If I were in western Cuba

[Stormcenter]

I'm sorry, but to my untrained eyes, she's lifting to the north, not jogging.

I won't comment any further until we see how the next several hours pan out. I hate to be called a "wobble watcher".

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[deltadog03]

She's headed right for Cozumel right now... not the Channel or Cuba.

WOAAAA wait a min...those are new dots...ok, she did go north of the old dot....remember they just updated it...

[feederband]

Yep I sure would be worried in Western Cuba or anywhere else. She sure does look like shes got more of northly lift in her wnw forward motion in the last few frames.

She may very well pass through the Yucatan channel.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Northly lift---Boy thats safe way to put it. Wont get beat up by the wobble bashers ..I to am wonder about channel pass.... Boy that would change alot of things. Even if it goes though the northern tip of yuca it wouldn't be for long.

[Swimdude]

what??? the middle of the cone is still wnw!!

Or, it you run the loop and put your mouse on her current position and compare it with the past 11 frames, you can see it's a more north westerly movement than WNW.

I did run the loop. And I did use the mouse. I'm wondering why the NHS says it's traveling at a more northerly 'jog' than before?

[Ixolib]

Wobbles, and jogs, and lifts, oh my
Wobbles, and jogs, and lifts, oh my

"You'll find he's a whiz of a Wiz
if ever a Wiz there was..."

[Raebie]

Not sure because that doesn't look like a "jog" to me. But we're not supposed to discuss wobbles & jogs unless landfall is imminent, right?

[stormie_skies]

I dunno.....IMHO she looks like shes gonna split the difference between Cancun and Cozumel, only skirting across the tip of the peninsula, unless her current track takes on a more westerly component very, very soon. The NHC's 5 pm track has her crossing the full peninsula and exiting somewhere in the neighborhood of Celestun.... I don't think thats an insignificant difference in direction, not to mention contact with land.

But God only knows Ive been wrong before...

[Raebie]

I dunno.....IMHO she looks like shes gonna split the difference between Cancun and Cozumel, only skirting across the tip of the peninsula, unless her current track takes on a more westerly component very, very soon. The NHC's 5 pm track has her crossing the full peninsula and exiting somewhere in the neighborhood of Celestun.... I don't think thats an insignificant difference in direction, not to mention contact with land.

But God only knows Ive been wrong before...

Let's be wrong together (because I agree)!

[Swimdude]

But God only knows Ive been wrong before...

You know? Me too. Now let's all be kind to eachother and see how this plays out. Speculation does no harm; that's why S2K exists.

[Ivanhater]

again i say, run the loop and put a piece of paper on it, and it will be right on the nhc track, just a little south of Cozumel

[stormie_skies]

I dunno.....IMHO she looks like shes gonna split the difference between Cancun and Cozumel, only skirting across the tip of the peninsula, unless her current track takes on a more westerly component very, very soon. The NHC's 5 pm track has her crossing the full peninsula and exiting somewhere in the neighborhood of Celestun.... I don't think thats an insignificant difference in direction, not to mention contact with land.

But God only knows Ive been wrong before...

Let's be wrong together (because I agree)!

Im so glad to see Im not the only one drawing that line!!!

[Galvestongirl]

its not a jog...its a lift...lol

[Stormcenter]

Well the latest loop continues the trend, hmmmmmmmmm.


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[Raebie]

Yep, western Cuba needs to batten down the hatches.

[InimanaChoogamaga]

Here are some wobble alternatives for everyone:

synonyms: be unsteady,careen, falter, flounder, lurch, oscillate, quake, quiver, reel, rock,roll, seesaw, shake, shimmy, stumble, sway, swing, teeter, totter,tremble, vacillate, vibrate, waver, weave, wiggle

synonyms: be on the fence, change one's mind, chop and change, flip-flop, fluctuate, vacillate, will and will not, wobble about

synonyms: bow, duck, genuflect, hop, jerk, jounce, leap, nod, oscillate, quaver, quiver, ricochet, seesaw, skip, waggle, weave, wobble

synonyms: be undecided, bobble, break, flounder, fluctuate, fluff, halt,hesitate, lurch, quaver, reel, rock, roll, scruple, shake, speakhaltingly, stagger, stammer, stub toe, stutter, teeter, topple, totter,tremble, trip up, vacillate, waver, whiffle

synonyms: bail out, barge, bob, bounce,bound, buck, canter, caper, clear, curvet, dive, drop, fall, gambol,hop, hurdle, hurtle, jerk, jiggle, jounce, lollop, lop, lunge, lurch,parachute, plummet, pop out, pop up, quiver, rattle, ricochet, saltate,shake, skip, sky, somersault, spring, surge, take, top, trip, vault, waver

It's jouncing, loping or gamboling slightly more north than a few hours ago if you ask me.

[hicksta]

Hm, could this be a sign. I wonder what its like at the NHC right now.

[HouTXmetro]

NW!!!!!

[Mello1]

Well the latest loop continues the trend, hmmmmmmmmm.


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Hmmm is right. Looks more than to be just a wobble. Unless I totally don't get this or something....

[Raebie]

Shimmying. It's shimmying towards Cuba.

[hicksta]

Very intresting. How long till next loop.