H Emily Recon Reports

jkt21787 · #121 Postby **jkt21787** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 8:00 pm

senorpepr wrote:Well, remember that dropsondes don't report sustained winds. That is exactly why the NHC didn't upgrade at 8pm. All the data shown that sustained winds, even 30-sec winds remained under cat 5 status. The dropsonde can't produce a one-minute wind, thanks to gravity. The time it spends measuring a parcle of atmosphere is faster than you can blink. Those winds in the dropsonde were gusts until proven otherwise by flight level winds.

Oh, ok. I just assumed it was stronger than indicated because people were going around on boards all over the place saying this meant it was a cat 5 cane now (that 192, 181 dropsonde ob). Thanks for the info.

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #122 Postby **senorpepr** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 8:05 pm

jkt21787 wrote:Oh, ok. I just assumed it was stronger than indicated because people were going around on boards all over the place saying this meant it was a cat 5 cane now (that 192, 181 dropsonde ob). Thanks for the info.

No problem. I understand that a lot of people at jumpy right now. Every time a cyclone is near category five status, people get on edge and will jump on anything. It's classic human nature, we all do it.

That's also a reason why NHC is very careful before upgrading. You don't liberally upgrade something to "Finger of God" status (...from the movie Twister)

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #123 Postby **senorpepr** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 8:05 pm

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 10
Flight ID: AF304
Flt Data Number: 27
Latest Ob Location: 116 mi SSW of Kingston, Jamaica

Ob #01: 00:48:00Z; 15.9°N 78.4°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 146 ft; Wind: S (184°) @ 33 mph; Max Wind: 33 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #02: 00:48:30Z; 15.9°N 78.4°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 146 ft; Wind: S (179°) @ 35 mph; Max Wind: 35 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #03: 00:49:00Z; 16°N 78.4°W; PA: 9984 ft; D-Value: 141 ft; Wind: S (175°) @ 32 mph; Max Wind: 33 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #04: 00:49:30Z; 16°N 78.4°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 141 ft; Wind: S (179°) @ 32 mph; Max Wind: 33 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #05: 00:50:00Z; 16°N 78.4°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 141 ft; Wind: S (184°) @ 32 mph; Max Wind: 33 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #06: 00:50:30Z; 16°N 78.5°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 140 ft; Wind: S (183°) @ 33 mph; Max Wind: 33 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #07: 00:51:00Z; 16.1°N 78.5°W; PA: 9987 ft; D-Value: 140 ft; Wind: S (188°) @ 33 mph; Max Wind: 36 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #08: 00:51:30Z; 16.1°N 78.5°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 140 ft; Wind: S (191°) @ 33 mph; Max Wind: 35 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #09: 00:52:00Z; 16.1°N 78.5°W; PA: 9987 ft; D-Value: 139 ft; Wind: S (188°) @ 32 mph; Max Wind: 32 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #10: 00:52:30Z; 16.1°N 78.5°W; PA: 9987 ft; D-Value: 139 ft; Wind: S (190°) @ 32 mph; Max Wind: 33 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #11: 00:53:00Z; 16.1°N 78.6°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 139 ft; Wind: S (188°) @ 32 mph; Max Wind: 33 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #12: 00:53:30Z; 16.2°N 78.6°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 138 ft; Wind: S (186°) @ 35 mph; Max Wind: 35 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #13: 00:54:00Z; 16.2°N 78.6°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 138 ft; Wind: S (184°) @ 35 mph; Max Wind: 35 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #14: 00:54:30Z; 16.2°N 78.6°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 137 ft; Wind: S (183°) @ 36 mph; Max Wind: 37 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #15: 00:55:00Z; 16.2°N 78.7°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 137 ft; Wind: S (182°) @ 38 mph; Max Wind: 38 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #16: 00:55:30Z; 16.2°N 78.7°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 136 ft; Wind: S (182°) @ 36 mph; Max Wind: 37 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #17: 00:56:00Z; 16.3°N 78.7°W; PA: 9987 ft; D-Value: 135 ft; Wind: S (178°) @ 35 mph; Max Wind: 36 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #18: 00:56:30Z; 16.3°N 78.7°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 134 ft; Wind: S (179°) @ 37 mph; Max Wind: 38 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #19: 00:57:00Z; 16.3°N 78.8°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 133 ft; Wind: S (179°) @ 37 mph; Max Wind: 38 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #20: 00:57:30Z; 16.3°N 78.8°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 133 ft; Wind: S (180°) @ 38 mph; Max Wind: 38 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 38°F

...they are now beginning their inbound SE quad leg...

Wnghs2007 · #124 Postby **Wnghs2007** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 8:07 pm

senorpepr how long do you think until the next past thru the NorthEast Quadrant? Any and all info is appreciated.

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #125 Postby **senorpepr** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 8:09 pm

...winds are picking up now...

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 10
Flight ID: AF304
Flt Data Number: 28
Latest Ob Location: 149 mi WSW of Kingston, Jamaica

Ob #01: 00:58:00Z; 16.4°N 78.8°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 132 ft; Wind: S (179°) @ 39 mph; Max Wind: 39 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #02: 00:58:30Z; 16.4°N 78.8°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 130 ft; Wind: S (183°) @ 41 mph; Max Wind: 41 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #03: 00:59:00Z; 16.4°N 78.9°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 129 ft; Wind: S (187°) @ 44 mph; Max Wind: 45 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #04: 00:59:30Z; 16.4°N 78.9°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 128 ft; Wind: S (184°) @ 44 mph; Max Wind: 45 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #05: 01:00:00Z; 16.5°N 78.9°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 127 ft; Wind: S (182°) @ 46 mph; Max Wind: 46 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #06: 01:00:30Z; 16.5°N 78.9°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 126 ft; Wind: S (186°) @ 46 mph; Max Wind: 46 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #07: 01:01:00Z; 16.5°N 79°W; PA: 9987 ft; D-Value: 126 ft; Wind: S (187°) @ 43 mph; Max Wind: 43 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #08: 01:01:30Z; 16.5°N 79°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 124 ft; Wind: S (191°) @ 43 mph; Max Wind: 43 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #09: 01:02:00Z; 16.5°N 79°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 122 ft; Wind: SSW (194°) @ 44 mph; Max Wind: 45 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #10: 01:02:30Z; 16.6°N 79°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 120 ft; Wind: SSW (192°) @ 44 mph; Max Wind: 44 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #11: 01:03:00Z; 16.6°N 79.1°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 117 ft; Wind: SSW (194°) @ 45 mph; Max Wind: 45 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #12: 01:03:30Z; 16.6°N 79.1°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 116 ft; Wind: S (191°) @ 46 mph; Max Wind: 47 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #13: 01:04:00Z; 16.6°N 79.1°W; PA: 9987 ft; D-Value: 114 ft; Wind: SSW (193°) @ 46 mph; Max Wind: 46 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #14: 01:04:30Z; 16.7°N 79.1°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 111 ft; Wind: SSW (196°) @ 47 mph; Max Wind: 47 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #15: 01:05:00Z; 16.7°N 79.2°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 110 ft; Wind: SSW (194°) @ 48 mph; Max Wind: 48 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #16: 01:05:30Z; 16.7°N 79.2°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 107 ft; Wind: SSW (194°) @ 50 mph; Max Wind: 51 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #17: 01:06:00Z; 16.7°N 79.2°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 103 ft; Wind: SSW (195°) @ 52 mph; Max Wind: 53 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #18: 01:06:30Z; 16.7°N 79.2°W; PA: 10010 ft; D-Value: 100 ft; Wind: S (184°) @ 51 mph; Max Wind: 54 mph; Temp: 44°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #19: 01:07:00Z; 16.8°N 79.3°W; PA: 9970 ft; D-Value: 99 ft; Wind: S (186°) @ 52 mph; Max Wind: 55 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 41°F
Ob #20: 01:07:30Z; 16.8°N 79.3°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 95 ft; Wind: S (189°) @ 55 mph; Max Wind: 56 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 41°F

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #126 Postby **senorpepr** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 8:11 pm

Wnghs2007 wrote:senorpepr how long do you think until the next past thru the NorthEast Quadrant? Any and all info is appreciated.

Well, right now they are going through the eye from SE to NW. Afterwards they'll go through the eye from SW to NE, most likely. The VDM should be just before advisory time. (They normally schedule these flights so they can have a NE pass just before advisory time to have the freshest information.)

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #127 Postby **senorpepr** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 8:20 pm

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 10
Flight ID: AF304
Flt Data Number: 29
Latest Ob Location: 106 mi WSW of Kingston, Jamaica

Ob #01: 01:08:00Z; 16.8°N 79.3°W; PA: 9987 ft; D-Value: 93 ft; Wind: S (190°) @ 56 mph; Max Wind: 56 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 41°F
Ob #02: 01:08:30Z; 16.8°N 79.3°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 89 ft; Wind: SSW (194°) @ 60 mph; Max Wind: 61 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #03: 01:09:00Z; 16.8°N 79.4°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 84 ft; Wind: SSW (196°) @ 65 mph; Max Wind: 66 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #04: 01:09:30Z; 16.9°N 79.4°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 79 ft; Wind: SSW (193°) @ 66 mph; Max Wind: 67 mph; Temp: 44°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #05: 01:10:00Z; 16.9°N 79.4°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 75 ft; Wind: S (187°) @ 65 mph; Max Wind: 67 mph; Temp: 43°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #06: 01:10:30Z; 16.9°N 79.4°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 72 ft; Wind: S (188°) @ 60 mph; Max Wind: 62 mph; Temp: 44°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #07: 01:11:00Z; 16.9°N 79.5°W; PA: 9967 ft; D-Value: 65 ft; Wind: S (189°) @ 69 mph; Max Wind: 71 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #08: 01:11:30Z; 17°N 79.5°W; PA: 10010 ft; D-Value: 55 ft; Wind: S (181°) @ 73 mph; Max Wind: 74 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #09: 01:12:00Z; 17°N 79.5°W; PA: 9970 ft; D-Value: 48 ft; Wind: S (189°) @ 76 mph; Max Wind: 81 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #10: 01:12:30Z; 17°N 79.5°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 37 ft; Wind: S (190°) @ 85 mph; Max Wind: 86 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 46°F
Ob #11: 01:13:00Z; 17°N 79.6°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 21 ft; Wind: S (189°) @ 91 mph; Max Wind: 92 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 46°F
Ob #12: 01:13:30Z; 17°N 79.6°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 4 ft; Wind: S (186°) @ 94 mph; Max Wind: 96 mph; Temp: 43°F; Dewpt: 47°F
Ob #13: 01:14:00Z; 17.1°N 79.6°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: -16 ft; Wind: S (190°) @ 93 mph; Max Wind: 94 mph; Temp: 44°F; Dewpt: 47°F
Ob #14: 01:14:30Z; 17.1°N 79.6°W; PA: 9974 ft; D-Value: -44 ft; Wind: SSW (196°) @ 96 mph; Max Wind: 98 mph; Temp: 44°F; Dewpt: 47°F
Ob #15: 01:15:00Z; 17.1°N 79.7°W; PA: 10013 ft; D-Value: -80 ft; Wind: SSW (192°) @ 106 mph; Max Wind: 108 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 49°F
Ob #16: 01:15:30Z; 17.1°N 79.7°W; PA: 9984 ft; D-Value: -135 ft; Wind: SSW (197°) @ 119 mph; Max Wind: 128 mph; Temp: 55°F; Dewpt: 52°F
Ob #17: 01:16:00Z; 17.2°N 79.7°W; PA: 10010 ft; D-Value: -207 ft; Wind: SSW (197°) @ 129 mph; Max Wind: 138 mph; Temp: 60°F; Dewpt: 54°F
Ob #18: 01:16:30Z; 17.2°N 79.7°W; PA: 10020 ft; D-Value: -295 ft; Wind: SSW (198°) @ 144 mph; Max Wind: 146 mph; Temp: 70°F; Dewpt: 55°F
Ob #19: 01:17:00Z; 17.2°N 79.8°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -401 ft; Wind: SSW (202°) @ 113 mph; Max Wind: 144 mph; Temp: 67°F; Dewpt: 55°F
Ob #20: 01:17:30Z; 17.2°N 79.8°W; PA: 9961 ft; D-Value: -471 ft; Wind: SSW (208°) @ 55 mph; Max Wind: 71 mph; Temp: 66°F; Dewpt: 43°F

...through the SE eyewall, standby for VDM and NW eyewall passage...

gkrangers · #128 Postby **gkrangers** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 8:25 pm

Thats rather impressive for the SE eyewall...

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #129 Postby **senorpepr** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 8:32 pm

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 10
Flight ID: AF304
Flt Data Number: 30
Latest Ob Location: 200 mi W of Kingston, Jamaica

Ob #01: 01:18:00Z; 17.2°N 79.8°W; PA: 9980 ft; D-Value: -492 ft; Wind: SSW (212°) @ 13 mph; Max Wind: 24 mph; Temp: 71°F; Dewpt: 36°F
Ob #02: 01:18:30Z; 17.2°N 79.9°W; PA: 10013 ft; D-Value: -489 ft; Wind: NNE (24°) @ 16 mph; Max Wind: 28 mph; Temp: 72°F; Dewpt: 36°F
Ob #03: 01:19:00Z; 17.2°N 79.9°W; PA: 9980 ft; D-Value: -468 ft; Wind: NNE (32°) @ 50 mph; Max Wind: 61 mph; Temp: 68°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #04: 01:19:30Z; 17.3°N 79.9°W; PA: 9948 ft; D-Value: -419 ft; Wind: NNE (28°) @ 86 mph; Max Wind: 92 mph; Temp: 61°F; Dewpt: 46°F
Ob #05: 01:20:00Z; 17.3°N 79.9°W; PA: 10098 ft; D-Value: -362 ft; Wind: NNE (32°) @ 108 mph; Max Wind: 120 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 51°F
Ob #06: 01:20:30Z; 17.3°N 79.9°W; PA: 10079 ft; D-Value: -314 ft; Wind: NE (42°) @ 147 mph; Max Wind: 162 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 57°F
Ob #07: 01:21:00Z; 17.3°N 80°W; PA: 10614 ft; D-Value: -232 ft; Wind: NE (43°) @ 164 mph; Max Wind: 166 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 58°F
Ob #08: 01:21:30Z; 17.3°N 80°W; PA: 10738 ft; D-Value: -171 ft; Wind: NE (43°) @ 157 mph; Max Wind: 161 mph; Temp: 42°F; Dewpt: 57°F
Ob #09: 01:22:00Z; 17.3°N 80°W; PA: 10194 ft; D-Value: -129 ft; Wind: NE (49°) @ 144 mph; Max Wind: 146 mph; Temp: 44°F; Dewpt: 55°F
Ob #10: 01:22:30Z; 17.4°N 80°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -94 ft; Wind: NE (50°) @ 137 mph; Max Wind: 141 mph; Temp: 44°F; Dewpt: 54°F
Ob #11: 01:23:00Z; 17.4°N 80°W; PA: 10010 ft; D-Value: -66 ft; Wind: NE (53°) @ 131 mph; Max Wind: 136 mph; Temp: 42°F; Dewpt: 53°F
Ob #12: 01:23:30Z; 17.4°N 80.1°W; PA: 9987 ft; D-Value: -40 ft; Wind: NE (56°) @ 121 mph; Max Wind: 127 mph; Temp: 44°F; Dewpt: 52°F
Ob #13: 01:24:00Z; 17.4°N 80.1°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -27 ft; Wind: ENE (59°) @ 111 mph; Max Wind: 116 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 50°F
Ob #14: 01:24:30Z; 17.4°N 80.1°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 1 ft; Wind: ENE (63°) @ 109 mph; Max Wind: 113 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 50°F
Ob #15: 01:25:00Z; 17.5°N 80.1°W; PA: 9980 ft; D-Value: 15 ft; Wind: NE (56°) @ 100 mph; Max Wind: 106 mph; Temp: 43°F; Dewpt: 49°F
Ob #16: 01:25:30Z; 17.5°N 80.1°W; PA: 10020 ft; D-Value: 27 ft; Wind: NE (55°) @ 96 mph; Max Wind: 97 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 47°F
Ob #17: 01:26:00Z; 17.5°N 80.2°W; PA: 9974 ft; D-Value: 39 ft; Wind: ENE (58°) @ 90 mph; Max Wind: 91 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 46°F
Ob #18: 01:26:30Z; 17.5°N 80.2°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 50 ft; Wind: ENE (57°) @ 88 mph; Max Wind: 89 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 46°F
Ob #19: 01:27:00Z; 17.5°N 80.2°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 58 ft; Wind: ENE (61°) @ 88 mph; Max Wind: 88 mph; Temp: 44°F; Dewpt: 46°F
Ob #20: 01:27:30Z; 17.6°N 80.2°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 67 ft; Wind: ENE (63°) @ 90 mph; Max Wind: 91 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 46°F

gkrangers · #130 Postby **gkrangers** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 8:34 pm

1 minute? 30 s? gusts?

Again...impressive for the NW eyewall.

Normandy · #131 Postby **Normandy** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 8:34 pm

Wow near 150 mph winds in the NW quad.....I think im convinced now :eek:

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #132 Postby **senorpepr** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 8:35 pm

gkrangers wrote:1 minute? 30 s? gusts?

Again...impressive for the NW eyewall.

The first number is the one-minute avg wind. The "Max Wind" is the 30-sec peak. There are no gusts from flight level data, but they can have a big factor in the 30 sec peak.

Website · #133 Postby **Brent** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 8:37 pm

150 mph sustained in the NW quadrant... if this isn't a Cat 5, I don't know what is.

Normandy · #134 Postby **Normandy** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 8:39 pm

If these obs are correct, than the NW quad - 167mph would be as strong (or almost) as the NE quad - 172 mph. I think this needs to be upgraded.

gkrangers · #135 Postby **gkrangers** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 8:39 pm

Brent wrote:150 mph sustained in the NW quadrant... if this isn't a Cat 5, I don't know what is.

Well technically recon still supports Cat 4. :lol:

The upcoming SW-NE pass might be something special...convection has deepened along the NE-E side and the eye has tightened a bit.

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #136 Postby **senorpepr** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 8:40 pm

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 10
Flight ID: AF304
Flt Data Number: 31
Latest Ob Location: 165 mi W of Kingston, Jamaica

Ob #01: 01:28:00Z; 17.6°N 80.2°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 72 ft; Wind: ENE (62°) @ 88 mph; Max Wind: 89 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 46°F
Ob #02: 01:28:30Z; 17.6°N 80.3°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 77 ft; Wind: ENE (63°) @ 88 mph; Max Wind: 91 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 46°F
Ob #03: 01:29:00Z; 17.6°N 80.3°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 82 ft; Wind: ENE (65°) @ 81 mph; Max Wind: 82 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #04: 01:29:30Z; 17.7°N 80.3°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 86 ft; Wind: ENE (63°) @ 76 mph; Max Wind: 77 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #05: 01:30:00Z; 17.7°N 80.3°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 89 ft; Wind: ENE (63°) @ 75 mph; Max Wind: 76 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #06: 01:30:30Z; 17.7°N 80.4°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 94 ft; Wind: ENE (60°) @ 76 mph; Max Wind: 77 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #07: 01:31:00Z; 17.7°N 80.4°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 97 ft; Wind: ENE (59°) @ 75 mph; Max Wind: 76 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #08: 01:31:30Z; 17.7°N 80.4°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 101 ft; Wind: ENE (57°) @ 75 mph; Max Wind: 76 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #09: 01:32:00Z; 17.8°N 80.4°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 102 ft; Wind: NE (55°) @ 75 mph; Max Wind: 75 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #10: 01:32:30Z; 17.8°N 80.5°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 104 ft; Wind: ENE (60°) @ 73 mph; Max Wind: 74 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #11: 01:33:00Z; 17.8°N 80.5°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 107 ft; Wind: ENE (63°) @ 66 mph; Max Wind: 68 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #12: 01:33:30Z; 17.8°N 80.5°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 110 ft; Wind: ENE (63°) @ 67 mph; Max Wind: 67 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #13: 01:34:00Z; 17.9°N 80.5°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 111 ft; Wind: ENE (64°) @ 59 mph; Max Wind: 60 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 41°F
Ob #14: 01:34:30Z; 17.9°N 80.5°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 112 ft; Wind: ENE (67°) @ 62 mph; Max Wind: 63 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #15: 01:35:00Z; 17.9°N 80.6°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 114 ft; Wind: ENE (68°) @ 68 mph; Max Wind: 71 mph; Temp: 44°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #16: 01:35:30Z; 17.9°N 80.6°W; PA: 9980 ft; D-Value: 116 ft; Wind: ENE (63°) @ 61 mph; Max Wind: 65 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #17: 01:36:00Z; 17.9°N 80.6°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 116 ft; Wind: ENE (66°) @ 65 mph; Max Wind: 69 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #18: 01:36:30Z; 18°N 80.6°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 118 ft; Wind: ENE (69°) @ 71 mph; Max Wind: 73 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #19: 01:37:00Z; 18°N 80.7°W; PA: 9984 ft; D-Value: 123 ft; Wind: ENE (59°) @ 73 mph; Max Wind: 73 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #20: 01:37:30Z; 18°N 80.7°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 124 ft; Wind: ENE (60°) @ 71 mph; Max Wind: 74 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 44°F

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #137 Postby **senorpepr** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 8:41 pm

VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 10
Flight ID: AF304
Observation Number: 13
Time: 01:17:50Z
Latitude: 17.2°N
Longitude: 79.8°W
Location: 206 mi WSW of Kingston, Jamaica
Minimum height at 700 mb 2517 m
Est. Surface Winds Observed: NA
Maximum flight level wind: SSW (196°) @ 146 mph
Distance and bearing from center to max flight level wind: 6 mi ESE (115°)
Sea level pressure: 931 mb
Max flight level temperature outside the eye: 45°F at 9974 feet
Max flight level temperature inside the eye: 73°F at 9974 feet
Dewpoint temperature inside the eye: 39°F
Eye character: CLOSED
Eye shape: Circular
Eye diameter: 12 mi
Fix determined by: Penetration Radar Wind Pressure Temperature at 700 mb
Navigation / Met Accuracy: 0.02 / 1 nm
MAX FL WIND 149 KT NE QUAD 23:38:40 Z

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #138 Postby **senorpepr** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 8:41 pm

Well, FWIW, the pressure is up two hPa, but the eye has tightened 4nm.

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #139 Postby **senorpepr** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 8:42 pm

Dropsonde Observation
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 10
Flight ID: AF304
Observation Number: 14
Time: 0100Z
Latitude: 17.2°N
Longitude: 79.8°W
Location: 205 mi WSW of Kingston, Jamaica
Surface: 931 mb; Temp: 81°F; Dewpt: 48°F; S (170°) @ 32 mph
925mb height: 180 ft; Temp: 80°F; Dewpt: 54°F; S (180°) @ 32 mph
850mb height: 2625 ft; Temp: 73°F; Dewpt: 70°F; S (190°) @ 22 mph
700mb height: 8215 ft; Temp: 74°F; Dewpt: 151°F; WNW (290°) @ 5 mph
EYE SPL 1723N07983W 0121 MBL WND 18526 AEV 20507

gkrangers · #140 Postby **gkrangers** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 8:44 pm

Correct me if I'm wrong...but Emily underwent EWRC's the last two nights...I'd say shes due late tonight.

H Emily Recon Reports

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