Landfall Poll

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Whats your prediction?

Upper TX Coast Freeport to TX/LA Line
9
10%
Mid TX coast Corpus to Freeport
4
5%
Lower TX Coast Brownsville to Corpus
37
42%
Upper MEX coast
36
41%
Further South of upper mex coast
2
2%
 
Total votes: 88
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dwg71
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Landfall Poll

#1 Postby dwg71 » Sat Jul 16, 2005 2:53 pm

Where will it make permanent land fall?
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carve
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Emily

#2 Postby carve » Sat Jul 16, 2005 2:57 pm

Is she moving a little more north? or is it just a wobble..or could it actually be turning more north..not a prof..just a weather nut
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#3 Postby stormie_skies » Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:00 pm

I think its waaaaay too early to decide on a landfall point....there are several wild card factors people here have mentioned: 3 ULL's bouncing around in the Gulf, the trough expected to weaken the ridge over E Texas, the incredible strength of Em and whether or not that will change her path....

...I'll save my vote for once she's past the Yucatan.... :P
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#4 Postby Normandy » Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:01 pm

I wont call a landfall just yet, but a zone from tampico to corpus looks most likely. The bullseye right now looks to be SOuth Padre and Brownsville.
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#5 Postby Air Force Met » Sat Jul 16, 2005 3:13 pm

I'm sticking with 50-100 miles south of KBRO.
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#6 Postby Lowpressure » Sat Jul 16, 2005 4:07 pm

I think she will trend more north, central Texas strike.
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#7 Postby Swimdude » Sat Jul 16, 2005 4:11 pm

How are y'all saying Texas/Louisiana? Four votes for that... I mean, I can wishcast too, if I really want. I voted Mexican coast.
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#8 Postby Lowpressure » Sat Jul 16, 2005 4:15 pm

Swimdude wrote:How are y'all saying Texas/Louisiana? Four votes for that... I mean, I can wishcast too, if I really want. I voted Mexican coast.


Wishcast? I live in Virginia. Look at visible loop, trending much more northerly track. Even if it is some sort of wobble, it will effect ultimate track.
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#9 Postby Brent » Sat Jul 16, 2005 4:17 pm

Northern Mexico... about 60 miles south of Brownsville.
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#10 Postby wxmann_91 » Sat Jul 16, 2005 4:59 pm

I think Mex/US border, but I voted upper MEX coast since the lower TX coast according to the poll was only between Corpus Christi and Brownsville. :D
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#11 Postby dwg71 » Sat Jul 16, 2005 8:40 pm

interesting, the majority of teh people think the NHC and the models will be wrong... time will tell.
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#12 Postby dwg71 » Sat Jul 16, 2005 10:14 pm

for those of you still calling for upper tx coast landfall, nhc 72 hour landfall would have to be over 400 miles off..

Not impossible, but very, very, very, unlikely..
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#13 Postby dwg71 » Mon Jul 18, 2005 9:50 pm

Take time to reflect on your vote, at the time this poll was posted NHC was calling for landfall very close to where they have it now.

Bottom line, trust the NHC with thier 72 hour cone on strong systems.

I cannot believe how many voted for SE/TX...
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#14 Postby jkt21787 » Mon Jul 18, 2005 9:52 pm

dwg71 wrote:Take time to reflect on your vote, at the time this poll was posted NHC was calling for landfall very close to where they have it now.

Bottom line, trust the NHC with thier 72 hour cone on strong systems.

I cannot believe how many voted for SE/TX...

I'll be honest, I know several were in the "TX" camp or at least though that TX should be watching it, but I never knew more people thought eventual landfall would be there!

Barring a major change in track, landfall will be in northern Mexico. It won't be far from Southern TX, but its still Mexico and still within the "cone".
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#15 Postby CentralFlGal » Mon Jul 18, 2005 10:20 pm

wxmann_91 wrote:I think Mex/US border, but I voted upper MEX coast since the lower TX coast according to the poll was only between Corpus Christi and Brownsville. :D


Dittos
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#16 Postby Brent » Mon Jul 18, 2005 10:21 pm

I stick by what I said 2 days ago... :wink:
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#17 Postby MGC » Mon Jul 18, 2005 10:29 pm

Near the Rio Grande. As a strong Cat 2 or weak Cat 3.....MGC
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#18 Postby Wnghs2007 » Mon Jul 18, 2005 10:49 pm

I voted for the Upper Mexican Coast, It appears that I tied the poll at 32 votes for each of the highest poll choices. 8-)
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#19 Postby Normandy » Mon Jul 18, 2005 10:53 pm

Just south of Brownsville....maybe 20 miles.
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#20 Postby deltadog03 » Mon Jul 18, 2005 11:30 pm

i voted upper mx coast....she will be a cat 1 ....cat 2 looks unlikely to me right now...
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