 23:04:00Z; 19.5°N 85.8°W; PA: 10036 ft; D-Value: -192 ft; Wind: NE (44°) @ 106 mph; Max Wind: 107 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 49°F
Ob #12: 23:04:30Z; 19.5°N 85.8°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: -166 ft; Wind: NE (50°) @ 105 mph; Max Wind: 106 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 49°F
Ob #13: 23:05:00Z; 19.6°N 85.8°W; PA: 10010 ft; D-Value: -143 ft; Wind: NE (53°) @ 109 mph; Max Wind: 114 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 50°F
Ob #14: 23:05:30Z; 19.6°N 85.8°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: -118 ft; Wind: NE (54°) @ 123 mph; Max Wind: 127 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 52°F
Ob #15: 23:06:00Z; 19.6°N 85.9°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -97 ft; Wind: NE (56°) @ 122 mph; Max Wind: 124 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 51°F
Ob #16: 23:06:30Z; 19.6°N 85.9°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -79 ft; Wind: NE (55°) @ 114 mph; Max Wind: 118 mph; Temp: 44°F; Dewpt: 50°F
Ob #17: 23:07:00Z; 19.6°N 85.9°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -63 ft; Wind: ENE (57°) @ 111 mph; Max Wind: 112 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 49°F
Ob #18: 23:07:30Z; 19.7°N 85.9°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: -49 ft; Wind: ENE (58°) @ 111 mph; Max Wind: 115 mph; Temp: 44°F; Dewpt: 50°F
Ob #19: 23:08:00Z; 19.7°N 85.9°W; PA: 10013 ft; D-Value: -36 ft; Wind: ENE (59°) @ 105 mph; Max Wind: 106 mph; Temp: 44°F; Dewpt: 49°F
Ob #20: 23:08:30Z; 19.7°N 86°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -23 ft; Wind: ENE (59°) @ 105 mph; Max Wind: 105 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 48°F
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#54 Postby Brent » Sun Jul 17, 2005 6:16 pm

When will we get a vortex???
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#55 Postby gkrangers » Sun Jul 17, 2005 6:17 pm

Brent wrote:When will we get a vortex???
Should be any minute.

Those FL winds support ~110-115MPH.
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#56 Postby Normandy » Sun Jul 17, 2005 6:18 pm

Hmmm maybe Scorpion was on to something :wink:
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#57 Postby Air Force Met » Sun Jul 17, 2005 6:22 pm

Brent wrote:
gkrangers wrote:/waits for Scorpion to say its a Cat 1.


*waits for Scorpion to say it's dead* :lol:


*waits for Scorpion to blame Emily's weakening on the fact a CAT 4 in 1880 weakened in that area too...and that it is the consensus that storms passing over that area will weaken once every 125 years...so we're due and she through.



:lol:
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#58 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 17, 2005 6:24 pm

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 14
Flight ID: AF302
Flt Data Number: 28
Latest Ob Location: 101 mi SE of Cancun, Mexico

Ob #01: 23:09:00Z; 19.7°N 86°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: -11 ft; Wind: ENE (61°) @ 104 mph; Max Wind: 104 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 48°F
Ob #02: 23:09:30Z; 19.8°N 86°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -1 ft; Wind: ENE (62°) @ 103 mph; Max Wind: 103 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 48°F
Ob #03: 23:10:00Z; 19.8°N 86°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 7 ft; Wind: ENE (63°) @ 103 mph; Max Wind: 105 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 48°F
Ob #04: 23:10:30Z; 19.8°N 86°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 15 ft; Wind: ENE (62°) @ 99 mph; Max Wind: 100 mph; Temp: 44°F; Dewpt: 48°F
Ob #05: 23:11:00Z; 19.8°N 86.1°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 23 ft; Wind: ENE (61°) @ 94 mph; Max Wind: 97 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 47°F
Ob #06: 23:11:30Z; 19.8°N 86.1°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 29 ft; Wind: ENE (59°) @ 92 mph; Max Wind: 96 mph; Temp: 44°F; Dewpt: 47°F
Ob #07: 23:12:00Z; 19.9°N 86.1°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 36 ft; Wind: ENE (60°) @ 86 mph; Max Wind: 90 mph; Temp: 44°F; Dewpt: 46°F
Ob #08: 23:12:30Z; 19.9°N 86.1°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 44 ft; Wind: ENE (64°) @ 85 mph; Max Wind: 86 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 46°F
Ob #09: 23:13:00Z; 19.9°N 86.2°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 50 ft; Wind: ENE (69°) @ 79 mph; Max Wind: 83 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #10: 23:13:30Z; 19.9°N 86.2°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 58 ft; Wind: ENE (65°) @ 79 mph; Max Wind: 85 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #11: 23:14:00Z; 20°N 86.2°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 60 ft; Wind: NE (52°) @ 69 mph; Max Wind: 70 mph; Temp: 43°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #12: 23:14:30Z; 20°N 86.2°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 64 ft; Wind: NE (56°) @ 70 mph; Max Wind: 70 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #13: 23:15:00Z; 20°N 86.2°W; PA: 10016 ft; D-Value: 68 ft; Wind: ENE (59°) @ 68 mph; Max Wind: 69 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #14: 23:15:30Z; 20°N 86.3°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 70 ft; Wind: ENE (58°) @ 70 mph; Max Wind: 71 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #15: 23:16:00Z; 20°N 86.3°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 73 ft; Wind: ENE (59°) @ 70 mph; Max Wind: 71 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #16: 23:16:30Z; 20.1°N 86.3°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 75 ft; Wind: ENE (58°) @ 73 mph; Max Wind: 75 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #17: 23:17:00Z; 20.1°N 86.3°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 77 ft; Wind: ENE (63°) @ 70 mph; Max Wind: 74 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #18: 23:17:30Z; 20.1°N 86.4°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 80 ft; Wind: ENE (66°) @ 65 mph; Max Wind: 65 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #19: 23:18:00Z; 20.1°N 86.4°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 82 ft; Wind: ENE (64°) @ 69 mph; Max Wind: 69 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #20: 23:18:30Z; 20.2°N 86.4°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 85 ft; Wind: ENE (66°) @ 70 mph; Max Wind: 71 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 43°F
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#59 Postby Scorpion » Sun Jul 17, 2005 6:24 pm

Max Wind=127 mph
Max wind on surface= 114.3 mph
Guess I was a little overestimating it with the 100 knot estimate
Last edited by Scorpion on Sun Jul 17, 2005 6:26 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#60 Postby gkrangers » Sun Jul 17, 2005 6:25 pm

Scorpion wrote:Max Wind=127 mph NE quad
Max wind on surface= 114.3 mph
Guess I was a little overestimating it with the 100 knot estimate
Ok but they flew through the SE and NW quads.
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