2 AM: Emily Now 150 mph, 943 mb

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Hurricane Cheese
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2 AM: Emily Now 150 mph, 943 mb

#1 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Sun Jul 17, 2005 12:59 am

I posted the advisory in the thread...

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... 624#956624


Appears she's weakening some...ERC?
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dwg71
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#2 Postby dwg71 » Sun Jul 17, 2005 1:01 am

thats .2N to .9W over three hours, that a hair south of WWNW.
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#3 Postby Swimdude » Sun Jul 17, 2005 1:01 am

Yup, definately some ERC going on at the moment. As I said earlier, it was only a matter of time.
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mike18xx

#4 Postby mike18xx » Sun Jul 17, 2005 1:08 am

She's definately looking better in the last hour, IR-wise....
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#5 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Jul 17, 2005 1:09 am

People this storm has just ended a EWRC you can already see reds wraping around the eye. With in the next 6 hours I think this will be bombing again. This is with in the area of Gilbert,Allen.
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#6 Postby Swimdude » Sun Jul 17, 2005 1:11 am

Gilbert and Allen... And this is... July...

Ok, i'm going to bed. Now I know we'll have a cat. 5... While i'm sleeping. :grrr:
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mike18xx

#7 Postby mike18xx » Sun Jul 17, 2005 1:23 am

Swimdude wrote:Gilbert and Allen... And this is... July...

It's not any less unusual to see it in July than in November (Mitch).

IMO, the northwest Caribbean heat-content is capable of supporting strong hurricanes all year long; the difficulty (at any time of year) is generating the LLCC seed-swirls, and whether initiatory absence of shear will enable them to develop out of infancy.

So, the real oddity of this year isn't powerful hurricanes in July, it's hurricane at all in July, which necessarily back-traces to: "Why are low-level swirls developing into established tropical systems in July this year?"

Quick, somebody write a paper....
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